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1 NPT IAEA NPT-IAEA
2 2. NPT-IAEA KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO
3 TCOG KEDO KEDO KEDO TCOG
4 ( ) IAEA KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO
5 NPT-IAEA NPT
6 1 Korean peninsula Energy Development Organization, KEDO
7 KEDO KEDO Bill Clinton KEDO KEDO NPT OPLAN 5026 OPLAN 5027 OPLAN 5026 OPLAN 5027 OPLAN operation pl ans
8 5 Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, NPT, NPT George H.W. Bush Jimmy Carter 1 KEDO 2 5 KED O H W W William Jefferson Clinton, My Life, K nopf, (2004), New York, p
9 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO engagement and enlargement engagement John Gerald Ru ggie Multilateralism Matters The Theory and Praxis of an Institutional Form 1993 generic institutional form reciprocity (di ffuse reciprocity) indivisibility John Gerard Ruggi e ed. (1993), Multilateralism Matters: the Theory and Praxis of an Institutional Form, Columbi a University Press, New York, pp6-14. James A. Caporaso (199 2), International Relations Theory and Multilateralism, MIT Press, International Organization, Vol. 46 No. 3, pp Vol. 133, White House, A National Security Strategy of Engagement and Enlargement, February 199 5, Air University, military engagement in peacetime US International Information Programs, U.S. 9
10 2 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 2. KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO rogue states David C. Kang conventional wisdom Foreign Policy: Agenda, Navy League of the United States, The U.S. Engagement Strategy,
11 powder cake John Feffer David C. Kang, Rethinking North Korea, University of California Press, Asian Survey, (199 5), Vol. 35, No. 3, pp Ibid, p
12 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO ,
13 Leon V. Sigal Disarming Strangers: Nuclear Diplomacy With North Korea ( standard American account NPT International Atomic Energy Agency, IAEA reciprocity IAEA Leon V. Sigal, Disarming Strangers: Nuclear Diplomacy with North Korea, (1998), Princeton University Press, New Jersey, pp5-7 & Chapter1. 25 reciprocity tit-for-tat reneges Ibid, pp
14 27 Chuck Downs Over the Line: North Korea's Negotiating Strategy (1998 Scott Snyder Negotiating on the Edge: North Korean Negotiating Behavior ( self-reliance, Juche guerrilla partisan Chuck Downs, Over the Line: North Korea s Negotiating Strategy, (1999), American Ent erprise Institute, Washington. 29 Ibid, pp Scott Snyder, Negotia t ing on the Edge: North Korean Negot i a t ing Behavior, (1999), United S tates Institute of Peace, Washington, Introduction, Chapter 1 & pp
15 brinkmanship brinkmanship blackmail
16 2. Don Oberdorfer Robert L. Gallucci Going Critical (2004 Kenneth Quinones IAEA Selig S.Harrison Korean Endgame: A Strategy for Reunification and U.S. Disengagement (
17 constructivism (multilateralism) KEDO 2005 KEDO Selig S. Harrison, Korean Endgame: a Strategy for Reunification and U.S. Disengagement, (2 002), Princeton University Press, New Jersey, p4. 41 Ibid, p
18 KEDO NPT 43 KEDO KEDO NPT KEDO KEDO KEDO 2003 NPT KEDO KEDO 5 KEDO KEDO 2003 Robert O. Keohane 45 KEDO KEDO 46 KEDO KEDO 5 45 Robert O. Keohane and Lisa L. Martin, The Promise of Institutionalist Theory, MIT Press, International Security, (1995), Vol. 20, No. 1, p KEDO KEDO:
19 47 KEDO KEDO 5 KEDO 2006 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO No
20 49 50 KEDO KEDO GDP Ray S. Cline S
21 ,348,800 23,275,600 44,338, ,096,000 1,132,072, ,527, ,622,400 24,304,000 45,204, ,538,000 1,210,476, ,120, ,404,000 24,500,000 47,295, ,014,000 1,293,239, ,720,000 * , ,423 bn ε47.94 bn bn 2, bn bn N ε2,042.7 bn N GDP ,246 bn ε21 bn N 422 bn 4,700 bn ε560 bn ε1,110 bn tr ε15 bn N 457 bn 4.7 tr ε794 bn 1,200 bn bn ε5.23 bn bn bn 6.06 bn bn bn ε2.2 bn bn 53.8 bn ε7.6 bn ε62 bn bn ε1.3 bn 12.8 bn 45.6 bn ε14.5 bn ε29 bn ,029,600 1,111, , ,400 3,030,000 3,400, ,483,800 1,054, , ,500 2,935,000 1,270, ,367,700 1,082, , ,800 2,310, ,100 bn billion dollars, tr trillion dollars, ε estimated, N GNP *1, km 2 International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), Military Balance, Ivan Arreguin-Toft 54 Bruce Bennett Ivan Arreguin-Toft, How the Weak Win Wars: A Theory of Asymmetric Conflict, MIT Press, International Security, (2001), Vol. 26, No. 1, pp Ibid, p Bruce Wm Bennett
22 Bruce Wm Bennett
23 59 bargaining 2. KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 1 KEDO KEDO KEDO
24
25 IAEA KEDO
26 KEDO 6 KEDO 6 7 DBPIA DBPIA JSTOR JSTOR EBSCO host research databases EBSCO EBSCO HP No. Yomiuri database News 21 ProQuest Historical Newspapers The New York Times ( ) New Yor k Times IAEA, Korean Peninsula Energy Development, KEDO 26
27
28 2 KEDO
29 Strategic Arms Limitation Talk, SALT 1970 NPT Intermediate-ran ge Nuclear Forces, INF Yoshihiro Francis Fukuyama Yoshihiro Francis Fukuyama, The End of History and the Last Man, Free Press,
30 Brian Urquhart, The role of the United Nations in the Iraq-Kuwait Conflict in 1990, Stockholm Inte rnational Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), SIPRI Yearbook 1991: World Armaments and Disar mament, (1991), pp Appendix 18A, UN Security Cou ncil Resolutions on the Iraq invasion of Kuwait (Ibid, pp ) 687 SIPRI, SIPRI Yearbook 1992: World Armaments and Disarmament, (1992), Appendix 13A, UN Security Council Resolution 687, the case-fire resolution, pp
31 Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), SIPRI Yearbook, ( )
32 F ( ) NATO Europe * , ,500 92,235 17,693 10,615 13, , ,638 83,187 24,143 10,617 16, ,055 91,631 82,914 35,438 12,025 16,464 * International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), The Military Balance , (1996), pp AERA AERA , AERA
33 Toward A New World Order new world order William G. Hyland Pax Americana George Bush, Address before a Joint Session of the Congress on the Persian Gulf Crisis an d the Federal Budget Deficit, George Bush President Library and Museum, mu.edu/research/public_papers.php?id=2217&year=1990&month= New York Times, February 17, G ,
34 balance of power concert of Europe 78 hierarchy No Carl von Clausewitz
35 79 80 Joseph S. Nye Jr. 1 return to bipolarity 2 multipolarity 3 economic blocks 4 unipolar hegemony 5 multilevel interdependence democratic peace 2 (epistemic community) 3 post hegemony system David Rockefeller 1973 The Trilateral Commission, Bruce Cumings, The Seventy Years' Crisis and the Logic of a Trilateral New World Order, World Policy Institute, World Policy Journal, (1991), Vol. 8, No Foresight Joseph S. Nye, Jr., What New World Order?, Council on Foreign Relation, Foreign Affairs, (1992), Vol. 71, No. 2, pp No
36 85 Paul Kennedy GNP 87 International Monetary Fund, IMF GDP , S Jr, IMF World Economic Outlook Database GDP EC(EU)
37 Donald Regan, GATT USTR
38 Samuel P. Huntington 93 Michael Ignatieff P
39 Asian Pacific Economic Cooperation, APEC APEC ASEAN 12 APEC APEC KEDO TCOG : KEDO TCOG
40 sub-region Robert A. Scalapino Natural Economic Territories, NETs NETs Robert A. Scalapino, The United States and Asia: future prospects, Council on Foreign Relations, Foreign Affairs, (1991), Vol. 70, No. 5, pp20-21 Robert A. Scalapino and Masataka Kosaka ed., Peace, Politics & Economics in Asia: The Challenge to cooperate, (1988), Pergamon Brassay s International Defense Publishers, Washington, p NIES NIES NIES
41 * * * * * * * * * * * * * *2 *3 *4 *5 *6 * *8 *9 *10 * *
42 Colin Powell Foreign Affairs NATO NATO
43 IAEA 105 Colin Powell, U.S. Forces: Challenges Ahead, Council on Foreign Relation, Foreign Affairs, (1992), Vol. 72, No. 5, p , : ( )
44 III ,
45
46 Foresight Foresight No ~
47 , David Von Hippel , , ,
48 2-1 1, Marcus Noland , Marcus Noland (1997), Why North Korea Will Muddle Through, Council on Foreign Relations, Foreign Affairs, Volume 76, No. 4, p
49 % WEIS ARC ,720 2,720 2,660 2,641 2,108 2,052 1, ,358 2,116 2,109 2,562 2,883 3,161 3, ,937 4,906 4,454 4,720,2,720 2,660 2,641 2, ,036 2,069 2,103 2,138 2,173 2,210 2, ,137 2,177 2,219 2,161 2,305 2, ,060 2,098 2,137 2,177 2,219 2, WEIS ARC JETRO KOTRA IMF JETRO KOTRA IMF Gavan McCormack, Target North Korea: Pushing North Korea t o the Brink of Nuclear Ca t a st rophe, (2004), New York, p
50 JETRO 1998 KOTRA KOTRA KOTRA ,
51 ,,, 10 (2003),
52 , , , ,000 1,532 2, ,
53 No
54
55 IAEA IAEA IAEA 55
56 NPT Nuclear Weapon States NWSs NPT NPT 56
57 140 Gordon A. Craig Mutual Assured Destruction, MAD Joseph Gerson Robert D. Green A L Patrick M. Morgan, Deterrence: A Conceptual Analysis, (1977), SAGE, California, Paul Huth and Bruce Russet, Deterrence Failure and Crisis Escalation, International Studies Association, International Studies Quarterly, (1988), Vol. 32, No Richard Lebow and Janice Stein, Deterrence: the elusive dependent variable, Johns Hopkins University Press, World Politics, (1990), Vol. 42, No. 3, p
58 rationality D E H Edward Hallett Carr E H
59 149 Non-Nuclear Weapon States Non-NWSs UNAEC (Dwight D. Eisenhower, ) IAEA D Dwight D. Eisenhower, Atoms for Peace, (Address to the 470th Plenary Meeting of the United Nations General Assembly) IAEA,
60 IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA PTBT Graham Allison Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis 1971 Graham T. Allison, Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis, 1ed. (1971), Little Brown. 153 D James G. Blight, Bru ce J. Allyn, and David A. Welch eds., Cuba on the Brink: Castro, the Missile Crisis and the So viet Collapse, (1993), Pantheon Books, New York. 155 Treaty banning nuclear weapon tests in the atmosphere, in outer space and under water Partial Test Ban 60
61 PTBT MIRV ICBM SLBM 156 Treaty, PTBT ICBM MIRV Thomas B. Cochran, William M. Arkin, and Milton M. Hoenig (1994), Nuclear Weapons Databook: Vol. 1-5, Natural Resources Defense Council, New York, pp
62 Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, Global Nuclear Stockpiles, , Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist s, Nuclear Notebook, July/August 2006, p Jozef Goldblat (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) 157 PTBT
63 3-1 IAEA (1957-) NPT (1968-) NSG (1975-) MTCR(1987-) P ( ) (1971-) (1984-) NSG Nuclear suppliers Group MTCR Missile Technology Control Regime 3-1 IAEA 2 NPT William Sweet, The Nuclear Age: Power, Proliferation and the Arms Race, (1984),Congressional Quarterly Inc, Washington, pp Claude Zangger Zangger Committee NSG Zangger Committee,
64 MTCR MTCR WMD 159 MTCR regime NPT IAEA 1. NPT-IAEA 1.1. International Atomic Energy Agency, IAEA NPT-IAEA 162 NPT IAEA NPT-IAEA IAEA IAEA MTCR, IAEA NPT NPT-IAEA NPT-IAEA 64
65 IAEA 163 IAEA IAEA safety guard IAEA IAEA 165 IAEA NPT IAEA IAEA IAEA 2006 Annual Report AR IAEA ,307 AR2006 IAEA Hans Martin Blix 163 History of the IAEA, IAEA, IAEA, pdf/s320807_14.pdf IAEA 165 NPT-IAEA IAEA, Annual Report 2006, IAEA, 006_full.pdf
66 169 4 IAEA IAEA Safeguards NPT Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, NPT, NPT IAEA IAEA NPT NPT NPT NPT register 169 UN Special Commission on Iraq, IAEA NPT NPT, , aiyo.html
67 IAEA NPT 174 NPT IAEA NPT 9 3 NWSs Non-NWSs NPT , NSAKU/swk_logout.cgi?SESSION= NPT
68 10 2 NPT 25 NPT 1 NPT 5 NPT 3 IAEA IAEA INFCIRC/ NPT INFCIRC/153 INFCIRC/26 INFCIRC/66 NPT IAEA INFCIRC/ NPT IAEA INFCIRC/ NPT-IAEA NPT IAEA 181 IAEA 178 INFCIRC Information Circular IAEA 179 IAEA, Safeguards: Past, Present and Future, lletin/bull394/fischer.html ( ) 180 IAEA, The Text of the Agreement of 20 July 1977 Between the Agency and the DPRK,
69 3-2 NPT-IAEA NPT IAEA NPT 3 IAEA *2 102 NPT NWSs5 NPT *1 NWSs Non-NWSs Non-NWSs * 1 * 2 NPT IAEA 18 IAEA IAEA NPT-IAEA NPT-IAEA NPT IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA UN Special Commission on Iraq, UNSCOM UNSCOM IAEA IAEA SIPRI, SIPRI Yearbook 1992: Wo r ld Armamen t s and Disarmament, (1992), Stockholm, pp
70 IAEA 184 IAEA IAEA 2. NPT-IAEA NPT-IAEA NPT NPT 185 NPT 186 IAEA NPT NPT-IAEA NPT IAEA Jozef Goldblat No NPT De facto Nuclear Weapon States Nuclear Capable States 186 William Walker, Nuclear weapons and the former Soviet republics, Royal Institute of International Affairs, International Affairs, (1992), Vol. 68, No. 2, p Les Aspin Report on the Bottom-Up Review Les Aspin, Report on the Bottom-Up Review, (1993), U.S. DOD, pp1-2. Defense Technical Information Center,
71 187 NPT 1 David S. Yost NPT 188 NPT-IAEA NPT NPT NPT NPT NPT 190 NPT-IAEA NPT NPT-IAEA 4 NPT David S. Yost (2007), Analysing International Nuclear Order, The Royal Institute of International Affairs, International Affairs, Vol. 83, No. 3, p NPT NPT NPT NPT NPT Review Conference N PT NPT
72 IAEA IAEA NPT IAEA SIPRI Yearbook 192 New Y o rk Times, Sep Noam Chomsky
73 1 2 3 IAEA 195 IAEA IAEA IAEA NPT 196 CIA IAEA IAEA CIA NPT-IAEA NPT-IAEA NPT Javier Perez de Cuellar IAEA IAEA 196 SIPRI, SIPRI Yearbook 1992 p IAEA 73
74 TRIGA Mark IAEA IAEA 1970 NPT NPT ,
75 IRT IAEA IAEA IAEA INFCIR/66 IRT Defense Technical Informations Center, Soviet Nuclear Research Reactors of the IRT-2000 Type Review of Soviet Literature, IAEA IAEA 208 IAEA, In Focus: IAEA and DPRK, t_may2003.shtml
76 NPT 215 NPT IAEA 3-2 NPT IAEA IAEA 216 NPT New York Times, June 8, NPT
77 1970 NPT-IAEA AERA
78 IAEA IAEA New Y o rk Times, Nov 27, Global Security, eam-spirit.htm
79 IAEA NPT IAEA IAEA Yonhap News Agency, North Korea Handbook, (2003), An East Gate Book, New York, p CNS, IAEA-North Korea: Nuclear Safeguards and Inspections 1992,
80 3-2 IAEA IRT KEDO KEDO 2000 IAEA IAEA 2 80
81 IAEA David Kyd IAEA IAEA IAEA Willi Theis Chief inspector) CIA IAEA IAEA the composition and quantity inconsistencies IAEA NPT Federation of American Scientists FAS IAEA James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) IAEA, FAS, nuke/index.html, ), /NewsCenter/Focus/IaeaDprk/fact_sheet_may2003.shtml, CNS, x.htm ( ) 81
82 IAEA IAEA David Kyd CIA IAEA IAEA IAEA 2 special inspections 236 IAEA IAEA INFCIRC/ IAEA 1 special reports IAEA INFCIRC/ IAEA INFCIRC/ IAEA IAEA 235 CNS, 236 IAEA, Fact Sheet on DPRK Nuclear Safeguards, Dprk/fact_sheet_may2003.shtml IAEA, INFCIRC/403 (May 1992), nf403.shtml
83 IAEA 238 NPT-IAEA NPT IAEA IAEA 239 IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA Willi Theis) CIA IAEA 6 IAEA the composition and quantity inconsistencies IAEA
84 IAEA IAEA NPT , NPT (2000)
85 NSG Hedley Bull NPT 247 NPT Hedley Bull (1975), Rethinking Non-Proliferation, Royal Institute of International Affairs, International Affairs, Vol. 51, No. 2, RIIA, p FAS, Pakistan Nuclear Weapons, ( ) 85
86 Gordon Corera A Q IAEA 2000 IAEA A Q Khan
87 4 KEDO 3 NPT-IAEA
88 1 1. IAEA IAEA 252 IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA NPT 3 12 NPT NPT NPT NPT IAEA, In Focus: IAEA and DPRK, shtml
89 NPT NPT NPT 5 NPT NPT-IAEA NPT IAEA New York Times, March 13,
90 NPT NPT 260 NPT 261 IAEA NPT NPT 264 NPT-IAEA NPT (1993) IAEA 264 NPT NPT NPT NPT , 90
91 NPT 2 IAEA NPT IAEA UN, 280/49/IMG/N pdf?OpenElement further security council action
92 ,500km km *6 kg *2 -A SRBM - 1 -B SRBM 1, SRBM 1, M *1 * SRBM ,350-1, *2 /1999 MRBM 700-1, ,500+α * ,500 M *1 * *2 MRBM/ ICBM 700-1,000 2,000-2,200 * ,000-10,000 * ICBM ,700 M *1 * ICBM 700-1, ,000- *2 - ICBM 500-1, *1 M Maximum *2 Joseph S. Bermudez Jr. *3 Joseph Cirincione *4 Federation of American Scientists *5 *6 SRBM 700-1,000km MRBM 1,000-3,000km IRBM 3,000-5,500km ICBM 5,500km UN Institute Disarmament Research, Disarmament Forum Missile Control, 2007, No.1, p New York Times, May 18, NPT IAEA 271 Rohdong 92
93 2001 Joseph S. Bermudez Jr., A History of Ballistic Missile Development in the DPRK, (1999), James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS), IISS Military Balance FROG-3/-5/-7 54 B C The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), Military Balance , (1993), London, p SIPRI SIPRI Arms Transfers Database, nts/armstrad/at_db.html
94 1 NPT NPT 277 NPT NPT NPT 3 NPT 2003 KEDO NPT 1 10 NPT NPT NWSs Non-NWSs NPT NPT NPT 277,
95 NPT new pacific community IAEA John Merrill (1994), North Korea in 1993: In the Eye of the Storm, University of California, Asian Survey, Vol. 36, No. 1, pp10-11,
96 283 1 KEDO IAEA IAEA Dianne E. Rennack, North Korea: Economic Sanctions, Congressional Research Service: Report for Congress, Updated October , FAS,
97 Country Reports on Terrorism 2003 Patterns of Global Terrorism
98 Export Control Act Trading with the Enemy Act Foreign Assets Control Regulations Foreign Assets Control Regulations Trade Agreement Extension Act Normal Trade Relations: NTR Foreign Assistance Act Trade Act of 1974 Generalized System of Preferences Export Administration Act of International Arms Trading Regulations Munitions Control Items Speech by President Clinton calling for an easing of sanctions Sanctions, mainly export-related, are amended and loosened 2 Scott W. Fisher Scott W. Fisher 2003,
99 IAEA IAEA 1994 IAEA IAEA IAEA Dianne E. Rennack, North Korea: Economic Sanctions, Congressional Research Service: Report for Congress, Updated January 24, University of North Texas Libraries(UNTL),
100 IAEA 291 IAEA 7 7 IAEA 2 IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA ,
101 Bruce Cumings PHP Scott Snyder, op. cit., p IAEA
102 IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA IAEA Larry A. Niksch KEDO KEDO UN, N/N94/233/20/PDF/N pdf?OpenElement ( ) Larry A. Niksch, U.N. Security Council consideration of North Korea s Violations of its Nuclear Treaty Obligations, Congressional Research Service: Report for Congress, April 6, UNTL, 12 ) 102
103 IAEA 1 IAEA freedom of the high sea 87 UN, United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea Agreement Relating to the Implementation of Part XI of the Convention, (
104 Global Security F117 Gary E. Luck ) 311 Global Security, OPLAN 5026-Air Strikes, 26.htm William Jefferson Clinton, My Life, Knopf, (2004), New York, p603, Washington Post, December 13,
105 1990 John M. Deutch Jane s Intelligence Review Joseph S. Bermudez Jr Kg 318 CIA National Intelligence Estimate John M. Deutch, The New Nuclear Threat, Council on Foreign Relations, Foreign Affairs, (1992), New York, Vol. 71, No. 4, p Joseph S. Bermudez Jr., North Korea s Nuclear Arsenal, Jane s Intelligence Review, (1996), Special Report No. 9, p
106 NPT-IAEA CNN , NSC Daniel Poneman ,
107 15 2 CNN 1 IAEA IAEA Going Critical private trip New York Times, June 18,
108 327 IAEA Joel S. Wit, Daniel B. Poneman and Robert L. Gallucci ed., Going Critical: the First North Korean Nuclear Crisis, (2004), Brookings Institution, Washington, pp Joel S. Wit, Daniel B. Poneman, and Robert L. Gallucci ed., Ibid, p ,
109 KEDO :
110 KEDO New York Times, June 20, Micheal R. Gordon, Clinton Offers North Korea A Chance to Resume Talks, New York Times, July 22, 1994, Douglas Jehl, Clinton Says the North Koreans Really May Be Ready for Talks, New York Times, July 23, NPT New York Times, August 13, Agreed Framework between the United States o f America and the Democratic People s Republic of Korea Agreed Framework
111 I. LWR an international consortium II III. IV , KEDO, ,
112 7 7 IAEA agreed framework) confidential minute)
113 treaty agreement KEDO NPT 1992 NPT 3-1 NPT-IAEA NPT-IAEA 1995 NPT
114 344 NPT IAEA NPT NPT-IAEA NPT-IAEA NPT
115 KEDO 6 2 KEDO 2 KEDO
116 5 KEDO 2 LWR KEDO 5 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 5 KEDO KEDO 116
117 1 KEDO 1. LWR KEDO international consortium Korean peninsula Energy Development Organization, KEDO 345 KEDO KEDO 1 KEDO 5-1 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 117
118 5-1 KEDO * * * EU *3 KEDO 6 * *2 *3 * * *6 Financing and Heavy Fuel Oil, General Affairs, Legal Affairs, Nuclear Safety and Quality Assurance, Project Operations, Public and External Promotion and Support KEDO *7 5-4 * KEDO
119 (KEDO) KEDO KEDO KEDO 352 KEDO KEDO , -tokyo.ac.jp/~worldjpn/documents/texts//jpkr/ t1j.html KEDO, KEDO KEDO
120 KEDO a b 353 a b KEDO 353 KEDO 120
121 2 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 5-1 KEDO KEDO 7 KEDO KEDO Stephen W. Bosworth KEDO 5-2 KEDO
122 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 1 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO EU KEDO KEDO 1996 No
123 KEDO 2006 KEDO % % % EU % % 8.4% 6-5 KEDO KEDO 359 EU EU KEDO EU KEDO 1 KEDO 1 KEDO ,
124 KHNP, , : )
125 KEDO KEDO , ,
126 368 KEDO KEDO KEDO EU KEDO KEDO
127 KEDO 1 KEDO KEDO KEDO 1. KEDO 2. KEDO 3. 2 KEDO KEDO
128 5-3 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 379 KEDO 377 KEDO, df
129 KEDO % 70% KEDO IMF IMF Energy Information Administration, eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/wtotworldw.htm
130 KEDO KEDO 20% 1998 KEDO KEDO ODA 388 GDP GDP GDP , % 390 KEDO KEDO KEPCO rough order of management, ROM ROM ROM : ,
131 KEDO
132 KEDO 392 KEPCO KEDO KEDO KEDO 75 KEDO KEDO ,000 IMF KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO
133 KEDO KEDO 399 KEDO KEDO EU KEDO
134 5-2, KEDO KEDO , KEDO 20 KEDO 403 KEDO KEDO 402 KOTRA KOT RA
135 5-4 KEDO European Union ( ) ( ) KEDO, KEDO Members Nations, KEDO EU KEDO 5-4 KEDO EU KEDO EU KEDO Modern Power Systems EU KEDO 2 KEDO KEDO EU 405 EU KEDO 404 Modern Power Systems, November 1996, Vol. 16, Issue 11, p sub-contr actor Economist EU KEDO 135
136 ( ) EU EU 406 EU KEDO Boris Yeltsin KEDO KEDO Yevgeny Adamov KEDO EU KEDO KEDO EU EU Modern Power Systems, July 1998, Vol. 18, Issue 7, p DIA IEEJ ,
137 3 KEDO 1. KEDO 2 KEDO KEDO 1 KEDO KEDO 1996 KEDO KEDO KEDO
138 4 4 (MDL) (DMZ) JSA KEDO rim pacific, RIMPAC 414 D
139 KEDO KEDO KEDO EU 8 KEDO Q&A Teapodong Rohdong this is seri ous stuff 2 New York Times, August
140 8 31 KEDO KEDO KEDO 3 KEDO TMD
141 ICBM 429 Dr. William J. Perry New York Times, September 5, Teapodong 1 rocket over Japan into the pacific Economist, September , p ,200Km Joseph S. Bermudez Jr ,500-2,200Km FAS ICBM Robert D. Walpole, National Intelligence Officer for Strategic and Nuclear Programs North Korea's Taepo Dong Launch and Some Implications on the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States, George Washington University, ( ). 430 Review of United States Policy Toward North Korea 431 Harvard University, 141
142 KEDO KEDO EU 8 KEDO KEDO KEDO SIA_content/documents/UnclassReport.pdf ( ) ,
143 KEDO KEDO NAC Nuclear Assurance Company IAEA KEDO KEDO
144 KEDO NY KEDO KEDO KEDO- KEDO- MOU * KEDO- * *3 *1 MOU Presidents & Prime Ministers, Jul/Aug 1997, Vol. 6, Issue 4, p34. *2 KEDO 2003 *3 The Economist, May , Vol. 363, p38 KEPCO
145 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 6 KEDO 437 KEPCO KEDO, KEDO KEDO ) 145
146 6 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO IAEA 6 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 2 KEDO KEDO KEDO 6 KEDO KEDO 4 TCOG KEDO 146
147 1 1. KEDO KEDO KEDO 5 KEDO 3 KEDO 439 KEDO KEDO KEDO 6-1 KEDO * * *1 *2 * *3 * KEDO 147
148 6-1 KEDO KEDO KEDO 441 KEDO KEDO IAEA
149 KEDO KEDO 2007 KEDO KEDO 443 KEDO KEDO KEDO KEDO 4 KEDO KEDO
150 6-2 5 KEDO *2 *3 * *4 57 * *1 1 *2 U.S. House of Representatives 2 *3 U.S. Senate * , KEDO
151 KEDO KEDO 55 KEDO KEDO John Feffer, U.S.-North Korea Relations, Foreign Policy in Focus, (1999), Vol. 4, No. 15. Foreign Policy in Focus, ( ) G
152 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ), KEDO 2 TCOG KEDO KEDO
153 KEDO APEC KEDO Joel S. Wit, Daniel B. Poneman and Robert L. Gallucci ed. (2004), op. cit., p New York Times, April 14,
154 KEDO Kongdan Oh and Ralph C. Hassig, John Feffer, , orea.org/research/t11.html Stephan Haggard and Marcus Noland Stephan Haggard and Marcus Noland, Famine in North Korea: Markets, aid, and reform, (2007), Colombia University Press 462 Kongdan Oh and Ralph Hassig (1999), North Korea between Collapse and Reform, University of California, Asian Survey, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp
155 463 1 collapse theory , rea.org/research/t15.html
156 2 1. KEDO AWACs) AWACs MD 1993 Andrew K. Hanami, The Emerging Military-Industrial Relationship in Japan and the U.S. Connection, University of California, Asian Survey, (1993), Vol. 33, No. 6, p , /texts/jpsc/ o1j.html
157 KEDO KEDO KEDO 5 KEDO
158 1 powder keg 2. 4 KEDO KEDO , 5 158
159 ,
160
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