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1

2 1 open source software, OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS Linux

3

4 3 I OSS OSS JFreeChart

5 MVC DAO II OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS

6 5

7

8 7 2.1 ArgoUML ArgoUML OSS µ(t) µ d (t) MTBF MT BF C (t) MVC /

9 / OSS

10 Fedora Core

11 10 I

12 11 2 UML N 2.1 UML Unified Modeling Language UML

13 : ArgoUML 2.2: ArgoUML UML UML JUDE astah* community JUDE/Community ArgoUML ArgoUML URL Java ArgoUML UML ArgoUML

14 : test1 test2 2.4: UML ArgoUML New Activity Diagram 2.3 SwimLane UML

15 : ArgoUML New Sequence Diagram

16 : /test1 /test2 /test3 data (a) data (b) data (c) data (d) : [1] [ ] N (2.1) R = 1 (1 0.9) (1 0.8) = = = 0.98, (2.2)

17 : 2.11 R = 1 ( ) = 1 (1 0.72) = = 0.72, (2.3) 2.12

18 : 2.10: 2.11: 2.12:

19

20 19 5 OSS OSS OSS OSS V OSS OSS [2, 3] OSS

21 : OSS EU OSS [4] OSS Android[5] BusyBox[6] OSS OSS 1 2 OSS [4] OSS OSS 1 OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS Release

22 5.1. OSS 21 Candidate OSS 1 2 software reliability growth model SRGM [1] 5.1 OSS SRGM OSS, 1 SRGM [1] nonhomogeneous Poisson process NHPP NHPP {N(t), t 0} SRGM [1] Pr{N(t) = n} = {H(t)}n exp[ H(t)] (n = 0, 1, 2, ). (5.1) n! Pr{ } H(t) (0, t] N(t) NHPP SRGM OSS 1

23 22 5 SRGM OSS [7, 8] NHPP [1] (0, t] µ(t) µ(t) = 1 θ P ln[λ 0(θ P )t + 1] subject to (P θ) < 1 λ 0 t (0 < θ, 0 < λ 0, 0 < P < 1), (5.2) λ 0 θ 1 P NHPP t = 0 OSS t {S(t), t 0} ds(t) dt = λ(t)s(t). (5.3) λ(t)(> 0) t OSS OSS Gauss OSS λ(t) (5.3) ds(t) dt = {λ(t) + σγ(t)} S(t), (5.4)

24 5.1. OSS 23 σ (> 0) γ(t) Markov Gauss λ(t) t (5.4) Itô [9, 10] [11] ds(t) = {λ(t) σ2 }S(t)dt + σs(t)dω(t). (5.5) (5.5) S(0) = v Itô [9, 10] ( ) t S(t) = v exp λ(s)ds + σw (t), (5.6) 0 v (5.6) W (t) (1) W (t) Gauss. (2) W (t) E[W (t)] = 0, Var[W (t)] = σ 2 t, (5.7) (3) W (t). (4) Pr[W (0)=0]=1. OSS t 0 λ(s)ds = (1 exp[ αt]). (5.8) α (5.8) S OSS (5.8) (5.6) lim E[S(t)] =. (5.9) t

25 24 5 t stochastic differential equation SDE t E[S(t)] E[S(t)] = v exp ( t 0 ) λ(s)ds + σ2 2 t, (5.10) 5.2 NHPP SDE NHPP µ d (t) = dµ(t). (5.11) dt SDE S(t) ( t {exp(σ Var[S(t)] = E[{S(t) E[S(t)]} 2 ] = v 2 exp 2 λ(s)ds + σ t) 2 2 t) 1 }. (5.12) 0 mean time between software failures: MTBF MTBF t MTBF instantaneous MTBF: MTBF I MTBF cumulative MTBF: MTBF C NHPP SDE t MTBF 1 MT BF I (t) = dµ(t)/dt, (5.13) [ ] 1 MT BF I (t) = E, (5.14) ds(t)/dt

26 MTBF t MT BF C (t) = µ(t), (5.15) [ ] t MT BF C (t) = E, (5.16) S(t) SRGM OSS

27

28 IBM e-business e-business (Electronic Commerce EC ) e-business EC EDI [17] 1. B to B (Business to Business) ASP SaaS 2. B to C (Business to Customer) 3. C to C (Customer to Customer)

29 B to E (Business to Employee) 5. G to B/C (Government to Business/Citizen) ( ) A to A(Application to Application) B to B 9.1: 9.2

30 [17] 9.3 [17] ( )

31 30 9 (DFD) [17] DFD DFD

32 / (ER ) (Entity) (Relationship) (ER ) (CRUD) C( ) R( ) U( ) D( )

33 32 9 ( I/O ) 9.4 ( )

34 / / /

35

36 OSS OSS OSS Web OSS OSS OSS 10.2 OSS Java

37 Windows jdk- -windows-i586-p.exe path path path ; path javac [ ] [ ] [ ] [ ] javac Linux Linux JRE JDK 10.4.zip oss.jar Windows oss.jar Mac Linux java -jar oss.jar 10.5 Estimation Results Based on Neural Network Estimation Results of Model Parameter Cumulative number of detected faults Instantaneous Fault Detection Rate Cumulative MTBF predicted Relative Error

38 Estimation Results Based on Neural Network Estimation Results of Model Parameter φ, λ 0 P Cumulative number of detected faults Instantaneous Fault Detection Rate Cumulative MTBF MTBF predicted Relative Error OSS 1 CSV Comma Separated Values 2.

39 MTBF GUI 9. 1 Java 10. JFreeChart OSS 1. OSS 2. CSV MTBF

40 10.8. JFreeChart JFreeChart J2SE Java 2D API JFreeChart JFreeChart The JFreeChart Project Java 1.3 LGPL GNU Lesser General Public License OSS [?] JFreeChart 10.9 OSS Fedora 1 Fedora Core Linux Kernel [12] Fedora Core 7 FC7 Test 1 OSS FC data.csv Kernel (5.2) 10.1 Fedora Core Kernel Kernel 1 Fedora Red Hat Inc.

41 : Fedora Core 7 Date Event 1 February 2007 Test1 Release 29 February 2007 Test2 Release 27 March 2007 Test3 Release 24 April 2007 Test4 Release 31 May 2007 Fedora 7 General Availability 10.1: Kernel-module-thinkpad Kernel-pcmciacs Kenrel-utils Kernel-xen-2.6 Kernel Kernel-module-thinkpad Kernel-pcmcia-cs Kenrel-utils Kernel-xen-2.6 (5.2) µ(t) 10.2 (5.11) µ d (t) (5.15) MTBF MT BF C (t)

42 : µ(t) 10.3: µ d (t)

43 : MTBF MT BF C (t) 10.5:

44 : Fedora Core FC6 FC7 FC6 92 t FC FC OSS

45 :

46 ,. GUI. / /.,. /,.,., ( )., MVC, Model, View, Model View Controller., Smalltalk GUI, J2EE.

47 46 11,. Model ( ). 11.1: MVC 11.3.,...,,...

48 , /BL/DAO/..,.. BL( )., BL. BL. BL , ( ).,..

49 DAO,. ( ) DAO. ( ) ( ). BL..,,.

50 ( )..,..,.,,.,.,.,.

51 50 12,., ( ).,.,.., ( ), ( ).,.,..,. 12.1:

52 ,. HatchuDaoImple.java. JSP. Tomcat JNDI DB page language= java %> page contenttype= text/html; charset=utf-8 %> page import= java.util.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.common.util.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.dao.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.dao.factory.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.exception.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.model.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.view.form.formbean %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.view.form.odr.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.view.form.rcv.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.view.form.slp.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.view.form.smt.* %> page import= jp.co.knc.ossmc.view.form.stk.* %> <html> <body> <% /** * */ JuchuDao jd1 = DaoFactory.getFactory(Constant.DAO TYPE).getJuchuDao(); Juchu j1 = jd1.getjuchudata( 4 ); jd1.close(); %> <div> <p> </p> <table> <tr> <th> </th> <td><%= j1.getjuchucode() %></td> </tr> <tr> <th> </th> <td><%= j1.getjuchustate() %></td> </tr> <tr> <th> </th> <td><%= j1.getjuchudate() %></td> </tr> <tr>

53 52 12 <th> </th> <td><%= j1.getjuchugaku() %></td> </tr> <tr> <th> </th> <td><%= j1.gettokuisakihatchucode() %></td> </tr> <tr> <th> </th> <td><%= j1.getshukkadate() %></td> </tr> </table> </div> <% /** * NO */ JuchuDao jd2 = DaoFactory.getFactory(Constant.DAO TYPE).getJuchuDao(); Juchu j2 = jd2.getjuchudata( 4 ); j2.setversionno(j2.getversionno()+1); // No boolean judge2 = false; try jd2.updatejuchudata(j2); catch(exception ex) judge2 = true; finally jd2.close(); %> <div> <p> NO </p> <%= judge2 %> </div> </body> </html> Tomcat, ,.

54 ( ).. DAO,. Service Action (DAO ) Tomcat,. 12.4,.,., ( ).,. Tomcat,.

55 : / 12.5.,.,.,,

56 : / 12.4:.

57 :

58 II

59

60 59 12 OSS 12.1 OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS Web OSS OSS

61 60 12 OSS 12.1: OSS 12.2: OSS 12.2 OSS OSS Firefox, Fedora, OpenOffice, Apache, Android, MySQL, Samba, Thunderbird, Sunbird, Chrome, BusyBox.

62 12.3. OSS 61 OSS Web OSS 20 OSS OSS OSS 12.3 OSS OSS GPL GNU General Public License LGPL GNU Lesser General Public License GPL BSD BSD X11 License Apache Software License Web OSS 2 OSS

63

64 63 13 OSS EU OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS 13.1 OSS OSS [2, 3] OSS EU OSS [4] OSS Android[5] BusyBox[6] OSS OSS 1 2 OSS [4] OSS OSS 1 OSS OSS OSS

65 64 13 OSS [1, 13, 14, 15, 16] Schick Wolverton(S-W) model: z k (x) = φ(n k + 1)x (N > 0, φ > 0; k = 1, 2,, N), (13.1) φ E[X k ] = 2(N k + 1)φ. (13.2) Jelinski Moranda(J-M) model: z k (x) = φ(n k + 1) (N > 0, φ > 0; k = 1, 2,, N), (13.3) E[X k ] = 1 φ(n k + 1). (13.4) Moranda model: z k (x) = Dc k 1 (D > 0, 0 < c < 1; k = 1, 2, ), (13.5) E[X k ] = 1. Dck 1 (13.6) Xie model:

66 z k (x) = λ 0 (N k + 1) α E[X k ] = (N > 0, λ 0 > 0, α 1; k = 1, 2,, N), (13.7) 1 λ 0 (N k + 1). α (13.8) N : φ : D : c : λ : α :, 1, 1,, α 1,. OSS [7, 8] SRGM nonhomogeneous Poisson process NHPP SRGM OSS OSS

67

68 67 14 OSS 14.1 OSS OSS OS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS Android[5] BusyBox[6] OSS OSS OS Android[5] Linux TRON OSS OSS 3 OSS 14.2 OSS

69 68 14 OSS 14.1: OSS OSS 14.1 Android OS 14.1 OSS Android OSS OSS 14.1 OSS

70 OSS 14.3 OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS OSS

71

72 71 IPA 3 OSS

73

74 73 [1],,,, [2] The Apache HTTP Server Project, The Apache Software Foundation, [3] Mozilla.org, Mozilla Foundation, [4],,, [5] Open Handset Alliance, Android, [6] Erik Andersen, BUSYBOX, [7],,,, vol J88 A no 7 pp , 2005 [8] Y. Tamura and S. Yamada, A Method of User-oriented Reliability Assessment for Open Source Software and Its Applications, Proceedings of the 2006 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Taipei, Taiwan, Oct. 8 11, 2006, pp [9] L. Arnold, Stochastic Differential Equations Theory and Applications, John Wiley & Sons, New York, [10] E. Wong, Stochastic Processes in Information and Systems, McGraw Hill, New York, [11] S. Yamada, M. Kimura, H. Tanaka, and S. Osaki, Software reliability measurement and assessment with stochastic differential equations, IEICE Trans. Fundamentals, vol. E77-A, no. 1, pp , Jan

75 74 14 OSS [12] Fedora Project, sponsored by Red Hat. [Online]. Available: [13] G.J. Schick and R.W. Wolverton, An Analysis of Competing Software Reliability Models, IEEE Trans. Reliability Engineering, SE 4 (2), pp , [14] Z. Jelinski, P.B. Moranda, Software Reliability Research, in Statistical Computer Performance Evaluation, Freiberger, W.(ed.), pp , Academic Press, New York, [15] P.B. Moranda, Event altered Rate Models for General Reliability Analysis, IEEE Trans. Reliability, R 28 (5), pp , [16] M. Xie, On a Generalization of the J-M Model, Proc. Reliability 89, 5 Ba/3/1 5 Ba/3/7, [17] (1)IT- (

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