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5 1 (Y/L)/ (Y/L)= NonIT (K NonIT/L)/ (K NonIT/L)+ IT (K IT/L)/ (K IT/L) TFP/TFP Y:, L:, K NonIT: IT, K IT: IT NonIT, IT 2 TFP 5
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17 1 (Y/L)/ (Y/L)= NonIT (K NonIT/L)/ (K NonIT/L)+ IT (K IT/L)/ (K IT/L) TFP/TFP Y:, L:, K NonIT: IT, K IT: IT NonIT, IT 2 TFP 5
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57 IT 1 IT IT 1 IT IT 4-11 IT 90 IT 0.7 IT IT IT 1 (Y/L)/ (Y/L)= NonIT (K NonIT/L)/ (K NonIT/L)+ IT (K IT/L)/ (K IT/L) TFP/TFP Y:, L:, K NonIT: IT, K IT: IT NonIT, IT IT IT 2 TFP 56 39
58 IT IT IT 1 IT TFP IT IT IT 0.2 IT IT IT 90 IT IT IT IT IT 40
59 -12 IT IT IT IT 4 IT IT IT IT IT ln(y/l) = *** ** ln(k NonIT/L) ** ln(k IT/L) Y:, L:, K NonIT: IT, K IT: IT ***1 ** IT 0.122(Y/K IT) ( 7) 41
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104 IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT 5 IT ln Ct = 3.49 *** *** ln Y t *** ln FA t ** ln ITt (7.25) (9.70) (8.60) (2.42) ln Ct = *** ECt-1= ** ln Yt *** ln FAt ** ln ITt (-0.16) (-4.21) (2.20) (2.75) (2.27) C:, Y:, FA:, IT: IT, EC: 80 1Q04 2Q t ***1 **5 C: Y: Q~2004 2Q QE 86
105 FA: 93SNA 97 4Q 68SNA IT: IT IT IT (2004)IT No.12 IT IT IT 56.2 IT
106 (t ) ln(gdp) ln(p) DD D.W. Adj.R (6.291) (3.986) (4.169) ln(q) ln(gdp) ln(p)dd Q GDP GDP P DD C ln(gdp) ln(p) D.W. Adj.R (t ) (0.316) (0.667) (4.199) ln(q)c ln(gdp) ln(p) Q GDP GDP 88
107 P DSLCATVFTTH 89
108 1IT IT (IT) ( ) IT IT 1995 IT 5 IT IT IT 1974 IT (1) ( g + δ ) KIT t 1 = I t / (1) t = 75 KIT IT I IT g δ IT Fraumeni (1997) (2) KIT δ (2) t = It + ( 1 ) KITt 1 IT IT IT 5 IT (1)(2) 90
109 ( ) ( ) (1) (2) 2003 ( ) (2) IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT
110 ( ) ( ) 21 Hayashi and Inoue (1991) (1998) t K t t It δ 1970 (3) K δ (3) t = It + ( 1 ) K t ( ) (3) (3) 92
111 Y = AL α K β γ nonit K IT ( Y / L) A ( K / ) ( / ) ( ) ( nonit L K L = + β ) + γ ( IT ) Y / L A KnonIT / L KIT / L nonit ITIT IT IT IT IT 93SNA 93SNA SNA ( ) SNA SNA ( ) ( ) ( )) (%)100(%) 93
112 IT (%) (%)IT ( ) IT (%) (%)IT (%) IT ( ) (IT IT ) ( (%) (%)) ( ) 94
113 1 Ai Ai = C + λio X IO _ i Aii TFP X IT KIT _ j X IO _ i = ( WIO ji ( )), WIO ji = K j i IT _ j M ji + D ji ( M ji + D ji ) j i W KIT_jj IT ( )jij i jii j 2 Ai Ai = C + λ I X I _ i λ O X O _ i KIT _ j X I _ i = ( WI ji ( )), WI ji = K j i IT _ j KIT _ j XO _ i = ( WO ji ( )), WO ji = K j i IT _ j M ji M ji j i D ji j i Dji 95
114 A( TFP) 5 Ai Ai = Yi Yi L KnonIT _ i KIT _ i α( i ) ( ) ( ) Li KnonIT _ i KIT _ i 93SNA ( ) 80 68SNA 30 SNA 5 SNA t ** 5 * * IO I O Adjusted.R 2 D.W. (1.777) ** (2.031) (-0.759) (2004) TFP 96
115 1 TFP 1 IT XIO TFP TFP 97
116 IT IT IT IT IT α Y = AL K β nonit K γ IT ( α + β + γ = 1) ln( Y / L) = ln A + β ln( K nonit / L) + γ ln( K IT / L) Y: A: TFPL: KnonIT: IT KIT: IT adj.r 2 D.W ** (2.240) 0.122** (2.568) GLS ***1 **5 * Y, KIT, KnonIT dy Y IT = β dk nonit K nonit dy Y IT = γ dk IT K IT 98
117 Web IT IT ln( Y ) α + β ln( K ) + γ ln( L) + δ1dhh + δ 2DHL + δ3 = D LH Y : 2003 K : 2003 SNA K δ it = I it + ( 1 it ) Kit 1 Kit i t, Iit i t δ i t it L: 2003 DHH, DHL, DLH : IT H L IT 99
118 (1) IT HH (2) IT HL (3) IT LH (4) LL IT Web IT 1, NEEDS-Financial QUEST C lnk lnl HH HL LH AdjR *** *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** ***1 % **5 % *10% TFP TFP 100 δ e 1 1 δ e 2 1 δ e 3 1 δ 1, δ 2, δ 3 HH, HL, LH IT IT IT 100
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124 Jorgenson,D. and Motohashi,K. (2004) Potential Growth of the Japanese and U.S. Economies in the Information Age Economic and Social Research Institute Cabinet Office ESRI Discussion Paper Series No.88 Miyagawa.T, Ito.Y, Harada.N (2004) The IT Revolution and Productivity Growth in Japan Solow, Robert M. (1987) We d Better Watch Out New York Times Book Review, July12, 1987 pp.36 U.S. Department of Commerce (Each year edition) Digital Economy 106
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