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4 %+16%+15%+13% +11% +10%+8% +1% +0.4% % IEA Energy Balance of OECD, Non OECD Countries 2012,2013OECD 2012OECD

5 % 1.6% 4.4% 1.0% 16.9% 4.3 : % 4.5% 2.6% 11.1% 16.8% 0.9 : % 11.3% 3.2% 3.7% 19.2% 22.6% 40.0% 4.2% 3.4% 23.3% 4.0% 55.1% 22.0% 43.1% 2010,2011 4

6 % 1.8% 2.4% 0.03% % 27.8% 0.2% 10.3% 12.7% 2.9 : % 28.6% 0.9% 1.1% 8.5% 25.0% 71.4% 0.4 : % 6.6% 23.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% % 27.6% 0.7 :26.9 LNG 42.5% 17.1% 5

7

8 crc current english rev1.pdf 7

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10 UAE

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13 2011 (28,000) 2011 (31,000) 2011 (2,000) 2005 (7,000) 2001 (38,000) 1948 NRA 1969 (41,000) 2006 (53,000) 19963,658,000) 2001 (38,000) 2004 (4,000) THE MILITARY BALANCE

14 500 US bn NATO Europe Asia (excludes Australia and New Zealand) IMB Annual Report 2007,2008,2011,2012 THE MILITARY BALANCE

15 Oil price $85.30 EU $85.81 $95.52 A $96.80 $96.92 $99.79 $ $ $ Velayat-90 $ $ ,10 $99.58 $98.78 $96.91 $92.97 $95.47 $

16 15

17 kw LNG LNG IEA 253 kw kw 16

18

19 16,308 cf LNG, % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 10 79% EIA :Technically Recoverable Shale Oil and Shale Gas Resources 18

20 EIA :Technically Recoverable Shale Oil and Shale Gas Resources 19

21 LNG 1.6 LNG 2 LNG2020 EIA AEO2013 LNG 20083, ,700 LNG LNG LNG LNG LNG $/MMBTU 価 JCC LNG 価 $/MMBTU 3.7$/MMBTU LNG100 t trillion cubic feet (5.00) (10.00) EIA Annual Energy Outlook2013Early Release

22 EIA [ b/d b/d] [ b/d b/d] B/D B/D EIA % 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 10% 21% 10% 10% 10% 21% 21% 23% EIA :EIA Annual Energy Outlook % 31% 31% 28% 24% 10% 23% 34% 37% 37% 39% 43% 21

23 // 960(2 ) 945(3 ) () PwC Shale gas Reshaping the US chemicals industry 22

24 9 EIA (

25 B/D ,445 B/D ,560 B/D ,639 B/D ,740 B/D Annual Statistical Bulletin2000~

26 .

27 GW ,000 kw 76 7,800 kw 97 1 kw 26

28 IAEA 56 27

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31 30

32 ATOMS for peace IAEA INFCE

33 .

34 1990 IEA Energy Balance of OECD, Non OECD Countries 2012,2013OECD 2012OECD

35 2006 LNG EIA AEO2013 IEA Energy Balance of OECD, Non OECD Countries 2012OECD 2012OECD

36 IEA Energy Balance of OECD, Non OECD Countries 2012OECD 2012OECD

37 36

38 37

39 1.1mbd 0.3mbd) 2.7mbd 1.7mbd ( 2.6mbd 2.9mbd 2012~2018 million barrels per day) IEA Medium-Term Market Report mbd 1.7mbd 38

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Missing Barrels OIL MARKET INTELLIGENCE (OMI) , , , ,200 OECD ,900 OECD 10 3, , ,400 OECD Missing Barrels 2 1990 OIL MARKET INTELLIGENCE (OMI) 2002 2 58 4,800 13 1,600 45 3,200 45 3,200 OECD29 25 9,900 OECD 10 3,400 7 4,400 1 100 5,400 OECD 10 3,400 2001 12 52.3 2002 1 2 52 5-1-1. 2002 2 13

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