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1 技術報告 REPORT OF HYDROGRAPHIC AND OCEANOGRAPHIC RESEARCHES No.52 March, 2015 Ver. On the drift prediction program version 6.0 Yuri ASAHARA, Yoshikazu HIGASHI, Hiroshi MORIOKA, Saya IRISAWA, and Akihiro MASUYAMA Abstract In order to comply with IAMSAR manual IAMSAR The International Aeronautical and Maritime Search and Rescue Manual that is the international standard of search and rescue activities, Japan Coast Guard has constructed the drift prediction program Ver.. In this paper, we report the main features of the drift prediction program Ver., especially the calculation method by drift error and double track scheme in accordance with the IAMSAR manual. 1 はじめに Ver. Ver. International Aeronautical and Maritime Search and Rescue Manual IAMSAR IAMSAR Ver. Ver. 2 海上風 海流メッシュの範囲の拡大 Received September, ; Accepted November, Environmental and Oceanographic Research Division

2 Yuri ASAHARA, Yoshikazu HIGASHI, Hiroshi MORIOKA, Saya IRISAWA, and Akihiro MASUYAMA Ver. Fig. Marine area of the Agreement between the Government of the United States of America and the Government of Japan on Maritime Search and Rescue U.S. Japan SAR Agreement, the data range of ocean wind GSM, MSM and ocean current MOVE. SAR GSM MSM MOVE Meso Spectral ModelMSM Global Spectral Model GSM MOVE/ MRI COM WNPMOVE SAR Search and Rescue GSM MOVE Fig. 3 漂流予測計算の高度化 3.1 吹送流の計算 Ver. Table 3.2 風圧流偏角 Ver.

3 On the drift prediction program version 6.0 Table List of parameters dependent on drifting matters. 種類 風圧流偏 (±) ( 度 ) 吹送流の深度 (m) 風圧流の速度誤差 (Lwe) ( ノット ) 原油 ガソリン ナフサ A 重油 C 重油 備考 (IAMSAR マニュアルとの対応 ) 人 ( 救命具装着 ) 非直立状態を仮定 人 ( 救命具なし ) 非直立状態を仮定 サーフボード上の人 サーフボード扱い 板 櫓櫂船 (V 字底 水船状態 ) 扱い 水船 櫓櫂船 (V 字底 水船状態 ) 扱い 転覆船 漁船の残骸扱い 伝馬船 櫓櫂船 ( 平底 ) 扱い ゴムボート 櫓櫂船 ( 平底 ) 扱い 救命筏 バラストあり 天幕あり 海錨使用 救命艇 櫓櫂船 ( 平底 ) 扱い プレジャーボート スポーツフィッシングボート扱い レスキューブイ カヌー シーカヤック 漁船 (5 トン未満 )( 満載 ) スポーツフィッシングボート扱い 漁船 (5 トン未満 )( 半載 ) 漁船 (5 トン未満 )( 空船 ) 漁船 (5~150 トン )( 満載 ) 延縄漁船 (30m 未満 ) 扱い 漁船 (5~150 トン )( 半載 ) 漁船 (5~150 トン )( 空船 ) 漁船 (150~500 トン )( 満載 ) 商用漁船 ( 船形不明 30m 未満 ) 扱い 漁船 (150~500 トン )( 半載 ) 漁船 (150~500 トン )( 空船 ) 漁船 (500 トン以上 )( 満載 ) 商用漁船 ( 船形不明 30m 未満 ) 扱い 漁船 (500 トン以上 )( 半載 ) 漁船 (500 トン以上 )( 空船 ) フェリー (5~50 トン )( 満載 ) 商用漁船 ( 船形不明 30m 未満 ) 扱い フェリー (5~50 トン )( 半載 ) フェリー (5~50 トン )( 空船 ) フェリー (50~500 トン )( 満載 ) 商用漁船 ( 船形不明 30m 未満 ) 扱い フェリー (50~500 トン )( 半載 ) フェリー (50~500 トン )( 空船 ) フェリー (500~10000 トン )( 満載 ) 商用漁船 ( 船形不明 30m 未満 ) 扱い フェリー (500~10000 トン )( 半載 ) フェリー (500~10000 トン )( 空船 ) フェリー (10000 トン以上 )( 満載 ) 商用漁船 ( 船形不明 30m 未満 ) 扱い フェリー (10000 トン以上 )( 半載 ) フェリー (10000 トン以上 )( 空船 ) 貨物船 ( 満載 ) 沿岸貨物船 (30m 未満 ) 扱い 貨物船 ( 半載 ) 貨物船 ( 空船 ) 半載 空船は満載と同等に扱う Fig. IAMSAR Table 3.3 単線方式と複線方式

4 Yuri ASAHARA, Yoshikazu HIGASHI, Hiroshi MORIOKA, Saya IRISAWA, and Akihiro MASUYAMA Vd i Vd idiv i t i Fig. Movement of drifting matters excerpt from Fukushima,. Fig. Ver. Ver. 3.4 拡散誤差と漂流誤差 Ver. Ver. Ver. Ver. Ver. Ver. Ver. Div i i t i i. Div i i Di i Div i Di i De De DVe t Di i DVe t De DVe DVe ASWDVe TWCe LWe ASWDVe TWCe LWe IAMSAR. ASWDVe. kt LWe Table TWCe

5 On the drift prediction program version 6.0 TWCe TCe SCe WCe OWCe TCe SCe WCe OWCe IAMSAR. kt Ver. Fig. 4 機能の追加及び改良 4.1 現場値の取り込み機能の改良 Ver. Acoustic Doppler Current ProfilerADCP ADCP m m. m. m 4.2 海況リアルタイムデータベースとの連携.. m m m 4.3 出力機能の改良 Ver. Ver.

6 Yuri ASAHARA, Yoshikazu HIGASHI, Hiroshi MORIOKA, Saya IRISAWA, and Akihiro MASUYAMA 1 単線方式 + 拡散誤差 2 単線方式 + 漂流誤差 3 複線方式 + 拡散誤差 4 複線方式 + 漂流誤差 Fig. The results of the drift prediction program Ver.. It is set to be calculated using single track scheme and diffusion error first panel, single track scheme and drift error second panel, double track scheme and diffusion error third panel and double track scheme and drift error fourth panel. Each drifting matter is shown hours after left and hours after right. Ver.

7 On the drift prediction program version 6.0 shape GIS 5 おわりに 謝辞 GSM MOVE IAMSAR Ver. pp. pp. 要旨 IAMSAR Ver. IAMSAR Ver. 文献

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