日本海地震・津波調査プロジェクト

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2 2-6 海溝型地震と内陸沿岸地震の 関連メカニズムの評価準備 内陸被害地震の発生は プレート境界地震と密接 な関係 内陸被害地震 火山 プレート境界地震 上盤プレート内の 断層矩形モデル 関連メカニズム評価のため の数値モデルを構築 粘弾性有限要素法により 断層面上に作用する応力 を求める 三次元粘弾性 有限要素モデル 東北沖地震から年後の応力状態 モデル形状とメッシュ 2

3 GPS 3

4 H

5 GPS GPS Amur Plate fixed (S. Nishimura & Hashimoto, 26) (Nakamura, 24) Fig. 5. Horizontal displacement rate vectors of GPS sites. All vectors are relative to Eurasian plate (Shanghai VLBI). 5

6 Hashima et al. (26), Freed et al. (27) EUR PAC PHS 7 km EUR PAC PHS Nankai 3 km 7 km 9 Pa s 9 Pa s Nakajima & Hasegawa (26), Hayes et al. (22) 6 5 km 6

7 EUR (Savage, 983; Matsu ura & Sato, 989) 4 PAC 3 cm/yr 6 cm/yr (Hok et al., 2; Yokota et al., 26) PHS 2 7

8 28 dimensional horizontal strain rate field in southwest Japan from the GPS-derived velocity field. We show the principal axes of strain rates in Fig. 5. Large strain rates in southwest Japan can be seen (Fig. 5 (b)). A NW SE contraction (3 4 7 /yr) is dominant in the Nankai region. This implies strong coupling on the plate interface. This NW SE contraction gradually decreases in eastern Kyushu and disappears south of Several other features are inclu rate field. Along 32 N in souther cant strain rates ( 4 7 /yr) ca in the E W direction. They show shear strain rates along the E concentration of left lateral shear m of tectonic interaction between th its northern neighboring region. I Fig. 4. Horizontal velocity field in southwest Japan with respect S. to the Nishimura AM. Velocities & Hashimoto used in our analysis (26) are indicated b confidence limits for GPS velocities are also shown by ellipses attached to velocity vectors. 5 cm/yr 8

9 24 28 (σ +σ 22 +σ 33 ) ??? Good! PAC P OK kpa/yr 2 2 kpa/yr 2 2 Good!? 28 9 CMT data from NIED F-net Catalogue & Harvard CMT Catalog

10 EUR (Hashima et al., 28) 4 PAC PHS 2 4 cm/yr

11 28 28 M. Nakamura / Earth and Planetary Science Letters 27 (24) 389^ The horizontal velocity of the junction between Taiwan and the Ryukyu Arc to the northeast of Taiwan is 3. cm/yr, with an azimuth of N7 E []. This junction region rotates clockwise to the east of Taiwan [2], whereas the adjacent Yaeyama block rotates counter-clockwise. This di er- ence in rotation direction generates bending between the Yaeyama block and east Taiwan, and deformation and bending of the Ryukyu Arc are concentrated in the junction area. Furthermore, the stress elds of these two regions di er markedly: the extensional and strike-slip faulting dominant in the Yaeyama block (Fig. 2b) have maximum tensile axes (T axes) oriented NE^SW, 5 cm/yr Fig. 5. Horizontal displacement rate vectors of GPS sites. All vectors are relative to Eurasian plate (Shanghai VLBI). 4. Discussion Geomagnetic and topography data suggest the 24 presence of lineaments trending NW^SE in the Yaeyama block [6]. These lineaments form grabens striking NW^SE in the south Ryukyu Arc []. The strain rate suggests a trench-parallel extension, and extensional axes inferred from the focal mechanism solutions also indicate a NE^ SW orientation (Fig. 2b). Thus, trench-parallel extension is dominant in the southwestern Ryukyu Arc. The boundary between the central and southern

12 圧縮 kpa/yr 2 2 伸張 2

13 28 3

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