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1 経 済 学 部 池 尾 和 人 研 究 会 平 成 十 六 年 度 三 田 祭 論 文 プロジェクト ファイナンスの 現 状 と 課 題 金 融 パート 竹 下 慶 成 相 晋 一 郎 服 部 孝 洋 渡 邉 英 里 2004 年 11 月

2

3 SPC 2

4

5 IPPIndependent Power Producer PFIPrivate Finance Initiative M A MBOmanagement buy out HP HP 12 4

6 GHQ 5

7 1 Hellmann,Murdock,Stiglitz1995 Financial Restraint: Towards A New Paradigm

8

9

10

11 ABS Asset Backed Security ABS ABS

12 functional perspective 1980 Merton and Bodie1995 The Global Financial System 6 11

13 Levine Hubbard2000 Merton and Bodie Merton 12

14

15 (a) (b) ALMAsset Liability Management VaRValue at Risk (c)

16 145 0 ROE ROA ROA ROA BS Asset Backed Securities BS M&A MBO

17 CBOCLO CMBS 16

18 / / 17

19 2 18

20

21

22 /

23

24 1 John and John 23

25 John and John Jensen Shar and Thakor Chen,Kensiger,and Martin 24

26 Brickley,Lease,and,Smith Schipper and Smith

27 BP BP BP BP 1980 LNG 26

28 PURPA PURPA PURPA 200 BOT BOT (Built) (Operate) (Transfer) PFI 90 PFI PFI Private Finance Initiative 27

29 23 PFI DBJ HP PFI SPC SPC PFI PFI 25 PFI PFI PFI PFI PFI 28

30 PFI PFI PFI BOT PFI BOT PFI BOT PFI BOT 80 BOT PFI PFI 1992 PFI LRT 1997 PFI PPP PFI PFI PFI

31 / (Waterfall Basis Cash Flow) ( ) Application of Funds 1 ( ) / 30

32 DCF NPV IRR

33 DSCR Sensitivity Analysis 32

34 SPC 33

35 34

36 [ ]

37 [ ] 36

38 EPC(Engineering Procurement Construction) EPC EPC EPC 313 [ ] 37

39 ( ) (). 38

40 (). () () 2 39

41 322 40

42 3 23 [ ]

43 325 42

44

45 /

46 4 i. 2 ii. iii. iv. v

47 Max( R ) S P(S) CS. 2 S S

48 . ROE

49 421 48

50 i. 40 ii. iii. iv. 49

51 D/E / 50

52 v. 51

53 3 2 2 a. b

54 3 i. ii. iii

55 434 ( / ) i. ii. 54

56 iii. 3 55

57 / ROE LLCR ROE LLCR

58 i. ii. EPC(Engineering Procurement Construction) a EPC b EPC 57

59 EPC i.. / 58

60 ... ii. 2 / 59

61 444 i.... ( ii. 445 BOT i. ii

62 4 46 i. ii. iii. 61

63

64 2~3 iv. 452 i. ROE

65 100% b

66 ii. iii

67 / 66

68 471 i. ii. iii. 67

69

70 i. ii. 3 69

71

72 i ii. /

73 492 3 i. ii. iii. 72

74 491 i. 73

75 ( ) 2 74

76 ii

77 ,

78 495 i. ii. iii. 77

79 i. ii. iii. 78

80

81 1 1 ARCO SOCAL Edison SOCAL Edison ARCO QF QF PURPA QF QF 2 ARCO SPCSocial Gas SPC PURPS QF QF QF ARCO 80

82 2 BOT BOT BOT PLN PPA 30 1 P. T. Batu Hitam Perukasa (BHP) 30 BHP PLN PLN OPIC 3 PFI A 1,000kW B A A C NEDO A SPC 81

83 SPC SPC PFI 4 2 BOT 2 82

84 SPC 83

85 Grupo Tribasa Grupo Tribasa A 144A Grupo Tribasa Grupo Tribasa Grupo Tribasa 84

86 2005 Grupo Tribasa Grupo Tribasa Grupo Tribasa 85

87 PFI PFI PFI PFI PFI 86

88 3 PFI PFI PFI 512PFI , , , PFI PFI PFI 87

89 3 PFI PFI 3 PFI PFI PFI PFI PFI PFI PFI PFI 88

90 PFI IPP V 2,000kW 3 89

91 USJ USJ 2 2 USJ USJ PFI 90

92 PFI PFI 91

93

94

95

96 95

97 Securitization MBS

98 SPV SPV SPV SPC SPV SPV SPV SPV 97

99 SPC IT 300 SPC

100

101 URL

102 101

377 178 159 63 45 68%) 20 100 100 56 1981 23 2011 23 1 1 1970 80 1,670 242 55 12 9 1970 80 1981 54 622 234 30 50 1970 80 21 2 1 3 2010 123 2015 2020 4 250 20 1 5,140 757 2008 287 2. 470 38 5 1970 80

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