5 I The Current Situation and Future Prospects of the North Korean Economy presented at the 2014 Korea Dialogue Conference on Strengthenin

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1 5 I The Current Situation and Future Prospects of the North Korean Economy presented at the 2014 Korea Dialogue Conference on Strengthening North Pacific Cooperation organized by the East-West Center and Korea Institute for International Economic Policy held on July 24-25, 2014 in Honolulu, Hawaii, USA.

2 84 3 II % CSIS Michael Jonathan Green % The Joongang Ilbo, June 10, 2016.

3 % Source: Bank of Korea, The Estimation Results on the Economic Growth Rate of North Korea in 2 014, Dong-il Hyun % % Dong-il Hyun, Changes and Prospects of the North Korean Economy, The Korea Exim North Korea Economic Review, Summer, 2016, p.16.

4 FAO 9% % FAO , , % FAO % % % (accessed June 20, 2016). The Weekly Chosun, June 6, 2016.

5 kg 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~6.13 Source: Daily NK 合計 中国 KOTRA, The Trend of North Korean Foreign Trade, various years % 7.6%

6 % % 発育阻害 衰弱 低体重 Lee, Jeong-hee, The Comparison of Nutrition of North Korean Children: An Analysis of the Survey Reports on Nutrition of North Korean Children during 19 98~2 012, KDI Review on the North Korean Economy, April,

7 GNI ,670 4,3 42 6, ,252 1,785 1,515 2,579 3, , , ,079 3,78 7 United Nations, World Statistics Pocketbook 2015 Edition,

8 90 1 GNI ) ) , % , United Nations, World Statistics Pocketbook 2015 Edition, % % 1 GDP % 1 GDP % 17 20% 1 GDP 20% 1 GDP GDP = % 40% 50% 40% 20% 1 GDP Sung, Chae-gi, et. al., An Alternative Estimation of North Korea s GDP Based on Purchasing Power Parity and Income Inequality, 2 014, p.18 7.

9 , ,000 1, 上位中位下位 Soongsil Research Institute for Inter-Korean Exchanges and Cooperation, A Report on Information Gathering from North Korean Defectors, ,000 5, , % 400

10 % 87% 63% 100% 66% 29% % 42% 7% 86% 44% 7% The Institute for Peace and Unification Studies at Seoul National University, Changes in North Korean Society and Citizen Consciousness, 2 015, pp III K. Vincent K. Brooks

11

12 94 40%

13 % % 48% 6 % 政治 / 社会経済軍事 2012 年 2013 年 2014 年 2015 年

14 96 IV

15 %

16 98 7 1, , , , , , ,000 70, ,000 90, , , ,000 80,

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