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1 OECD 1
2 (OECD) OECD 30 OECD OECD OECD OECD OECD 2
3 OECD OECD OECD MLIT OECD 3
4 4
5 Disaster Management Council Technical Investigation Committees MLIT Yves Kovacs Ulf Bjurman Reza Lahidji OECD Reza Lahidji OECD Ulf Bjurman Nikolaï Malyshev OECD Pierre Alain Schieb OECD Barrie Stevens Anita Gibson Lucy Lrawcsyk Jack Radisch Jenny Leger OECD OECD.. OECD 5
6 (OECD)
7 (EPTB) (ICPR)
8 CEMAGREF
9 ( 2000 ) The River Law with Commentary by Article
10 I I.5.1. ICPR (ICPR, 2002) I
11 AIST: ANSI/NFPA: / Bank of Japan: BCP: BS: BZK: CalARP: CAO: CAT: CCS: CDF: CDMC: CEMAGREF: CND Plan: DEFRA: DHI: Diet: Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University: DSB: EC: EEA: EPTB: ESPACE: European Spatial Planning Adapting to Climate Events FDMA: FEMA: GBP: UK GDP: GEONET: GPS GNP: 11
12 GSI: HERP: HIC: International Conference on Hydro-informatics ICHARM: ICPR: ICT: IDI: ( ) IPPC: Japanese Red Cross Society: JMA: JPY: MLIT: NCC: NFIP: NFPA: NGO: NIED: NVC: OECD: PES: PRP: PWRI: RIA: RMS: Risk Management Solutions SME: Swedish Rescue Services Agency: UK: UNEP: UNESCO: UN/SDR: UN/WWAP: USA: 12
13 13
14 14
15 OECD
16
17 OECD
18 (JMA) (IPCC) 4. 18
19 2. ( )
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21 7. 3. OECD
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26 14. 26
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28 km , , 28
29 ( GNP 20 ) mm 5 100mm , , (IPCC) cm 50 ( ) 29
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31 ( 1.5 ) 1.5. (m), , Rivers in Japan ,440km 1953 () 6,018km 1947 () 55,400km 1946 ( ) 21,750km 1861 (), , Rivers in Japan , ,
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51 OECD ()( 3.1 ) , , Rivers in Japan 51
52 m 1m 2m 5m 5m, , Rivers in Japan 1 GNP 52
53 ( 4 ) 2 ( ) 53
54 .4 ( ) ( 3 ) ( )
55 5. CEMAGREF CEMAGREF TOP (TOP= )(TOP=1000) (TOP=1) DHI MIKE Module TAL TOP TAL 55
56 3.3. (TAL) DHI Eau & Environnement S. Mejdi 1. IDI 1, : loire.fr/publications/newsletter/nl5.htm,accessed in February
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58 4.1. ( ), 2007,, Comprehensive Flood Management in Japan o o o o 58
59 o o : : : : 59
60 4.2., , Rivers in Japan ( 2 ) ( 2 ), , Rivers in Japan ( 4.4 ): 60
61 ( ) 4.4., 2007,, Comprehensive Flood Management in Japan 6.3km 10m mm
62 ( ) ,000km ,800 m 3 /s 3,900 m ,000 m 3 /s 4 62
63 IPCC IPCC , ,, 63
64 ( 4.5 ) , , Rivers in Japan 6. 64
65 () NGO 6 3 ( )
66 10 70 OECD ( ) 5 66
67 ()3 67
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69 :, , Rivers in Japan 2. :, 2007, River Administration in Japan 3. : OECD 4. : OECD, ,, 2004, Life and Livelihood boudn to the Earth: A vision for the regeneration of the Trumi River Basin 6. : OECD 69
70 OECD 7. : OECD 8. : OECD 9. : OECD 10. : OECD 11. : Baden Wurttemberg Umweltministerium, , Hochwasservorsorge in Baden Wurttemberg: Anforderungen an Anlagen zum Umgang mit wassergefahrdenden Stoffen,, 70
71 71
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82 BCP BCP ( civil forces?) ( civil forces?) 2 82
83 (civil security forces?) Civil security forces NGO
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87 1995 3, , ,400 5, :, OECD 35% 40% 6 OECD 95 ( 40 ) 7 87
88 .10 ( ) OECD :, 2007, 2. :, 2007, 3. :, 2007, 4. : : 2007, : OECD OECD(2003), 7. : ( ) OECD 88
89 . (EPTB) EPTB EPTB Loire SEPIA Conseils, 2007, Apprendre a vivre avec les inondations, Les EPTB, un moteur d innovation. 89
90 . (CCS) * * * * * 1. CCS, weside: 90
91 . ESPACE 2003 : the Bayerisches Landesmat für Umwelt and Wasserwirtschaftsamt Bad Kissingen. I.3.1. : ESPACE(2008). 91
92 (2) 1/100 (1 ) km A1 A3 ( )A122,000 A38,000 : United Kingdom National Press Office (2004) 92
93 . (ICPR) 1950 ICPR cm cm ftp 93
94 I.5.1. ICPR (ICPR, 2002) HQ10 HQ m 2.0m 4.0m 4m : Harm Oterdoom, 2001, 94
95 95. I.6.1. :, /
96 (DCC) DCC (NCC) (NVC) (Ministry of BZK) 96
97 . EU : Geovernment office of Sweden(2007) 97
98 . < : Camphuis, Nicolas Gerard: 98
99 . : (2000) 99
100 .10 (FEMA) (NFIP) Write Your Own (WYO) NFIP FEMA NFIP NFIP 25 NFIP NFIP WYO (PRP)PRP PRP PRP WYO PRP (100 ) FEMA : (2006) 100
101 .11 A.1. A.1.a. A.1.b. 101
102 A.1.c A.2. A.2.a A.2.b 102
103 A.3. A.3.a A.3.b. 103
104 A.4. A.5. A.5.a A.5.b 104
105 A.5.c. A.6. A.7. A.7.a. 105
106 A.7.b A.8. B
107 B.2. B.2.a. B.2.b. B.3. B.3.a. B.3.b. 107
108 B.4. B.5. B.6. B.7. B.7.a B.7.b 108
109 .12 (ICHARM) 109
110 2007 DHI Eau & Environnement, 7th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, HIC 2006, Nice, FRANCE. FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT BASED ON METHODE INONDABILITE French Ministry of Land Use Planning and Environment. Major Risks Prevention Bureau. April 2000, Pierre A. Vidal Naquet and Francis Calvet, A L EPREUVE D UNE CATASTROPHE. Les inundations de novembre 1999 dans le midi de la France IDI Water Series No.4, February 1999, supervised by River Bureau, Ministry of Construction, JAPAN, compiled and commented by Toshikatsu Omachi (IDI), published by the Infrastructure Development Institute. THE RIVER LAW WITH COMMENTARY BY ARTICLE, Legal Framework for River and Water Management in Japan, Japan. (2004): 2003,. (MLIT) (2005): OECD. (MLIT)(2007)Existing Conditions and Tasks of River Administration in terms of Flood Control. (MLIT) (2007) 7 OECD The Review of Floods in Japan. (MLIT) (2008)Adaptation measures related to water related disasters to reduce the impacts of climate change due to global warming. (2007) 7 OECD The review of process of Floods and Earthquakes in Japan. (2000) (n.a.): River Administration in Japan, OECD (2003): A Methodological Framework for Evaluating Risk Management Policies, background document for the first meeting of the Project Steering Group, 3 November OECD (2006 a): Information security in Norway. OECD Risk Management Studies, OECD, Paris. OECD (2006 b): Risk Management Policies in Japan concerning large scale floods, OECD Study in Risk Management, OECD, Paris. 110
111 OECD. 9th Working Party on Global and Structural Policies SCEERING STUDY: RANKING PORT CITIES WITH HIGH EXPOSURE AND VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE EXTREMES. INTERIM ANALYSIS EXPOSURE ESTIMATES UN/WWAP(United Nations/World Water Assessment Programme)., st UN World Water Development Report: Water for People, Water for Life. Paris, New York and Oxford. UNESCO (United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization) and Berghahn Books., Pilot Case Studies,; a focus on real world examples. Greater Tokyo Japan. 111
112 112
113 4 (/OECD 2002) ( Safety Regions 2004) 113
114 1. OECD OECD DSB 2. OECD (RIA) RIA RIA 2002 PES 114
115 3. () 115
116
117 OECD (OECD 2005a)
118 ( ) (pp.26,28.) CalARP OECD 118
119 8 OECD ( 1 2 ) 9 (SME) 119
120 10 120
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122 122
123 4 / km , 20km 123
124 , ,000 ( (2007). ) , (Reischauer 1953)
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126 (HERP) % (CDMC) 9, , GDP 7.2% % 50 90% % 80 90% , GDP 11% 4 OECD
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128 1961 ()
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130 ,000 80,000 km 2 2,000 km ,400 km km 2 OECD 70% GDP 15% % OECD (OECD, 2005) 130
131 / (OECD 2002) ( Safety Regions 2004) 131
132 1. 10 OECD (1) (2)(3) (4) (MLIT) ( ) OECD 132
133 ( 2 ) ( ) () OECD 3 133
134 4 3 OECD DSB % 4.5% 2002 ( ) 134
135 , GDP 8.2% GDP 150% () 5 GDP 38% () : OECD (2006a). 3% 5% (2005). 135
136 (PES) PES PES PES ( ) 2400km 2.4 (GDP 0.5%) km 136
137 ( 3 1 ) % 89% 3% 37% % 53 4 OECD (RIA) RIA RIA PES PES (2003) A
138
139 139
140 GPS JMA 600 JMA GSI, GEONET GPS 1,231 GPS 20km GPS GPS GSI 3 1cm (NIED, ) 3 K NET() 1000 Hi net () 750 F net () 70 (AIST, )( ) 140
141 TYPE ,800 (HERP) () HERP
142 HERP e,html
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144 1990 Wisner Uitto GIS ()
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146 ( 9.2 ) 9.2. (2006), 14 ( 3 1 ) 146
147 5. 147
148 148
149 ,000 90,000 25% MEXT (2007) ( 2005)
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151 ( 2001) Whittaker 1998 ( 2005, p.47) m/s M7.3 11, % 90%30% 60 40% 151
152 OECD (OECD 2005a) , km km 2 13,000 OECD (2004). CND 152
153 ( 2005 pp.7,8) ( 10.1 ) 153
154 Alquisito Priolo m 10 ( ) : 154
155 155
156 ,000 m 3 (UNEP, 2005) ,000 m OECD 3 156
157 (Uitto, 1998) Cruz 2007 CalARP 1998 (CalARP, 2004) 157
158 ( (2005), pp.26, 28) CalARP OECD 8 OECD 2,000 80% (RMS, 2005) OECD 158
159 ( 11.1 ) HB 221 HB / (ANSI/NFPA 1600) NFPA /11 BS (BS ) Standards Australia ( American National Standards Institute ( British Standards Institution ( global.com/) BCP ( 2005, p.34.)bcp 159
160 OECD ( 1 2 ) 9 (SME) OECD 160
161 300, ( 28 ) ( 2 1 ) 2 / / 161
162 OECD
163 163
164 OECD ( 84 ) ,
165 ) ( ) ( 2005, p.46, )
166
167 (Petak, William J., 2000, p. 10.) 25 3 (Ibid) / % 50% 5,000 1, () 7.7%
168 , % (, 2006) (CDF)
169 % 169
170 . 170
171 171
172 . 83 A.1. A.1.a. 172
173 A.1.b. A.1.c A
174 A.2.a A.2.b A.3. A.3.a 174
175 A.3.b. A.3.c. 175
176 A.3.d. 10 A.4. A.4.a A.4.b. A.4.c. 176
177 A.4.d. 10 A.5. A.5.b A.6. A.6.a 177
178
179 NGO B. B.1. B.2. B.2.a. 179
180 B.2.b. B.3. B.3.a. B.3.b. B
181 B.5. B.6. B.7. B.7.a B.7.b 181
182 . 182
183 Alexandre MARTEL Agent responsible de la politique intégrée de gestion du risque Division de la Planification Stratégique Sécurité publique Canada Philippe THOMPSON Directeur Division de la Planification Stratégique Sécurité publique Canada Niels JACOBSEN Head of Section Danish Emergency Management Agency Niels MADSEN Senior Advisor Danish Emergency Management Agency Dorte JUUL MUNCH Head of Section Civil Sector Preparedness Division Danish Emergency Management Agency Henrik Grosen NIELSEN Head of Division Emergency Management Division Ministry of the Interior and Health Jean-Claude EUDE Directeur Déveloment et Relations extérieures stablissement Public Loire Luigi D ANGELO Department for Civil Protection Prime minister s office Agostino MIOZZO Minister Plenipotentiary Presidency of the Council of Ministers 183
184 Hilde Bostr m LINDLAND Senior Engineer/Project Manager Directorate for Civil Protection and Emergency Planning (DSB) Ministry of Justice and the Police Minga ORKAN Deputy Director Social Services Alf ROSEBERG Project Leader Swedish Rescue Services Agency Jim SANDKVIST Director SSPA John TESH Deputy Director Respresenting Bruce MANN Director, Capabilities Civil Contingencies Secretariat Cabinet Office Tina GABBRIELLI () Acting Director Office of Risk Management and Analysis National Protection and Programs Directorate US Department of Homeland Security 184
185 (2002), Disaster Management in Japan.. (2001), Findings and Recommendations on Hospital Seismic Safety.,. CalARP (2004), Guidance for California Accidental Release Prevention Program Seismic Assessments, (2005), General Principles of Measures for Dealing with Major Earthquakes Centered in Tokyo. (2004), Local Government in Japan. (n.a.): Seismic Activity in Japan Regional perspectives on the characteristics of destructive earthquakes,, (2005), Lessons from the Great Hanshin Earthquake 100. :. 2007,Preliminary Findings and Lessons Learned from the 16 July 2007 Earthquake at Kashiwazaki Kariwa NPP. :IAEA. (2006), On effects of the Hyogo earthquake on household consumption: A note, Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 47:2, pp (2007),, (2005), White Paper on Land, Infrastructure and Transport in Japan. (2004), Performing Together for Public Safety and Security An Introduction.,.. (2005), Improvement of Seismic Safety of Buildings and Houses,,, (2002), Economic Survey of Switzerland. : OECD. (2003), A Methodological Framework for Evaluating Risk Management Policies., OECD, (2005a), OECD Recommendation Concerning Guidelines on Earthquake Safety in Schools. : OECD. 185
186 (2005b), Economic Survey of Japan. : OECD. (2006a), Economic Survey of Japan. : OECD. (2006b), OECD Studies in Risk Management: Japan Earthquakes. : OECD. RAND Corporation (2002), Estimating the Compliance Costs for California SB1953.,. Risk Management Solutions, Inc (2005), 1995 Kobe Earthquake 10 Year Retrospective. Risk Management Solutions, Inc. (2007), How Do People Cope with Natural Disasters? Evidence from the Great Hanshin Awaji (Kobe) Earthquake in 1995, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,.. (1995), Summary of the Earthquake, in NCEER Response, NCEER Bulletin National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research,. Spence, R. (2004): Strengthening School Buildings to Resist Earthquakes: Progress in European Countries, in OECD (2005a).. (2006), Recent Trends in Earthquake Disaster Management in Japan, Quarterly Review of the Science and Technology Foresight Center, n (2005), Report of the 10 Year Reconstruction.,. Uitto, J. I. (1998): The geography of disaster vulnerability in megacities, Applied Geography, Vol. 18, n.1. (2007), Earthquake Top 10 Lists and Maps, Whittaker, A., J. Moehle and M. Higashimo (1998), Evolution of Seismic Building Design Practice in Japan. The Structural Design of Tall Buildings, 7:2, (2005), Great Earthquakes Disaster Prevention Measures for Houses and Buildings,, pp
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