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1 1 2 ( ) Quantitative Characteristics of Software Process (Is There any Myth, Mystery or Anomaly? No Silver Bullet?) Zenya Koono and Hui Chen A process creates a product. This paper reviews various samples of observed data, each internal structure to bring such results. The substantial structure behind these seems to be human intentional activity of human knowledge. Various comments are made on so-called software engineering. 1. Industrial Engineering, IE, koono@vesta.ocn.ne.jp; URL: Creation Project, koono@vesta.ocn.ne.jp. URL: Center for Information Science, Kokushikan University, Setagaya, Tokyo. 1

2 2. RADC (Rome Air Development Center) Nelson Nelson Fig. 2 Nelson Fig. 12 Nelson a b Total Man- Months 2. COCOMO Boehm 100K 10K 1K K 10K DSLOC 1. c 100K x 3 x 1/3 1M Center trend line Y = X M Industrial Engineering, (IE, F. W. Taylor Time Study) ( ) ( ) / / /. Gilbreth 2

3 (Motion study) Time study Motion study Nelson IE COCOMO Boehm COnstructive Cost MOdel Software Engineering Economics 2a ) 1 Boehm 1 Nelson : Organic, :Semidetached, Embedded x Boehm 1 x>1 X 1 V x 1 V V V Function Point FP IBM A. J. Albrecht Function Point Function Point 3 4. [3] Thayers [8] 2a, 2b 1, 2a, 2b x. 1, 2a, 2b 3 1 ( N = 5 N = 4 2 Thayers 80% 3

4 Number of errors/defects Software size (Steps) % ( )/2 ( )/2 ( )/2 ± {( ) )/100}/2 1.4 N = 4 ( ) ( ) )/ 3 X Y= N (N = 1 N) N M X5 X1/ Residual error rate (normalized) 10 1 Accumulated test intensity (test/kloc) [2] X = / Y = ( X = 0. Y = 5 ( ), 2 / / Ec 1 2 Ec 2 1 Ed Ed Ec 2 Ec 2 4

5 DeMarco a b DeMarco anomaly DeMarco anomally 5

6 c a 0.6 Normalizedpr oductivity Number of times of developments b ] K Y X A V. Pareto 80% 20% W. E. Deming 6

7 Value Analysis/Engineering) I/O VA VA VA [1, 3, 9] a b process product

8 iphone ipad Kindle 30 [17] 700 2[JISA] 1% Microsoft 15% VF etwas Neues [3] Z. Koono, H. Chen and B.H. Far: Expert s Knowledge Structure Explains Software Engineering, Joint Conference on Knowledge-Based Software Engineering (1996), , [4] B.W. Boehm, Software Engineering Economics, Prentice Hall, [5] ) Vol. 26, No. 1, pp , [6] 10, , p. 171, [7] G. Salvendi, eds, Handbook of Industrial Engineering, John & Sons, IE, [8] Thayers et al., Software Reliability Study, Final Technical Report, RADC-TR , Rome Air Development Center, ( British Library [9] Z. Koono, K. Ashihara and M. Soga, Structural Way of Thinking as Applied to Development, IEEE/IEICE GLOBECOM 1987, pp , [10] 2005-SE-147(12), [11] E. B. Daly and D. A. Mnichowitz, The Management of large Software Development for Stored Program Controlled Switching Systems, International Switching Symposium 1979, pp , [12] T. Demarco and T. Leister, Software Development: State of the Art and State of the Practice, 11th International Conference on Software Engineering, pp , [13] :, [14], PCT W02002/097727, , * ZL , July 26, * US 7,480,642 B2, Jan. 20, Hassan Abolhassani , pp , [16] Z. Koono, H. Abolhassani and H. Chen, A new way of automatic design of software (Simulating human intentional activity), SoMeT 06, p , 2006.,JISA URL: [1] Z. Koono, H. Chen and H. Abolhassani, An Introduction to Quantitative, Rational and Scientific Process in Software Development (Part 1 and 2), SoMeT 07, pp , [2] R. Nelson, Software Data Collection and Analysis at RADC, Rome Air Development Center, Rome, NY, (Western Michigan Univ. Library Partial copy 8

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