Autumn II III Zon and Muysken 2005 Zon and Muysken 2005 IV II 障害者への所得移転の経済効果 分析に用いるデータ

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1 212 Vol. 44 No. 2 I はじめに

2 Autumn II III Zon and Muysken 2005 Zon and Muysken 2005 IV II 障害者への所得移転の経済効果 分析に用いるデータ

3 214 Vol. 44 No. 2 表 1 % % % 所得移転の効果の推計方法 1 5 Houthacker 1960 additive indirect utility function separability Indirect addilog model adding up

4 Autumn flexible Bewley 1986, Pollak and Wales 1992, Edgerton and Assarson 1996 M q i p i V(p, M) Σ n βi α i M i 1 β i p i, β i 0 1 q i α i β i (M/p i ) βi+1 Σ n j 1(α j β j )(M/p j ) α j 2 j i Log(q i ) log(q j ) log α i α j (β i 1) log M p i (β j 1)log M p j 3 Log(q i ) log(q j ) γ 0i γ 1i log γ 2j log M p j Δu ij 4 Δu ij u i u j j i M p i Δu i SUR Seemingly Unrelated Regression 3 推定結果

5 216 Vol. 44 No. 2 表 γ γ γ SUR , 833 表 3 α 1 α 2 α 3 α 4 α β 1 β 2 β 3 β 4 β V(p, M) M M V ,

6 Autumn 表 γ γ γ SUR III 障害者の就労支援の経済効果 表 5 α 1 α 2 α 3 α 4 α β 1 β 2 β 3 β 4 β

7 218 Vol. 44 No. 2 Lucas 1998 Zon and Muysken モデルの構成 P v P u P w Zon and Muysken 2005 u v w を用いてL L (1 u v w)ep 5 P w P P v u L Zon and Muysken Zon and Muysken 2005 u v ψ φ u (1 ψ)u v (1 φ)v 1 ψ φ 0 1 Zon and Muysken 2005 L (1 (1 ψ)u (1 φ)v w)ep 6 Zon and Muysken 2005 LK

8 Autumn Zon and Muysken 2005 Fig 図 1 L Y AL α K 1 α A((1 (1 ψ)u (1 φ)v w)ep) α K 1 α dk dt Y cl de dt δ ew c 1 δ e δ e を用いる 9 x^ (dx/dt)/x x e^ (δ e P^ ρ)/θ w (δ e P^ ρ)/(δ e θ) 10 t C U 0 e ρt P (C1 θ 1) (1 θ) dt 11 t μ d HP t i v δ o h^ H^ P^ (i μ d ) δ o v ih 12 a steady state 8 h^ 0 0 (i μ d ) δ o v ih v h h* (δ o /i)v 1 μ d /i ξ o v ξ d h(v) 13 2 障害者の就労支援の経済効果

9 220 Vol. 44 No. 2 Zon and Muysken 2005 Fig 図 2 1 c Y H H e ρt P (c1 θ 1) (1 θ) λ e wδ e (ξ o v ξ d )e λ p P(η o v η d ) λ k {A((1 (1 ψ)u (1 φ)v w)ep) αk 1 α cp} 14 r λ k^ r 1 1 ( H/ c) 9 c^ (λ k^ ρ)/(r ρ)/ 15 Zon and Muysken 2005 dλx dt H 0 (x,k, e, P) x K dλ k /dt H/ K 0 c^ {δ e (1 (1 ψ)u (1 φ)v)h((1 φ)v) η o (1 φ)v η i ρ}/θ 16 v h(v) h (v) 2 2 v* Max v c^ c^ ((1 φ)v) c^ ((1 φ)v) ((1 φ)v) v

10 Autumn c^ (1 φ) ((1 φ)v) 0 17 v* v* [η o δ e ((ξ o ξ d χ)/(2δ e ξ o ))]/(1 φ) 18 φ 17 φ v*/ φ [η o δ e ((ξ o ξ d χ)(2δ e ξ o ))] (1 φ) A c^/ ψ δ e uh/θ> B IV まとめと今後の課題

11 222 Vol. 44 No. 2 Duggan and Singleton (2006) 11 謝辞 注 , 345 9, OB 9a steady state H/ c e ρt (C θ )P λ k P 0 H/ v ( H/ v)( v / v) (1 φ)[λ k ( Y/ v ) λe( (de/dt)/ v ) λp( (dp/dt)/ v )] 0 H/ v λ k ( Y/ w) λe( (de/dt)/ w) 0 11 Henmi, Tabata and Futagami (2007) 参考文献 Autor, D. and M. Duggan (2006) The Growth in the Social Security Disability Rolls: A Fiscal Crisis Unfolding, NBER Working Paper No Bewley, R. (1986 Allocation Models: Specification, Estimation and Applications (Ballinger). Chan, W., Chen, Y, and M. Kao (2008) Social Status, Education and Government Spending in a Two Sector Model of Endogenous Growth, The Japanese Economic Review, Vol. 59, No. 1. Datta Gupta, N., and M. Larsen (2007) Evaluating Employment Effects of Wage Subsidies for the Disabled the Danish Flexjobs Scheme, the paper presented at the Summer Institute 2007, National

12 Autumn Bureau of Econominc Research. Deaton, A. and J. Muellbauer (1980) Economics and Consumer Behavior (Oxford University Press). Duggan, M., R. Rosenheck, and P. Singleton (2006) Federal Policy and the Rise in Disability Enrollment: Evidence for the VA s Disability Compensation Program,NBER Working Paper No Edgerton, D. L., and B. Assarson, A. Hummelmose, I. P. Laurila, K. Rikertsen, P. H. Vale (1996) The Econometrics of Demand Systems (Kluer Academic Publishing). Guillem, L. and B. Rivera eds. (2005) Health and E c o n o m i c G r o w t h : F i n d i n g s a n d P o l i c y Implications (MIT Press). Henmi, N. K. Tabata, and K. Futagami (2007) The long term care problem, precautionary saving, and economic growth, Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 29, pp Houthakker, H. S. (1960) Additive Preferences, Econometrica, Vol. 28, pp Lucas, R. E. (1998) On the Mechanics of Economic Development, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 22, pp P. J. Lambert (2001) The Distribution and Redistribution of Income (Third edition) (Manchester University Press). Pollak, R. A. and T. J. Wales (1992), Demand System Specification and Estimation (Oxford University Press). Zon, A. H. van, and J. Muysken (2005), Health as a Principal Determinant of Economic Growth, in G. Lopez Casasnovas, B. Rivera, and L. Currais (2005) eds. Health and Economic Growth (2005) (MIT Press). Zon, A. H. van, and J. Muysken (2001), Health and Endogenous Growth, Journal of Health Economics, Vol. 20. No. 2, pp H R. J., X

(2004 ) 2 (A) (B) (C) 3 (1987) (1988) Shimono and Tachibanaki(1985) (2008) , % 2 (1999) (2005) 3 (2005) (2006) (2008)

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