年金制度をより持続可能にするための原理・原則と課題

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1 2004 GDP (2005)(2005) ) ( (2004) ) 2004 / / nakata-daigo@rieti.go.jp 1 () (3 ) ( 0.3%)( 0.9% ) 100 (100 ) () 2023

2 (RIETI ) 2 RIETI 2004 RIETI % % 1954 ( ) % %( 10.6% 8.9%) RIETI OSU 3 (2005)1942 2

3 15,700 ( 3,770 ) ( + ) % 3

4 (2005) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )

5 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( 5

6 ) 5 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) RIETI RIETI RIETI RIETI (1981) (2003) RIETI 7 RIETI 6

7 OSU 9 OSU EXCEL OSU RIETI RIETI OSU (1999) OSU (2004) (2004) (2005)

8 11 ( RIETI ) RIETI % 11 8

9 RIETI % (40 ) (

10 10

11 11

12 % NDC 17 12

13 2.1% RIETI 1: % 13

14 NDC % 19 ( ) 20 14

15 ( ) ( ) 65 ( ) % % %

16 (%) ( ) ( 2 1) ( ) %10.0 1% 12.5 GDP 1% 1% GDP 16 GDP % GDP

17 GDP GDP 2009 RIETI % 22 4% % 7% % % 5.5% % 23 17

18 2 : ( ) % %

19 ( )

20 1: ( ) (40 )

21 % 5.8% ) 30 21

22 ( )

23 ( ) ( ) 23

24 % 72.7% 27.3% % 3.3% 39.6% ( ) 24

25 ( ) % (72.7%) 23.8% (3.3%) 39.6% (RIETI ) % 31 7% 31 25

26 RIETI 26

27 27 () (1981) SPRING 1981 (2003) (2004) (2005) (2004) 2004 (2005) (2005) (2004) 2004 (2004) (2005) 15% (2004) 11 (1999) (2005)

2

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