第2章 業務実施の基本方針

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1 IEEJ: ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FORECAST SERVING STUDY ON ENERGY DEVELOPMENT FOR THE PERIOD UP TO

2 IEEJ: ODA IT -2-

3 IEEJ: GDP ,70,80 GDP WTO AFTA AFTA WTO GDP GDP GDP1.1 GDP -3-

4 IEEJ: WTO AFTA GDP

5 IEEJ: HighCase ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FORECASTSERVING STUDY ON ENERGY DEVELOPMENT FOR THE PERIOD UP TO

6 IEEJ: Base Case ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FORECASTSERVING STUDY ON ENERGY DEVELOPMENT FOR THE PERIOD UP TO

7 IEEJ:

8 IEEJ: (1) (1) (2) (2) GDP (3) (4) (3) (5) (4) (5)

9 IEEJ: t DW<3 GDP GDP GDP GDP High case 17 Base case 16-9-

10 IEEJ: / / / / /2020 High Case Base Case High Case $/bbl Base Case $/bbl

11 IEEJ:

12 IEEJ: High case Base case -12-

13 IEEJ: TWh TGWh GDP (2-3-1 ) GWh /05 45,997 97, , , , % 16.1% 11.2% 9.3% 8.2% 11.2% ,2010,2015,2020,

14 IEEJ: High Case GDP TGWh TGWh High case381tgwh 2025 Base case High case GDP GDP GWh /05 45,682 91, , , , % 15.0% 9.8% 8.1% 7.3% 10.0% 2-3-3Base case High case -14-

15 IEEJ: Base Case -15-

16 IEEJ: GDP

17 IEEJ: GDP GDP

18 IEEJ: High case

19 IEEJ: MW HighCase MW HighCase -19-

20 IEEJ: HighCase HighCase HighCase -20-

21 IEEJ: GDP GW Base case High case

22 IEEJ: Wh IEA, Energy Balances of Non-OECD Countries, High Case 6 1 Quang Ngai Dung Quat( ) 2 Thanh Hoa Nghi Son Ba Ria Vung Tau 600-1,

23 IEEJ: W W( ) W( ) W( ), ,512MW ,859 MW ,533MW ,937 MW ,196MW ,255 MW ,972MW ,215 MW ,416MW ,176 MW High Case

24 IEEJ: GDP IEA 2004 Contact: report@tky.ieej.or.jp 7 COP -24-

244024/佐貫利雄先生

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