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1

2 2020

3 03 7

4 () NEC CSK

5

6

7

8 % 14.4 A B() CD() E() A I griculture BC3000 B asic Material AD1800 C apital Goods AD1900 D igital Electronics AD1990 E lectronic Commerce cology lectronic Education AD1999 F ulfillment Business AD2002 Goodwill Government AD2003 H ealthcare Business AD2003 nvestment Business

9 E F G H GDP ABC A D GDP

10 ,280 6, A 1.2-5%B C 56 (-12%)E 75 (-15%) 6 (-1%) 3.5 (+16%) 22 (+36%) 36 (+22%) G 18 (+80%) H G 2.7 (+2%) 22.4 (-11%) 14% 18% A D F GDP GDP GDP IT

11 R&D R&D R&D R&D R&D GDP RD R&D R&D R&D 34 GDP R&D

12 R&D R&D R&D R&D 10,000 10, , ,400 R&D R&D

13 10,000 R&D 4 R&D 98 R&D 2000 R&D 2, R&D R&D

14 R&D ,086 R&D RD 5 24 R&D 34 6 R&D R&D 6 R&D R&D 183

15 IT NEC CSK

16

17 % %

18 GDP % 85% 65% 35% 2 65%

19 % %28

20 EMS R&D

21 55 6 EMS GDP R&D 3 1/ ,000 35%

22 30% 5% 20 R&D 1 R&D 2002 R&D 2210 Y=0.62x-0.05 Y

23 KOA y =0.847x FDK CSK Fsas NEC SMK

24 80 VTR

25 NTT NTT IP MPU DSP (US $mn) (US$mn) 20,000 80% 15,000 60% 10,000 40% 5,000 20% % -5,000-20% -10,000-40% Japan(LHS) U.S.(LHS) Europe (LHS) Korea(LHS) Taiwan(LHS) Japan's OP Share (RHS) 5 WSTS

26 MPU DSP DSP IC 90 OSCPU 80

27 R&D GSM 10 GSM 6

28 , , % 3% 3% CY /LCD 30% 16% 8% 15%

29 \

30 EMS 20 \ \ \ \

31 / % 8, ,400 4, ILO

32 GDP GDP GDP % 141%( 100=3, =1,020 69%( 0 36% 2,391%

33 96

34 AV 4 40% % 30% %30% IBM

35 20% 15% 78% IBM IBM WAY IBM IBM Y2K IBM 1993 IBM IBM IBM

36 10 IBM 4 R&D IBM 1 5 1

37 10 10 PC PC 2 PC 1 PC 1 PC IT TV ,000 IT 1,000 PC IBM David C. Moschella

38 PC NEC IBM IBM 1999 TV TV 40, % 35,000 30,000 25, % 8.0% 20, % 15,000 10,000 5, % 2.0% %

39 1 PC IP GSM I GPRS IP 6% 10% IP 2 PC PC 35, % 30,000 25, % 20, % 15, % 10,000 5, % %

40 AV

41 1 R&D PC 37 TV 10 R&D GSM GE HP Ericsson IBM Nokia Dell Computer Apple Computer R&D

42 OS 1 20% GE R&D R&D R&D 1 R&D R&D R&D

43

44 Time Money Time Money Junior Middle Senior

45 20 i 12 i 63 8,600 1,

46 2002 GDP

47 , % 20% 1,803 8,547 2, % 67.3% 18.5%

48 , ,513 7,440 3, % 60% 27.8%

49

50 27 GDP GDP , GDP 3, GDP 30,

51 10 GDP 2001 GDP GDP 4 70 TV 41,564 GDP 327,709 GDP788 35,531 GDP 220,431 GDP620 49,133 GDP739,879 GDP 1,506

52 , ,479 7, % 69% 7.1%

53

54 2001 IT 2005 e-japan e-japan e-japan e-japan e-japan Security e-japan 100 B2B Online Customer Service One on One Marketing B2C Government Business Consumer

55 1 3 AV 1 1 CS 2003

56 EL

57 IC e-

58

59 AC

60 2020 E I

61

62 GDP 3

63 / / OSI 3

64 IBM NEC y=2x-54 CSK 985/935

65 40 GDP

66 R&D Down V.S. V.S.

67 TV PDP R&D CD DV D

68

69 R&D R&D 90 R&D R&D 4

70 B B A C A B

71 3,000 1, PC 10 IBM David C. Moschella 1996 IBM

72 2 PC 2 PC 800 VTR DVDR 1 90 Supply <Demand) (Supply >Demand) A D E A B C 2005 B A D B C LSI G F E A LSI G F C H C H DVD-R HDD-DVD HDD-DVD

73 1 HDD/DVD DVD 1 EMS EMS

74

75 %

76 R&D

77

78 CALS B2C H G F I E D C CALS B A PC 2, CALS:

79 1 R&D 1 80% (MPU) 60% (MPU) (14 ) 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60% 1/94 4/94 7/94 10/94 1/95 4/95 7/95 10/95 1/96 4/96 7/96 10/96 1/97 4/97 7/97 10/97 1/98 4/98 7/98 10/98 1/99 4/99 7/99 10/99 1/00 4/00 7/00 10/00 1/01 4/01 7/01 10/01 1/02 4/02 7/02

80

81 2 1 SOHO

82 20

83

84

85

86 E I GDP

87

88 8 R&D R&D GDP 3.4

89 R&D 8

90

91 5 10 R&D, WTO 71

92 R&D 30% 20 5%

93 1 QC

94 1 8 R&D R&D R&D OEM EMS

95

96 R&D

97 Time Money Time Money Junior Middle Senior

98

99 e-japan ADSL ADSL FTTH

100 IC POS V 4

101 IPv.

102 POS CRM Customer Relationship Management

103 R&D Mbps 2010

104 100Mbps R&D R&D A B SE SE SE SE

105

106

107

108

109

110

111

112

113

114

115

116 4 6 30

117 R&D R&D R&D

No cn:8080

No cn:8080 ILO No. 501 No. 510 http://www.molss.gov. cn:8080 F 103, GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP GDP WTO No. 0205 F 103 WTO FESCO http://www.zulin88.com.cn GDP http://paiqian.hr.net.cn http://www.tiglzx.com IT IC

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Title < 研究ノート >1980 年代のコンピュータ専門誌雑誌報道に見るホームコンピュータのホビーユースの概況 Author(s) 鈴木, 真奈 Citation 科学哲学科学史研究 (2015), 9: Issue Date URL Title < 研究ノート >1980 年代のコンピュータ専門誌雑誌報道に見るホームコンピュータのホビーユースの概況 Author(s) 鈴木, 真奈 Citation 科学哲学科学史研究 (2015), 9: 115-127 Issue Date 2015-03-31 URL https://doi.org/10.14989/197248 Right Type Departmental Bulletin

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