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1

2 1 st 2 nd Dec

3 1 st 2 nd Dec

4 1 st 2 nd Dec (2004)

5 1 st 2 nd Dec

6 1 st 2 nd Dec (2004)

7 1 st 2 nd Dec

8 1 st 2 nd Dec ()() 8

9 1 st 2 nd Dec Bohn (Bohn(1998)) 2011 Bohn(1998) Bohn

10 1 st 2 nd Dec T B B G rb t t t1 t t1 T t t B t B 1 Gt t r S t S t Tt ( 1 r) B S B t1 t t B t 1 St Bt St ( S t1 Bt 1) 1 r 1 r 1 r 0 G t 10

11 1 st 2 nd Dec t t B 0 ( ) St lim( ) 1 r t 1 1 r 1 B t t S lim ( ) Bt B 0 S r 4 t 1 r r S B (2.1) 0 r GDP S 2005 B 0 S * B * (1.1 (1.1) PB (2004)

12 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 * * S ( B 0) r S * B * r S * PBPB * PB B r PB (2.2) PB 3 (2004)

13 1 st 2 nd Dec ~

14 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 PB (2.2)

15 1 st 2 nd Dec

16 1 st 2 nd Dec

17 1 st 2 nd Dec

18 1 st 2 nd Dec

19 1 st 2 nd Dec

20 1 st 2 nd Dec (1999)(2004) (1999) 2 (2004) DID DID (2002)(2007) (2002) 12 (2004) did (Densely Inhabited District) 20

21 1 st 2 nd Dec (2007) 2 DID (2002) ln() (2002)(2007)

22 1 st 2 nd Dec (2002) (2002) 3 1 (2002) (2002) % 10% (2002) 22

23 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 (2002)= C n a (3.1) C n a o C n a o (3.2) r (3.3) (3.2) C r n a o (3.4) (3.4) n C n 1 a o r (3.5) n (3.5) ' 1 ln A0 C ln r u (3.6) i ln A0 ln ni ln ai ln oi ni i i [cnaori]

24 1 st 2 nd Dec t 1 P lnn 5 P (3.6)(3.6a) 6 24

25 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 (3.6) (3.6a) t- t- P- P- A (1.0753) (0.915) (-0.289) (-0.365) ln ' (-5.275) (-5.165) (0.0000) (0.0000) ln (0.0369) (1.605) (0.1161) ln (4.344) (4.548) (0.0001) (0.0000) ln (-7.893) (-9.737) (0.0000) (0.0000) R R (2004)(2007) (1999) (1999)

26 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 (3.6) 3 (3.6) (2002) (2002) ((2004)) 26

27 1 st 2 nd Dec PB

28 1 st 2 nd Dec

29 1 st 2 nd Dec () 3 3 () 8 3 () ( )() () () 29

30 1 st 2 nd Dec (2002) 30

31 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 (2002) ()() 1% 2 ()

32 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 () 9 2 () () ()()

33 1 st 2 nd Dec

34 1 st 2 nd Dec ,269 2, %

35 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 %

36 1 st 2 nd Dec % 20~30% 10%

37 1 st 2 nd Dec

38 1 st 2 nd Dec

39 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 Henning Bohn(1998), "The behavior of U.S. public debt and deficits," Quarterly Journal of Economics 113, p.949-p.963. (2007) 36 p139~154 (2002). Vol.519 (2004) (2002) 61 p59-p8 (2004) (1999) (2004) (2002) February2002 (2003) (2002) p51 (2001) (2005), Keio Economic Society Discussion Paper Series No.06-4, (2006), 3 Book Conference,, E(1997) (2006) 28 () No.702 (2006/5) pp (2006) 28 () No.703 (2006/6) pp (2001) 19 ( )..(2007) (2005) (2002) 54 1 p3p13 (2001) 3 (2004) (1998) (2005) (2004) (2002) 39

40 1 st 2 nd Dec.2007 (2006) Broda and Weinstein RIETI Discussion Paper Series 06-J-032, (2007) (2004) 04A-16 (2005)-- Vol.55, No.9 pp (2006) Vol.54, No.8 (2006/7) pp. 813 (2004) RPI Discussion paper series (No.04A-12) (2006) : 3(2), (2006)RP 2006 no.2 volume19 p10p16 ( ), 2006, pp : KGPS reviewvol.4( ) pp (2002) (2005)90, ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 40

41 1 st 2 nd Dec

最適電源構成モデルを用いた卸電力取引市場の経済厚生の評価分析

最適電源構成モデルを用いた卸電力取引市場の経済厚生の評価分析 RIETI Discussion Paper Series 07-J-044 \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \

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km2 1 2 1 2 3 4 3 ( ) < > [ ] 7 ( ) (3.5 /km2) 60 ( ) 32 8(37ha) 16(332ha) ( ) 22 48.1 / 32 63.1 / 4 5 6 7 8 H 9 10 ( ( ( 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 7 19 20 21 22 23 ( ) () 24 25 60 H H 26 27 28 29 30 DID

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