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35 Abel, A. B. and O. Blanchard, (1986) The Present Value of Profits and Cyclical Movements in Investment, Econometrica, Vol.54, No.2, pp Blan chard, O. J., C. Rhee and L. Summers, (1993) The Stock Market, Profit and Investment, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol.108, pp Dixi t, A. K. and R. S. Pindyck, (1994) Investment under Uncertainty, Princeton University Press Haya shi, F. and T. Inoue, (1991) The Relation Between Firm Growth and Q with Multiple Capital Goods: Theory and Evidence from Panel Data on Japanese Firms, Economatrica, Vol.59, No.3, pp Hond a, Y. and K. Suzuki, (2000) Estimation of the Investment Thresholds of Large Japanese Manufacturers, The Japanese Economic Review, Vol.51, No.4, December, pp Ogaw a, K. and K. Suzuki, (2000) Uncertainty and Investment: Some Evidence from the Panel Data of Japanese Manufacturing Firm, The Japanese Economic Review, Vol.51, No.2, June, pp Whit e, H., (1980) A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity, Econometrica, Vol.48, pp pp OECD 1999 OECD OECD J a
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38 The Doshisha University Economic Review Vol.57 No.3 Abstract Shin KINOSHITA, Econometric Analysis of the Effect on the Investment of Electricity Firms after the Regulatory Reform in Japan In Japan, the regulatory reform starts gradually from 1995 in the electricity industry. The main goal is to make the electricity market to be competitive as a result, to improve the high-cost performance, to lower the charge and to increase the consumer surplus. However, it increases uncertainty on the future profit. Firms are unwilling to invest for uncertainty to avoid sunk cost. In this paper, I investigate that the electricity firms reduce to invest for increasing of uncertainty after the regulatory reform started. I find that the electricity firms reduce to invest toward the supply and distribution system as well as the power system. This finding suggests that steady electricity supply may be damaged.
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