災害リスクの計測と リスクカーブの活用(基礎編)

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16 RiskLink

17 地盤データ 地盤の地震動増幅率 地震動予測モデル 液状化可能性 17

18 1km 100m 18

19 100 etc T30 T60 T100 19

20 20

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22 1703M % 0.100% M % 0.241% M % 0.530% M % 0.706% M % 0.877% 22

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24 100.00% 100% Damage Ratio 10% 10.00% 1% 1.00% 0.1% 0.10% 0.01% WWindspeed 24

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28 VaR 90VaR 99VaR VaR 90VaR 99VaR 99.9VaR 28

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34 10% (10-1 ) 1% (10-2 ) 0.2% 0.1% (10-3 ) 0.01% (10-4 ) 0.001% (10-5 ) % (10-6 ) 0.017% 0.016% % % 0.91% 0.064% % % % 0.23% 0.12% 0.10% 0.067% 0.025% 0.12% 0.040% 0.019% % % B BB BBB A AA AAA 34

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