Microsoft Word - 最終版_第2回_.doc

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1 17

2 event phenomenon 18

3 ESP

4 20

5 19 21

6 22

7 23

8 24

9 Wiseman Wiseman, 2002 "Luck Factor" Teigen e.g., Teigen, 1995; 1999 Teigen counterfactual thinking luck 25

10 Gilovich Gilovich,Vallone, & Tversky, 1985 "hot hand" 26

11 27

12 28

13 chance luck Keren Wagenaar Keren & Wagenaar, 1985 luck 29

14 Gilovich, T., Vallone, R., & Tversky, A The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences. Cognitive Psychology, 17, Keren, G. & Wagenaar, A On the psychology of playing blackjack: Normative and descriptive considerations with implications for decision theory. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 114, Teigen, K. H How good is good luck? The role of counterfactual thinking in the perception of lucky and unlucky events. European Journal of Social Psychology, 25, Teigen, K. H Good luck and bad luck: How to tell the difference. European Journal of Social Psychology, 29, Wiseman, R The Luck Factor. Century. 30

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