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1 ()

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5 % 43% 47% 47% 48% 46% 45%..... GDPGNP... GDPIMF % 30% 28% 26% 24% 23% 21% 19%...

6 :

7 NCTCNational Counterterrorism Center 8 4 9

8 Arms Control Today

9 Department of Defense Proliferation: Threat and Response CIA Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions International Institute for Strategic Studies The Military Balance Jane s Strategic Weapon Systems Carnegie Endowment for International Peace World Missile Chart Countries Possessing Ballistic Missiles

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11 Ex. Ex. 2m Ex. Ex.

12 10 2 IMBInternational Maritime Bureau

13 IMB

14

15

16 /982008

17 +

18 Su-27Su-30J Su-27 01Su J Su Su ICBM

19 ICBM IRBM MRBM SRBM SLBM DF-5(A) DF-31(A) DF-4 DF-3(A) DF-21(A) DF-15(A) DF-11(A) JL-1(A) JL-2 (CSS-4) (CSS-9) (CSS-3) (CSS-2) (CSS-5) (CSS-6) (CSS-7) (CSS-N-3) (CSS-NX-5) (m) (18.4) (12.3) 9.1(10.0) 7.50(8.50) 10.7(12.3) (km) 12,000 (13,000) 8,000 (14,000) 4,750 2,650 (2,800)2,150 (2,500) ( ) 2,150 (2,500) 8,000 (m) 800(500) ,000 (1,000) 700(50) 300(30-45) 600 ( ) 700(50) MT4-1MT 3MT KT, 90KT,HE, 2-20KT, 1MT 6MIRV 3-5MIRV( 3MT HE,,,EMP,,FAE,HE, KT 3-8MIRV KT KT (HE),EMP KT 1981 (1986) 1999 ( ) (1987) 1987 (1996) 1990 (1996) 1992 (1998) TEL

20

21 GDP

22 (PKO)

23 , :07

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25 T-62T-54/ / Mig23:46Mig29:20Su25: M F M-47M ) / F4130F16152F1540

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27 m B C 300km 500km 1,300km 1,500km 6,000km 81B TEL CB C Jane s Strategic Weapon Systems

28 NIC10,000km15,000km

29 SCO (

30

31 EU mainly positivemainly negative

32 EU mainly positivemainly negative

33 (15 723) NYK LINE IMB() 332m (23 )

34 CTF CTF150 EU 1

35 EUOperationATALANTA NATOEU WFP CTF CTF ( 14 unclassified net)(radio transmission)

8 06 NCTCNational Counterterrorism Center 46 89 074 07 07 1945 1952 1960 20028 1998 1974 Arms Control Today 1964 1945 20052 200610 20093 20095 20099 200911 Department of Defense Proliferation: Threat and

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