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5 1 (Y/L)/ (Y/L)= NonIT (K NonIT/L)/ (K NonIT/L)+ IT (K IT/L)/ (K IT/L) TFP/TFP Y:, L:, K NonIT: IT, K IT: IT NonIT, IT 2 TFP 5

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17 1 (Y/L)/ (Y/L)= NonIT (K NonIT/L)/ (K NonIT/L)+ IT (K IT/L)/ (K IT/L) TFP/TFP Y:, L:, K NonIT: IT, K IT: IT NonIT, IT 2 TFP 5

18 6

19 Plan Do CheckAction 1 2 IT 2001 e-japan IT IT IT IT IT IT NTT 1

20 ITU

21 ,

22 IT 2000 IT IT IT e-japan e-japan IT PDCAPlan- Do-Check-Action 2003 IT IT e-japan 4

23 5 100kbps ADSL -5-6

24 6

25 -8 7

26 IP VoIPVoice over IP IP IP IP IP 20.3 IP 42.7 IP IP IP 8

27 9 e-japan IT e-japan 2005 e-japan 1-10 DSL ADSL

28 ADSL ADSL 74 ADSL ADSL FTTH ADSL FTTH FTTH FTTH FTTH 10

29 11 DSL ADSL BB 30% NTT ADSLFTTH NTT

30 12

31 4 4 4 ( ) 13

32 14

33 ,

34

35

36

37

38 20 IT

39 ITU

40 e-japan IT IT

41 IT IT IT IT IT 23

42 IT -14 IT IT % IT 2 3 IT 24

43 25 IT

44 GDP IT IT

45 27

46 IT

47 IT e-japan e-japan

48 30

49 IT IT IT IT 90 IT 3-2 IT 31

50 32

51 IT IT 60 DVD -4 IT DVD TV VTRCD 33

52 IT IT 4 IT IT -5 34

53 IT IT IT IT IT IT IT 2 IT IT GDP

54 IT IT

55 IT IT

56 IT IT IT IT IT IT IT 90 IT IT 38

57 IT 1 IT IT 1 IT IT 4-11 IT 90 IT 0.7 IT IT IT 1 (Y/L)/ (Y/L)= NonIT (K NonIT/L)/ (K NonIT/L)+ IT (K IT/L)/ (K IT/L) TFP/TFP Y:, L:, K NonIT: IT, K IT: IT NonIT, IT IT IT 2 TFP 56 39

58 IT IT IT 1 IT TFP IT IT IT 0.2 IT IT IT 90 IT IT IT IT IT 40

59 -12 IT IT IT IT 4 IT IT IT IT IT ln(y/l) = *** ** ln(k NonIT/L) ** ln(k IT/L) Y:, L:, K NonIT: IT, K IT: IT ***1 ** IT 0.122(Y/K IT) ( 7) 41

60 IT 97% Web IT 42

61

62 IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT / / IT = = IT IT IT / IT IT IT 44

63 IT 45

64 46 IT IT IT

65 IT IT -18 IT IT IT 16 IT

66 IT IT IT IT 23.5 IT IT IT 1 IT 48

67 IT 4-20 IT 8 15 IT 2 49

68 IT -21 IT IT IT IT -22 IT 50 ( )

69 IT IT IT IT IT IT 51

70 52

71 53

72 54

73 55

74

75 57 IT GPS IT IT NPO NPO

76

77 NTT NTT IBM ,

78 60

79 61

80 62

81 63

82 1 Business Process Re-engineering 2 64

83 3, ,

84 66

85 1 ERP 2 (enterprise) (architecture) 3 67

86 4 Local Government Wide Area Network WAN 68

87 69 40

88 NPO Non Profit Organization; 1 NPO IT 1 70

89 71 NPO

90 2 ( )

91 73 5 LAN

92 20 QOLQuality of Life QOL 74

93 IT IT NPO IPv6 6 6 Internet Protocol version 6 IPv4 75

94

95 e-japan ADSL 2km ADSL ADSL NTT FTTH FTTH ADSL FTTH e-japan IT Yahoo IT IT IT 20 IT IT 77

96 IP IT IT PC OS OS IT IT IT IT IT IT IT 78

97 IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT?? 3 e-japan IT IT IT IT IT IT 79

98 IT IT IT IT IT IT TFP IT IT 90 IT ADSL 20 NTT e-japan ADSL 80

99 FTTH IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT ITS 81

100 FTTH 2000 IT e IT IT 82

101 IT NTT NTT NCC IT IT IT 83

102

103 goo Research ,120 goo Research 2, ,423 85

104 IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT 5 IT ln Ct = 3.49 *** *** ln Y t *** ln FA t ** ln ITt (7.25) (9.70) (8.60) (2.42) ln Ct = *** ECt-1= ** ln Yt *** ln FAt ** ln ITt (-0.16) (-4.21) (2.20) (2.75) (2.27) C:, Y:, FA:, IT: IT, EC: 80 1Q04 2Q t ***1 **5 C: Y: Q~2004 2Q QE 86

105 FA: 93SNA 97 4Q 68SNA IT: IT IT IT (2004)IT No.12 IT IT IT 56.2 IT

106 (t ) ln(gdp) ln(p) DD D.W. Adj.R (6.291) (3.986) (4.169) ln(q) ln(gdp) ln(p)dd Q GDP GDP P DD C ln(gdp) ln(p) D.W. Adj.R (t ) (0.316) (0.667) (4.199) ln(q)c ln(gdp) ln(p) Q GDP GDP 88

107 P DSLCATVFTTH 89

108 1IT IT (IT) ( ) IT IT 1995 IT 5 IT IT IT 1974 IT (1) ( g + δ ) KIT t 1 = I t / (1) t = 75 KIT IT I IT g δ IT Fraumeni (1997) (2) KIT δ (2) t = It + ( 1 ) KITt 1 IT IT IT 5 IT (1)(2) 90

109 ( ) ( ) (1) (2) 2003 ( ) (2) IT IT IT IT IT IT IT IT

110 ( ) ( ) 21 Hayashi and Inoue (1991) (1998) t K t t It δ 1970 (3) K δ (3) t = It + ( 1 ) K t ( ) (3) (3) 92

111 Y = AL α K β γ nonit K IT ( Y / L) A ( K / ) ( / ) ( ) ( nonit L K L = + β ) + γ ( IT ) Y / L A KnonIT / L KIT / L nonit ITIT IT IT IT IT 93SNA 93SNA SNA ( ) SNA SNA ( ) ( ) ( )) (%)100(%) 93

112 IT (%) (%)IT ( ) IT (%) (%)IT (%) IT ( ) (IT IT ) ( (%) (%)) ( ) 94

113 1 Ai Ai = C + λio X IO _ i Aii TFP X IT KIT _ j X IO _ i = ( WIO ji ( )), WIO ji = K j i IT _ j M ji + D ji ( M ji + D ji ) j i W KIT_jj IT ( )jij i jii j 2 Ai Ai = C + λ I X I _ i λ O X O _ i KIT _ j X I _ i = ( WI ji ( )), WI ji = K j i IT _ j KIT _ j XO _ i = ( WO ji ( )), WO ji = K j i IT _ j M ji M ji j i D ji j i Dji 95

114 A( TFP) 5 Ai Ai = Yi Yi L KnonIT _ i KIT _ i α( i ) ( ) ( ) Li KnonIT _ i KIT _ i 93SNA ( ) 80 68SNA 30 SNA 5 SNA t ** 5 * * IO I O Adjusted.R 2 D.W. (1.777) ** (2.031) (-0.759) (2004) TFP 96

115 1 TFP 1 IT XIO TFP TFP 97

116 IT IT IT IT IT α Y = AL K β nonit K γ IT ( α + β + γ = 1) ln( Y / L) = ln A + β ln( K nonit / L) + γ ln( K IT / L) Y: A: TFPL: KnonIT: IT KIT: IT adj.r 2 D.W ** (2.240) 0.122** (2.568) GLS ***1 **5 * Y, KIT, KnonIT dy Y IT = β dk nonit K nonit dy Y IT = γ dk IT K IT 98

117 Web IT IT ln( Y ) α + β ln( K ) + γ ln( L) + δ1dhh + δ 2DHL + δ3 = D LH Y : 2003 K : 2003 SNA K δ it = I it + ( 1 it ) Kit 1 Kit i t, Iit i t δ i t it L: 2003 DHH, DHL, DLH : IT H L IT 99

118 (1) IT HH (2) IT HL (3) IT LH (4) LL IT Web IT 1, NEEDS-Financial QUEST C lnk lnl HH HL LH AdjR *** *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** ***1 % **5 % *10% TFP TFP 100 δ e 1 1 δ e 2 1 δ e 3 1 δ 1, δ 2, δ 3 HH, HL, LH IT IT IT 100

119 IT 10 *** * *** IT ** ** *** IT * *** *** ***1 % **5 % *10% IT IT IT IT IT IT 101

120 *** *** *** *** *** *** IT *** *** *** IT *** *** *** ***1 % **5 % *10% IT IT

121 IT

122 IT IT

123 IT (2004) (1998) (2000)IT No.4 (2004) (2003)2002 (2004) 2004 (2003) 2004 (2004) 2004 (2003) IT ( ) (2004) IT No.19 (2004) (2003) Economic Review Vol.7 No.3 (2003)IT JIP ESRI Discussion Paper Series No.41 (2002) RIETI Discussion Paper Series 02-J-018 (2003) (1999) 10 Fraumeni, Barbara M(1997) The Measurement of Depreciation in the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts, Survey of Current Business, July, pp.7-23 Hayashi.F and Inoue.T (1991) The Relation between Firm Growth Q with Multiple Capital Goods: Theory and Evidence from Panel Data on Japanese Firms, Econometrica 59, pp ITU (International Telecommunication Union (Each year edition)) ITU Telecommunication Indicators ITU(2003) Internet Reports 2003: Birth of Broadband 105

124 Jorgenson,D. and Motohashi,K. (2004) Potential Growth of the Japanese and U.S. Economies in the Information Age Economic and Social Research Institute Cabinet Office ESRI Discussion Paper Series No.88 Miyagawa.T, Ito.Y, Harada.N (2004) The IT Revolution and Productivity Growth in Japan Solow, Robert M. (1987) We d Better Watch Out New York Times Book Review, July12, 1987 pp.36 U.S. Department of Commerce (Each year edition) Digital Economy 106

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