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1 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

2 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 35

3 Piggott and Bei 2007 Hu RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

4 1991 Pay As You Go: PAYG 1990 Notional Defined Contribution: NDC RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 37

5 Hu RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

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7 ,1204, , Web cn/act_cont_3_3_2006.htm 40 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

8 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 41

9 Guo Leisering Leisering RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

10 , Hu Old Age Income Support in the 21st Century - International perspective on Pension System and Reform Holzmann and Hinz RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 43

11 44 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No adequate affordable sustainable robust ,882 18, ,250 10, , Nw Ir W Cr RSw Rr Nw R

12 Nw Ir W Cr = R Sw Rr 60 UN,World Population Prospects:The 2004 Revision Population Database Lanzeni GDP RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 45

13 Sin GDP Palacios GDP Piggott and Bei Leisering RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

14 10 Leisering GDP Holzmann GDPSin Holzmann2004 Sin 2005 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 47

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22 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, ,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3, RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 55

23 ,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

24 y = x R 2 = RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 57

25 Leisering Frazier RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

26 , , "Villagers benefit from China's First Rural Pension Insurance System" eng _58887.html , ,7299,814 16,259 10, Web : jp _37649.html RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 59

27 James Sin 2005 James k Feldstein and Liebman RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

28 Barr 2000Holzmann and Hinz 2005 James RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 61

29 27.9Leisering Holzmann and Hinz RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

30 Holzmann and Hinz GDP 9, , RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 63

31 2005 6, ,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

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33 , , National Social Security Fund: 66 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

34 Hu 2006 NSSF , , GDP Hu 2006 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 67

35 JICA jp _57696.html jp _58071.html 68 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

36 1990 GDP path dependency News 2006/ RIM Vol.5 No RIM Vol.6 No Barr, Nicholas 2000, Reforming Pensions: Myths, Truths, and policy Choice, IMF Working Paper WP 00/ Benjamin, Dwayne, Loren Brandt, John Giles, Sangui Wang 2005, Income Inequality During China's Economic Transition, University of Toronto 12 Cangiano, Marco, Carlo Cottarelli, and Luis Cubeddu 1998, Pension Development and Reform in Transition Economies, IMF Working Paper WP/98/ Feldstein, Martin and Jeffrey Liebman 2006, Realizing the Potential of China's Social Security Pension System, China Economic Times, February 24, Frazier, W. Mark 2006, Pensions, Public Opinion, and Graying of China, Asia Policy, January 2006 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25 69

37 15 Gao, Qin 2006, Social Benefit in Urban China Determinations and Impact in Income Inequality in 1998 and 2002, Research Paper No.2006/117, United Nations University 16 Guo, Zhao Dian 2006, The Experiment and Progress of Rural Pension Insurance System in China, World Bank 17 Holzmann, Robert 2004, Social Protection for the Rural Population: The need to think outside box, World Bank 18 Holzmann, Robert and Richard Hinz 2005, Old Age Income Support in the 21st Century - International perspective on Pension System and Reform, World Bank 19 Hu, Yu-Wei 2006, Pension Reform in China - a case study, Brunel University 20 James, Estelle 2001, How Can China Solve its Old Age security Problem? The Interaction Between Pension, SOE and Financial Market Reform, Harvard University 21 Leisering, Luts, Gong Sen, Athar Hussain 2002, Old- Age Pensions for the Rural Areas: Form Land Reform to Globalization, Asian Development Bank 22 Lanzeni, L Maria 2006, China's pension system, Deutsche Bank Research 23 Palacios, Robart, Montserrat Pallares-Miralles 2002, International Patterns of Pension Prevision, Social Protection Discussion Paper Series No.0009, World Bank 24 Piggott, John and Lu Bei 2007, Pension Reform and the Development of Pension System:An Evaluation of World Bank Assistance, Independent Evaluation Group World Bank 25 Sin, Yvonne 2005, Pension Liabilities and Reform Option for Old Age Insurance, Working Paper Series on China, World Bank 26 Social Security Administration 2005, Social Security Program Throughout the World 70 RIM 2007 Vol.7 No.25

高齢化による影響と波及効果

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