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1
2 Contents (1)(2)(3) LTV Appendices 1
3 1. 2
4 REIT CB Richard Ellis Group, Inc 100 3
5 ,776 IT 1 4
6 3 1, , *2 5% A3 R&I A+ 5
7 6 70% % % % 30% 2040% 2050% 2050% 520% P 4LDK 3LDK+S P P 3LDK 2LDK+S 3DK 2DK+S P P P U/ U/ U 2LDK 1LDK+S U/ U/ U 2DK 1DK+S P P P P U U U U 1LDK LDK+S U U U U S 1DK 1+ S S S S 1R 1K P 4LDK 3LDK+S P P 3LDK 2LDK+S 3DK 2DK+S P P P U/ U/ U 2LDK 1LDK+S U/ U/ U 2DK 1DK+S P P P P U U U U 1LDK LDK+S U U U U S 1DK 1+ S S S S 1R 1K RC SRC 50
8 ( 178 ) ( 182 ) ( 188 ) ( 192 ) ,224 3,346 4,201 5,442 1,151 1,435 1,635 2,384 1,146 1,433 1,630 2, ,678135,663164,094-40,50366,53966,756-74, , , , , , , ,381 11,692 13,302 14,520 () (21,592) (23,577) (26,387) (29,280) () - (+9.2%) (+11.9%) (+11.0%) 1 O 22,231 15,774 18,616 - () 6,000 5,442 (/) 16,000 1 ) 1 1 (/) 546,000 4,000 3,224 3,346 4,201 2,382 14,000 15, , , ,451 13,302 14, ,000 2,000 1,146 1,433 1,630 12,000 11, , , ,
9 % 34.1% 10.9% 5.1% 8.7% % 21.7% 10.7% 13.7% 26.6% 33.6% 33.7% 5.5% 0.5% 5,779 1,
10 ( ) 2, ,000 2,000 1, ,224 (4,526) ,504 (5,409) ,428 (5,314) ,670 (5,779) 1,776 (6,323) 1, (3,766) 610 ( )(2,067) ( ) (1 ) (2 ) (3 ) (4 ) 6% 5.10% 5.13% 5.08% 5.08% 5.08% 5.08% 5.08% 5.02% 5.02% 5.02% 5.05% 5% 10 4% 9
11 2. 10
12 (1) C-36 5 NCR : 10,995 : : ( 1) : SRC, 12 : 10,408.26m 2 : 169 : 178 : 14,400/( ) : 11,000 (CR4.7%) * 2LDK 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 1K 1K+S 1LDK 1LDK 1LDK+S 2LDK 2LDK+S 3LDK m m m m m m m m m 2 100% 95.0% % ( ) BS/CS CATV 2 TV (96) 11
13 (2) M-23 : 9,350 : : ( 5) : RC, 25/B2 : 12,732.35m 2 : 208 NCR : 1711 : 11,000/( 191 ) : 9,350 (CR 5.0%) * 19 1LDK 2LDK 2LDK 3LDK 3LDK+S 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% m m m m m % (LD) ( ) ( ) BS/CS CATV 2 TV (208) 12
14 (3) C-38 ( ) 5 : 16,200 : : , ( 2) : RC, 36/B2 ( ) RC, 28/B2 ( ) : 17,553.76m 2 : 264( 116, 148) : 1811 : 14,900/( 191 ) (NCR) : 16,300 (CR4.7%) * 1K 1LDK 2LDK 3LDK 2LDK 3LDK 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 49.49m m m m m m % (249) ( ) 24 ( ) 2 ( ) ( ) 13
15 % /27 NCR NCR 23 6/30 NCR SST 23( ) 23 12/1 NCR 12/13 NCR 5 12/1 NCR 12/22 75 H H H H H % 92.4% 93.9% 95.0% 93.5% 94.6% 94.4% 90.6% 91.5% 89.4% 91.1% 92.3% 93.7% 94.0% 94.6% 90.0% 92.5% % 95.3% 94.8% 95.0% 95.3% 95.7% 95.8% 96.1% 96.0% 95.9% 95.6% 95.5%
16 % (98) % 54.5% 19.0% 30.8% 57.9% 11.4% 23( 5) 20.8% 69.8% 9.4% 23.2% 60.6% 16.1% ( 23) 23.6% 51.6% 24.8% 23.9% 63.7% 12.4% 24.4% (133) 57.6% (314) % (92) 29.8% (230) % (451) % 72.4% 3.4% 54.1% 41.2% 4.7% (1 ) 1 (2 ) (3 ) (2 ) (1 ) (3 ) % 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 15
17 1500 1% 12% 23% 34% 45% 56% 67% 79% 912% 12% 16
18 17 New City 24 New City ***** ( )
19 NEW CITY PROPERTY SERVICES
20
21 MRI MRI 1 MRI Management Reports International
22 3. 21
23 A3 / R&I A
24 LTV ( ) () 65% 200, ,000 60% 55% 61.2 PO PO 160,000 PO 150,000 50% 45% ,000 80,000 PO 100,000 40% ,000 35% H H ( 178) ( 182) ( 188) ( 192) 50,000 LTV 60 LTV
25 24 ( 178) ( 182) ( 188) ( 192) 25,300 43,700 16,000 36,700 65,000 50,900 50,900 25, % 36.2% 25.6% 16.4% 0 30,000 60,000 90, , (%) ( ) 62,200 66,900 94,600 90, % % A3 1.61% UJ ( )0.860% ( )1.269% ( )1.800%
26 4. 25
27 (3 ) ( 5) 25,000 25, ,000 20, ,000 15, ,000 10, ,000 5, ,000-5, ,000-10, ,000-15, , ,
28 Land price index Existing-condominium price index NCR NCR : 27
29 (y-on-y, %) Residential (Greater Tokyo)
30 ( ) 130,000 () 51, ,000 50, ,000 49, ,000 48, ,000 47, ,000 46, ,000 45, ,000 44, ( ) 34,800 34,600 34,400 34,200 34,000 33,800 33,600 33,400 33,200 33,000 32, ( ) 15,500 15,000 14,500 14,000 13,500 13,000 12,500 12, ( )
31 % 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% , , , , , ,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,
32 (CPI)
33 (2003) 13,120,200 : 2 5,355,200 (41) 7,480, ,480,300 (57) (27) 5,055,500 (68) 5,055,500 (27%) 3,695,800 (73) (18) (9)
34 5. 33
35 1 2 ( , , ,094 40,503 66,539 66,756 39,357 65,106 65,106 74, , , , , , ,381 11,692 13,302 () 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% () 4.1% 5.4% 4.9% 38.7% 49.0% 40.7% , , , % 94.6% 92.3% NOI (4) 2,591 2,637 3,293 O (5) 1,657 1,934 2,282 1 O 22,231 15,774 18,616 62,200 66,900 94,600 LTV ( /) 59.4% 49.3% 57.6% LTV( /( + )) 61.2% 50.7% 59.2% / + /2 2 / + /2 3 / 4NOI - )+ 5O + 6 / 7 34
36 ,224 3,346 4,201 5,442 1,151 1,435 1,635 2,384 1,146 1,433 1,630 2, ,381 11,692 13,302 14,520 ( ) (21,592) (23,577) (26,387) (29,280) ( ) - (+9.2%) (+11.9%) (+11.0%) NCR NCR NCR NCRNCR , , ,000 1, , = + ) NCR 196 NCR 94 4,593 1, ,130 35
37 Appendices 36
38 6,000 (%) 700, ,000 (bps) , , , , , , ,000 ( 1932) 3 503,000 ( 18831) 683,000 ( 17629) 492,000 ( 1875) 37
39 122, ,330 16,827 23, % 19.5% 9, % 1, % 71, % 6, % % % 1.9% % 122,612 17, % 37, % 56, % 3 7, % 2.1% 1.6% % 8, % 2, % 6, % 38
40 39 NEW CITY PROPERTY SERVICES 50 UJ
41 IR * 1921
42
43 42
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リクルート住宅価格指数マンスリーレポート＜2005年1月号＞
2005 1 1 3 TOWNS 1989.04 1992.01 1992.01 -Recruit Residential Price Index- -- 5 P.2 P.3 P.4 P.5 P.6~9 P.10 P.11 http://www.recruit.co.jp/corporate/support/inquiry_press.html 1 1) 2000 1 2) ALL1 3 1-2000
リクルート住宅価格指数マンスリーレポート＜2004年11月号＞
2004 11 1 3 TOWNS 1989.04 1992.01 1992.01 1989.04 -Recruit Residential Price Index- -- 5 P.2 P.3 P.4 P.5 P.6~9 P.10 P.11 1 1) 2) ALL1 3 1-2000 1 =ALL0.94 0.00 0.88 0.00 0.89 0.02 0.99 0.00 0.87 0.01 0.89
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リクルート住宅価格指数マンスリーレポート2007年10月号
2007 10 1 3 1 1989.04 1992.01 1992.01 -Recruit Residential Price Index- -- 5 P.2 P.3 P.4 P.5 P.6~9 P.10 P.11 IPD IPD E-mail:info@ipdindex.co.jp IPD IPD 1 9 1) 2000 1 2) ALL1 3 1-2007 92000 1 =ALL1.13 0.01
3 4 3 2 4 1 4 2 4 2 1 3 1 1 4 1 1 16,000 14,000 12,000 W) S) RC) CB 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 12,000 11,500 11,000 10,500 10,000 9,500 9,000 550 540 530 520 510 500 490 480 470 460 450 2008 2009
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リクルート住宅価格指数マンスリーレポート10月号
2005 10 1 3 TOWNS 1 1989.04 1992.01 1992.01 -Recruit Residential Price Index- -- 5 P.2 P.3 P.4 P.5 P.6~9 P.10 P.11 IPD IPD E-mail:info@ipdindex.co.jp IPD IPD 1 9 1) 2000 1 2) ALL1 3 1-92000 1 =ALL0.93
リクルート住宅価格指数マンスリーレポート7月号
2005 7 1 3 TOWNS 1 1989.04 1992.01 1992.01 -Recruit Residential Price Index- -- 5 P.2 P.3 P.4 P.5 P.6~9 P.10 P.11 IPD IPD E-mail:info@ipdindex.co.jp IPD IPD 1 1) 2000 1 2) ALL1 3 1-2000 1 =ALL0.93 0.01
リクルート住宅価格指数マンスリーレポート4月号
2005 4 1 3 TOWNS 1989.04 1992.01 1992.01 -Recruit Residential Price Index- -- 5 P.2 P.3 P.4 P.5 P.6~9 P.10 P.11 IPD IPD E-mail:info@ipdindex.co.jp IPD IPD 1 1) 2000 1 2) ALL1 3 1-2000 1 =ALL0.96 0.02 0.92
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「消える」金融、｢創る｣金融－2010年のリテール金融
2010 2010 CONTENTS 1 2 3 4 18 20066 1 2 19 20 20066 3 1 12 21 2 22 20066 3 4 23 1 1997 1997 1984 1893 1983 1980 2001 1990 1990 24 20066 1 260 26,418 213,597 239,416 1720062 25 2 3 26 20066 3 5 27 4 4 44
2 C ,330 1,057 1, , , % 90 1, % 8.8% 8.2% 6.6% 6.6% ,491 1, ,039 4
5 APPENDIX 2008318 C 2008 2 C 2008 2,330 1,057 1,273 662 8,820 54 133,950.14 94.1% 90 1,744 8.5% 8.8% 8.2% 6.6% 6.6% 182 85 96 47 628 5 200781 2008131 6 2,491 1,106 678 9,039 4 2,148 1,176 972 709 9,448
2002 16 02 15M 1. 98 2001 29% 2. 98 7 96 3. 2001 5,598 11.2 5 2001 2,255 13,000 17 98 107 2001 231 517 4. 1 78 3.6 m 2 2000 10.3 m 2 1 15m 2 2005 1 22m 2 2001 74 5. 2002 7 16 90 98 98 2001 29% 1998 1
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