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1 12 10 Kaplan-Meier Method Discrete-time Logit Model Survival Analysis 2 p t = p t / (1-p t ) Odds Odds Ratio

2 12 1) Allison , Person-year Data 3 t

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14 2 1: 2: 3: 4: 5: : 2: 3: 4: exp(b t ) p t p t = exp(b 0 )*exp(b t ) / (1 + exp(b 0 )*exp(b t )) *1000 b 0 : : JGSS [2]

15 Allison, P. D., 1995, Survival Analysis Using the SAS System, Cary: SAS Institute Inc. Becker, G. S., 1981, A Treatise on the Family, Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Raymo, J. M., L. Bumpass, and M. Iwasawa, 2004, Marital Dissolution in Japan: Recent Trends and Patterns, Demographic Research, 11(14):

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