災害リスクの計測と リスクカーブの活用(基礎編)

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1 BCM)

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5 5

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7 4cm 8cm

8 /7/23M6.0 HP

9 9

10 10

11 7.3 11

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13 13

14 BCPBCM ( 14

15 15

16 RiskLink

17 地盤データ 地盤の地震動増幅率 地震動予測モデル 液状化可能性 17

18 1km 100m 18

19 100 etc T30 T60 T100 19

20 20

21

22 1703M % 0.100% M % 0.241% M % 0.530% M % 0.706% M % 0.877% 22

23 ( Σ Σ

24 100.00% 100% Damage Ratio 10% 10.00% 1% 1.00% 0.1% 0.10% 0.01% WWindspeed 24

25 P 4 P 3 P 2 Pi P 1 L 25

26 26

27 ELULVaR 0 27

28 VaR 90VaR 99VaR VaR 90VaR 99VaR 99.9VaR 28

29

30 Q.100 A10.4%99.6%100 Q1% A55 0.4% 55 30

31 -1 31

32 -2 P 1 P

33 R&I)

34 10% (10-1 ) 1% (10-2 ) 0.2% 0.1% (10-3 ) 0.01% (10-4 ) 0.001% (10-5 ) % (10-6 ) 0.017% 0.016% % % 0.91% 0.064% % % % 0.23% 0.12% 0.10% 0.067% 0.025% 0.12% 0.040% 0.019% % % B BB BBB A AA AAA 34

35 AAAAAA BBB BBB A AA AAA AAA AAA AAA 35

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40 ART Alternative Risk Transfer ART 40

41 ART 41

42 B/S 42

イントロ

イントロ 2013 DISCLOSURE CONTENTS A W A B A N K 2 0 1 3 AWA BANK REPORT 2013 AWA BANK REPORT 2013 200 192 195 194 188 150 140 147 100 120 50 80 73 61 89 0 40 0 100 90 80 60 40 47 41 36 20 0 8,000 6,000 4,000

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