インドネシアの都市化 北スラウェシ州のケース（中間報告）
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1 (2016) Christiaensen, De Weerdt and Todo (2013) (IDE-JETRO): Takayuki Higashikata@ide.go.jp 25
2 1991/ Christiaensen and Todo (2014) (1) Liu and Yamauchi (2014) (2) (2016) (3) (2016) Potensi Desa: Podes (1) (2) (3) World Bank and IMF (2013) MDGs 3 10 kabupaten kota kecamatan desa kelurahan 26
3 (4) (5) Sulawesi Utara (6) 1999 Podes (7) 1999 Manado Bitung Minahasa Tomohon Bolaang Mongondow Kotamobagu (8) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Muhidin (2014) Liu and Yamauchi (2014) Indonesian Family Life Survey IFLS Farre and Fasani (2013) Gibson and Olivia (2010) IFLS Kepulauan Sangihe Kepulauan Talaud Siau Tagulandang Biaro Sangihe Talaud 2011 Podes Lolak 27
4 Minahasa Selatan Amurang (9) Minahasa Utara (10) 2007 Minahasa Tenggara Bolaang Mongondow Utara (11) (12) (9) (10) (11) (12) (2016) 1999 Podes 11 Indonesia Database for Policy and Economic Research Indonesia Database for Policy and Economic Research
5 2 Podes 3 (13) Podes Podes 1999 Podes Podes Podes 2016 Podes Podes Podes Podes 2011 Podes Podes (13) 2006 Podes Podes Podes Podes
6 Podes , (14) (15) 1 (14) (15) 30
7 1 PLN 1 / OLS (16) (17) / (18) (16) (17) (18) Muhidin (2014) Liu and Yamauchi (2014) / (5) 2005 Podes
8 / 4 OLS (1) (3) 2 / (2) (4) (5) (8) (9) (9) (10) ± 5 ± 3 (11) (12)
9 (19) Podes 2000 Bryan, Gharad and Melanie Morten Economic development and the spatial allocation of labor: Evidence from indonesia, paper presented at yale university sep 28, Christiaensen, Luc, Joachim De Weerdt, and Yasuyuki Todo Urbanization and poverty reduction: the role of rural diversification and secondary towns, Agricultural Economics, 44, No. 4-5, Christiaensen, Luc and Yasuyuki Todo Poverty Reduction During the Rural-Urban Transformation : The Role of the Missing Middle, World Development, 63, No. C, Farre, Lidia and Francesco Fasani Media exposure and internal migration: Evidence from Indonesia, Journal of Development Economics, 102, No. C, Gibson, John and Susan Olivia The Effect of Infrastructure Access and Quality on Non-Farm Enterprises in Rural Indonesia, World Development, 38, No. 5, (19) Bryan and Morten (2015)
10 Liu, Yanyan and Futoshi Yamauchi Population density, migration, and the returns to human capital and land: Insights from Indonesia, Food Policy, 48, No. C, Muhidin, Salut Migration patterns: people on the move, In Regional Dynamics in a Decentralized Indonesia, Institute for Southeast Asian Studies, Chap. 13, World Bank and IMF Rural-urban dynamics and the millennium development goals, global monitoring report 2013, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank
11 1 (2011 )
12 2 (1999 ) 1999 Podes 1999 Podes
13 3 (2005 ) 2005 Podes 2005 Podes
14 4 (2010 )
15 5 (2010 )
16 6 (2010 ) 2010 Diploma I/II Akademi 40
17 7 ( ) 2010 Podes Kepulauan Sangihe Kepulauan Talaud Siau Tagulandang Biaro 3 41
18 8 ( ) 2010 Podes Kepulauan Sangihe Kepulauan Talaud Siau Tagulandang Biaro 3 42
19 Variable Mean Std. Dev. Individual level variables (2010) immigration (last 5 years) female dummy age educated years migration before 2005 (=1 if moved before 2005) urban dummy Village level variables (2005) urban dummy of change of non-farm household share share of non-farm households road lighting dummy asphalt road dummy road condition dummy flood dummy landslide dummy number of public higher education facility number of public high school number of public special school number of community health centre (puskesmas) number of sub health post (puskesmas pembantu) number of integrated health post (posyandu) Observations 95, Podes /
20 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) female dummy (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) age (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) educated years (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) migration before (=1 if moved before 2005) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) urban dummy (0.003) (0.002) change of non-farm household share (0.020) (0.020) (0.020) (0.022) (0.014) (0.014) (0.013) urban dummy of (0.002) (0.003) (0.002) (0.001) (0.002) road lighting dummy (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) asphalt road dummy (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) road condition dummy (0.003) (0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) flood dummy (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) landslide dummy (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) number of public higher education facility (0.003) (0.003) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) number of public high school (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) number of public special school (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) number of community health centre (puskesmas) (0.002) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) number of sub health post (puskesmas pembantu) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) number of integrated health post (posyandu) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) Constant (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.004) (0.007) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) (0.046) district of residence in 2010 No No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes district of residence in 2005 No No No No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Observations Adjusted R
21 3 Variable Mean Std. Dev. Year: 1999 (N = 899) number of households number of non-farm households share of non-farm households asphalt road dummy road condition dummy road lighting dummy flood dummy landslide dummy Year: 2002 (N = 898) number of households number of non-farm households share of non-farm households asphalt road dummy road condition dummy road lighting dummy flood dummy landslide dummy Year: 2005 (N = 899) number of households number of non-farm households share of non-farm households asphalt road dummy road condition dummy road lighting dummy flood dummy landslide dummy Year: 2008 (N = 899) number of households number of non-farm households share of non-farm households asphalt road dummy road condition dummy road lighting dummy flood dummy landslide dummy Year: 2011 (N = 899) number of households number of non-farm households share of non-farm households asphalt road dummy road condition dummy road lighting dummy flood dummy landslide dummy Podes
22 4 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) L3.asphalt road dummy (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.005) (0.005) (0.002) (0.002) (0.016) (0.018) L6.asphalt road dummy (0.003) (0.003) (0.004) (0.004) (0.017) L3.road condition dummy (0.005) (0.005) (0.008) (0.008) (0.006) (0.006) (0.010) (0.010) (0.005) (0.005) (0.032) (0.045) L6.road condition dummy (0.007) (0.007) (0.009) (0.009) (0.046) L3.road lighting dummy (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) (0.004) (0.004) (0.002) (0.002) (0.012) (0.014) L6.road lighting dummy (0.003) (0.003) (0.005) (0.005) (0.014) L3.share of non-farm households (0.004) (0.004) (0.005) (0.005) (0.006) (0.006) (0.008) (0.008) (0.004) (0.004) (0.020) (0.022) flood dummy (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.004) (0.002) (0.002) landslide dummy (0.002) (0.002) (0.003) (0.004) (0.002) (0.002) Constant (0.005) (0.005) (0.007) (0.007) (0.005) (0.005) (0.007) (0.007) (0.005) (0.005) (0.032) (0.034) Observations Adjusted R
1997 2005 2009 22.9 32.0 25.6 22.4 36.0 29.2 23.9 22.0 15.7 HPI-1(%) 20.4 30.7 27.7 12.4 8.5 40 2005-2010 15 (%) 1999-2007 (%) 2006 (%) 2000-2006 19.1 13.1 18.5 5.8 11.3 10.1 27.3 23.7 9.7 5.9 20 40 35
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