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1 1

2

3 OPEC OPEC

4

5 % 5

6 6

7

8

9 bbl 267 bbl bbl bbl bbl OPEC 2 bbl 50 bbl 5 50 bbl bbl 5000 bbl

10 EL

11

12 98 80% SS A A LSA HAS C 12

13 B LPG

14 32% 27% 40% WTI 14

15 %

16 18 JOX

17

18 IMPEX JAPEX

19 INPEX 22 AIOC tangu IMPEX

20 ENEOS SS

21 PB % 1992 am/pm %

22 11.4% ~ % SS SS

23 30 1.8% %

24 BP BP SS IT

25 LPG

26 26

27 10 1 GS GS 27

28 35 SS JA % 9% 4% 50% 5000 JA 36 SS

29 37 SS SS SS SS SS SS SS

30 SS

31 19 20 OPEC OPEC 90 31

32 [ ]

33

34

35 OPEC OPEC OPEC OPEC OPEC 40 CIA

36 42 OPEC ~9 OPEC IMF 12 (OPEC11 12 ) ~15%

37 [ 1 4 ] ( ) ( ) 37

38 ( ) 38

39 OPEC 39

40 OPEC OPEC OPEC 40 OPEC

41 OPEC P

42 k m3 4200km 120 m

43 P

44 i ii i ii 44

45 14 ( ) II (1) (2) (3)

46 , kl 46

47 1) ppm 2)

48 45 1) 2) 3) 4) 1) 2) 3)

49 P E 49

50 3 Co2 Co2 E P

51

52

53

54

55 ( )

56

57 OECD OPEC OPEC OPEC

58 NYMEX IPE OPEC WTI 1 40 WTI WTI WTI 58

59

60

61

62

63 SS 63

64 SS SS

65 ) 65

66 ( 1 1 ) early actions delayed actions EU fatally flawed

67 (sequestration) (space solar power system) early actions delayed actions EU delayed actions (voluntary care) (regulatory measures) (economic measures) CO2 67

68 CO2 RV CIMA VITZ BAU(Business-As-Usual) BAU CO CO CO2 20 CO

69

70 70

71 ( ) 71

72 72

73 48 ( 1 1 )

74

75

76 LNG m LNG LNG 25 LNG

77 P

78 ( ) 78

79

80 bbl bbl 9200 bbl bbl 270 bbl bbl 43.6% 10% 4.9% 4.0% P

81

82 ( ) 82

83

84

85 85

86 EM RDS 86

87

88 NTT LP LP LP

89 J T

90 D OPEC

91 IEA IEA

92 ECCJ Energy Conservation Center PAJ Petroleum Association of Japan PEC Petroleum Energy Center JPCA Japan Petrochemical Industry Association JGA (The Japan Gas Association) LP JCOAL Japan Coal Energy Center NEF New Energy Foundation NEDO New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization IAE The Institute of Applied Energy 92

93 G G 93

94 94

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