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1 S MORICHI, Shigeru TODOROKI, Tomoyuki Koppelman Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring

2 8 Diffusion 591 5,6,9, Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring 9

3 //5.52//58//5.9// A 93B Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring

4 Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring S 1 y1 K t a, b 5 Cx=lna/bx xyeyc 1 K A C B D E

5 KabK S R=.99 R=.98 R=.99 R=.98 R=.98 R=.98 R= In Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring

6 i i j l i j i j j / 8 3 1t v t 4 x 1 x 2 x 3 / x 4 x 5 / x 6 a i v t v v Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring 13

7 % 8% 6% 4% 2% % 14 Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring

8 PR K 3.4 K t R=.93 R=.98 R=.75.4 R=.98.2 R=.87 R=.92 R=.97 R= ab 13 ab/a 2 2 ba ba a. a Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring 15

9 OD 5 i, k l X t t t V b/a 2 16 Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring

10 Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring b/a

11 1% 8% 6% 4% 2% % S No. 4pp Koppelman1993 No. 11pp No. 482/IV-22pp No. 4pp pp No. 4pp pp DIFFUSION MODEL No. 151pp No.21pp Morichi, Todoroki, Nishimura and Furudoi [1997],Regional Disparity for Oversea Tour Trips of Japanese, Journal of EASTS, Vol.2 No.1, pp pp Analysis on Structure and Future Trend of Regional Disparity for Overseas Tourist Demand of Japan By Shigeru MORICHI and Tomoyuki TODOROKI This paper shows the characteristics of disparity on the current oversea tour trip in Japan with the analysis of several kinds of surveyed data in recent 3 years. It used the logistic curve for the formation of model to show the disparity of the personal attribute and regional characteristics. For the personal attributes, it adapted sex, age, occupation and income. For the regional characteristics, it adapted the level of income, information, leisure time, and transportation convenience. The study found out the structure and factor of disparity of personal attributes and regional characteristics. Finally, the study shows future trend of overseas tourist demand by regions in Japan. Key Words ; Overseas tourist demand, Regional disparity, Future trend analysis 18 Vol.4 No.1 21 Spring

KII, Masanobu Vol.7 No Spring

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