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1

2

3 GDP 1 toe / 100 (1987 ) EDMC % 141

4

5 GDP

6 1 4 GDP TOE/million $(1987base) EDMC

7 1 5 Energy Balances of non-oecd countries OECD/IEA µ µ World Development Indicator 1999, World Bank 6 145

8 10 GDP CO ( ) (1997) CDQ 146

9 no-regret WTO WTO 9 WTO China Quarterly Update World Bank

10 1 7 G DP EDMC 1999 p GDP 10 WTO 10 PPP World Development Indicator World Development Indicator 2000 PPP GDP toe/million $ toe/million $, toe/million $ 148

11 GDP 2 20 GDP % 12 Energy statistics of OECD countries(1994) % 35% 13 Energy Statistics and Balances of non-oecd countries(1996) 149

12 1 1 2 GDP NEEDS kg 664kg

13 p.8 17 GNP toe/t toe/t 17 p.6 18 World Development Indicator2000 GNP $42,685(1995 value)

14 1999 EDMC 1999 Energy Statistics of non-oecd countries OECD/IEA Energy Statistics of OECD countries OECD/IEA World Development Indicator 1999World Bank World Development Indicator 2000World Bank p156 AIJ NEDO

15 153 2 I 1 ( ) NEEDS

16 1 1 ( ) ( ) 2) 3)

17 a b (a+b ) (c) (d ) (c+d ) 2 3 (1),(2) p Annex

18 156

19 I I /1000kcal 1.44 /1000kcal p NEEDS 157

20 2% /1000kcal 0.21 /1000kcal 10 I 2% 12% % 38? kl 5 158

21 ( ) TRT LDG ,000kl OUTPUT pp p

22 kcal (1979 ) C=I/E{p(1+p) n }/(1+p) n -1 C I E 1979 C kcal C C 160

23 ( ) 2 39 p

24

25 % 4 163

26 , , JK 10, p p

27 Industrial Engineering IE IE IE 43 IE IE IE p IE IE

28 1 1 IE 1978 IE 46 QCqualitycontrol IE JK IE IE IE p

29

30

31 p.6 169

32 () NIRAOUTPUT Vol.10No.3() Vol.10No Vol.6No.1() 170

33 Vol.9No.12() NEEDS Vol.33No /T vol

34 ANNEX: 172

35 173

36 ANNEX: 1 1t 1.39t kl x 1.39t if x 1.39t kl 1t / 1t =/ 1970 ( /1970 ) ,1972,,1982 a% = / =1971,1972,,1982 b%=100 ( )b % 2 /EDMC kl 1.28t ( ) /1.28t= b % 1 / ab /( 1) 100 c%100 / d%100 ( )d % 2 d %[1 /( 1) ]100 cd 174

37 175 1 IE JK ANNEX

38 3 2 ( ) AIJ p

39 Energy Statistics of Non-OECD countries 2000Ed. 51 p.6 52 AIJ p p

40 AIJ p p46 178

41 p.1 58 AIJ p AIJ p.5 60 AIJ p.8 179

42 OECD OECD Energy Price and Tax(2000)OECD/IEA 61 p AIJ p ENERGY PRICES AND TAXES(2000)OECD 180

43 / OECD / CDQ 181

44 p.100

45 0.02 /kwh /kwh , , PP.65~ P AIJ NEDO

46 AIJ ENERGY PRICES AND TAXES(2000)OECD Energy Statistics of Non-OECD countries 2000Ed

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