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1 Hirose Yoko NATO NATO EU NATO NATO 1 NATO b 2 3 No

2 Starr and Cornell a EU AA No

3 NATO EU Mearsheimer 2014 NATO NATO NATO NATO Gonchar NATO No

4 NATO 4 Duke and Gebhard 2017 NATO NATO NATO Shlapak and Johnson 2016; Clark, Luik, Ramms and Shirreff NATO NATO GDP 2% 5 NATO 2 NATO NATO NATO 2016 NATO EU NATO NATO Setting the Record Straight EU No

5 NATO NATO NATO GDP 2% EDL % km 30%60% NATO NATO NATO NATO A NATO No

6 500 NATO NATO NATO NATO NATO 1 1 NATO 3 NATO NATO NORDEFCO NATO 2016 NATO NATO 1 NATO 4 F NATO 4 No

7 NATO Hybrid CoE: The European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats NATO EU 10 Salonius-Pasternak NATO MD MD W MD MD 2011 MD MD SM-3 8 NATO MD NATO 4 No

8 MD INF NATO NATO NATO 3 NATO NATO NATO NATO 3 NATO NATO No

9 2 3 NATO 102km NATO Elak and Śliwa NATO NATO NATO F-17C Ka No

10 NATO NATO Sauer 2017 EU Sperling and Webber NATO NATO Cross 2015 No

11 NATO % NATO NATO NATO NATO Council on Foreign Relations NATO % 25.6% 5.8% The World Fact Book CIA Siil 36 O Leary Hybrid CoE HP Clark, Wesley, Juri Luik, Egon Ramms, and Richard Shirreff 2016 Closing NATO s Baltic Gap, RKK ICDS Report. Council on Foreign Relations 2016 Preventive Priorities Survey: Cross, Sharyl 2015 NATO-Russia security challenges in the aftermath of Ukraine conflict: managing Black Sea security and beyond, Southeast European and Black Sea Studies, Vol. 15, No. 2. Duke, Simon, and Carmen Gebhard 2017 The EU and NATO s dilemmas with Russia and the prospects for No

12 deconfliction, European Security, Vol. 26, No. 3. Elak, Leszek, and Zdziltaw Śliwa 2016 The Suwalki Gap NATO s fragile hot spot, Wydanie, Vol. 103, No Gonchar, Myknailo 2014 Hybrid war in Eastern Europe, Centre for Global Studies, Strategy XXI, October., 2013 :, - Mearsheimer, John J Why the Ukraine Crisis Is the West s Fault: The Liberal Delusions That Provoked Putin, Foreign Affairs, September/October. NATO 2016 Securing the Nordic-Baltic region, NATO Magazine O Leary, Naomi 2017Huffpost Salonius-Pasternak, Charly 2017 An Effective antidote: The four components that make Finland more resilient to hybrid campaigns, FIIA Comment, 19/2017. Sauer, Tom 2017 The Origins of the Ukraine Crisis and the Need for Collective Security between Russia and the West, Global Policy, Vol. 8, No. 1 February Shlapak, David A, and Michael W. Johnson 2016 Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO s Eastern Flank, RAND Cooporation. Sperling, James, and Mark Webber 2017 NATO and the Ukraine crisis: Collective securitisation, European Journal of International Security, Vol. 2, No. 1. Starr, S. Frederick, and Svante E. Cornell eds Putin s Grand Strategy: The Eurasian Union and Its Discontents, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute Silk Road Studies Program., 2014, KM.RU ru/world/2014/10/15/barak-obama/ sila-rossii-v-ee-kovarnoi-kazhushcheisya-slabosti., 2014 :, a NHK 2014b hiyoko@sfc.keio.ac.jp No

18 2 2016 2 5 6 Robert S. Ross 7 Charles L. Glaser 8 Susan Shirk 9 10 5 David Shambaugh, China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order Internationa

18 2 2016 2 5 6 Robert S. Ross 7 Charles L. Glaser 8 Susan Shirk 9 10 5 David Shambaugh, China Engages Asia: Reshaping the Regional Order Internationa revisionist power status quo power 1 Aaron Friedberg 2 John J. Mearsheimer 3 4 David Shambaugh 2005 1 Alastair Iain Johnston, Is China a Status Quo Power? International Security, vol. 27, no. 4, (Spring

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