i
ii
T U 1 U T... 3 2... 5 3... 5 4... 6 5... 6 6... 6 7 ()... 6 8 SS... 7 9 SS... 7 1-1... 15 1-2 /... 16 1-3... 17 1-4 /... 19 1-5... 19 1-6... 21 1-7 SS (/... 21 1-8... 22 1-9... 22 1-10... 23 1-11 SS... 23 1-12... 24 1-13 1SS ()... 24 1-14... 25 1-15 SS... 26 1-16 SS... 26 1-17 SS... 27 1-18 SS... 28 1-19 SS... 29 1-20 SS ()... 29 1-21 SS SS... 30 1-22 SS... 30 1-23 1SS... 31 1-24 1SS... 31 1-25... 32 1-26... 33 iii
1-27... 33 1-28... 33 1-29... 33 1-30... 34 1-31... 35 1-32 ()... 35 1-33 /... 36 1-34... 37 1-35 ()... 38 1-36 /... 39 1-37... 40 1-38... 40 1-39... 40 1-40 SS... 41 1-41... 42 1-42... 43 1-43... 44 1-44... 44 1-45... 45 1-46... 46 1-47 962004 /... 46 1-48 2005 /... 46 1-49 (1 )()... 47 1-50 ( )... 47 1-51 (1 )... 48 1-52 (1 )... 48 1-53 (1 )... 49 1-54 ()... 49 1-55 ()... 50 2-1... 51 2-2 ()()... 52 2-3 1 ()... 53 2-4 3 ()... 53 2-5 4 ()... 54 2-6... 55 2-7... 55 2-8 SS... 56 2-9 SS ()... 57 2-10 SS... 57 2-11... 57 2-12... 57 iv
2-13... 57 2-14... 58 2-15... 59 2-16 ()... 59 2-17... 60 2-18... 61 2-19... 62 2-20... 62 2-21... 63 2-22 SS... 63 2-23 SS... 64 2-24 SS... 64 2-25... 65 2-26 ()... 65 2-27 ()... 65 2-28 SS... 66 2-29 ()... 66 2-30 ()... 66 2-31 SS ()... 67 2-32 SS... 68 2-33... 69 2-34... 69 2-35... 70 2-36 (2008 2009 )... 70 2-37... 71 2-38... 71 2-39 SS... 72 2-40 SS... 73 2-41 SS ()... 74 2-42 SS... 74 2-43 SS... 75 2-44 SS... 75 2-45 SS... 75 2-46... 76 2-47 ()... 77 2-48 96... 78 2-49... 80 2-50... 80 3-1 ()... 81 3-2... 82 3-3... 82 v
3-4... 83 3-5... 83 3-6... 84 3-7... 85 3-8... 86 3-9 2020... 86 3-10 2020 ()... 86 3-11... 87 3-12... 88 3-13... 88 3-14 ()... 88 3-15... 89 3-16... 89 3-17 ()... 90 3-18... 91 3-19... 91 3-20... 92 3-21 93 3-22... 94 3-23... 94 3-24... 94 3-25... 94 3-26... 96 3-27... 96 3-28... 99 3-29 2009 (SS )... 99 4-1 SS...103 4-2...104 4-3...104 4-4...105 4-5...106 4-6 SS...108 4-7...110 4-8...111 vi
-1 -
-2 -
1-3 -
-4-
-5-
-6 -
-7-
-8 -
-9-
2-10 -
-11-
- 12 -
- 13 -
- 14 -
1 / 1962 7 2001 12 20021 96 098 098-15 -
19627 197312 / 19764 19775 19815 19861 19865 19875 SS 19877 19893 PQ SS 19899 19903 SS 19919 19923 19933 199412 / 19956 19963 19964 19964 SQ 19976 19977 199712 SS 19984 SS 200112 20022 20082 / CRI 20097 EV - 16 -
1 2 / ( ( ( 3-17 -
- 18 -
125,000 300,000 100,000 250,000 200,000 75,000 50,000 150,000 100,000 25,000 50,000 0 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 0 87.7 91.9 89.3 89.9 92.3 SS 90.3SS SS 87.5SS 89.3SS - 19 -
- 20 -
198112 198411 19853 19873 19906 199412 19956 19976 19986 20082 1 2 3 4 SS SSSS SS SS SSSS - 21 -
96.3 SS 96.3 97.12 98.4SS - 22 -
70 200 60 156 175 50 132 150 40 102 30 75 63 41 16 20 20 14 21 16 6 11 10 16 6 10 14 10 5 8 8 1 8 2 6 3 0 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 100 50 0-23 -
2000 2009 A B C D C-A D-B 57,560 99.7 58,140 99.9 580 0.2 4517 7.8 11,123 19.1 6,606 11.3 721 1.2 921 1.6 200 0.3 3796 6.6 10,202 17.5 6,406 11.0 5214 9.0 7,582 13.0 2,368 4.0 517 0.9 497 0.9 20 0.0 4,093 7.1 4,164 7.2 71 0.1 604 1.0 2,921 5.0 2,317 4.0 44,885 77.7 36,798 63.2 8,087 14.5 31,574 54.7 25,343 43.5 6,231 11.1 9,720 16.8 7,484 12.9 2,236 4.0 3,591 6.2 3,971 6.8 380 0.6 2944 5.1 2,637 4.5 307 0.6 183 0.3 68 0.1 115 0.2 57,743 100.0 58,208 100.0 465 0.0-24 -
- 25 -
70,000 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 9460,421 046,170KL 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 65,000 60,000 32,835 31,599 60,421 30,032 59,615 28,427 33,000 31,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 56,444 27,157 53,704 25,807 51,294 24,521 48,672 22,952 44,057 20,365 40,357 29,000 27,000 25,000 23,000 21,000 40,000 19,000 35,000 17,000 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98-26 - 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
- 27 -
PS % SS SS SS SS SS SS SS A D D/A E F E/A F/A F/D F/E B C JX 12,687 130 1,641 12.9 1,253 9.9 2,378 1,245 18.7 9.8 43.0 52.4 898 5,117 6,173 7,570 4,199 0 619 14.7 199 4.7 1,205 459 28.7 10.9 56.1 38.1 868 2,755 1,147 1,444 4,338 0 600 13.8 650 15.0 891 586 20.5 13.5 46.9 65.8 971 3,003 1,109 1,335 4,102 46 901 22.0 63 1.5 951 480 23.2 11.7 49.8 50.5 601 1,979 1,629 2,123 3,768 562 43 0 290 48 7.7 8.5 546 52 14.5 9.3 1,004 199 591 76 26.6 35.4 15.7 13.5 70.7 76.0 58.9 38.2 257 152 1,768 318 1,679 221 2,000 244 382 0 44 11.5 88 23.0 144 91 37.7 23.8 68.9 63.2 98 291 81 91 301 0 78 25.9 27 9.0 133 76 44.2 25.2 72.4 57.1 104 280 16 21 30,339 219 4,221 13.9 6,905 3,604 22.8 11.9 50.8 52.2 3,949 15,511 12,055 14,828 2,878 9.5-28 -
9,000 300 252 8,371 250 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000-97 173 97-65 -40-2 -13-41 -27-54 -41-69 200 150 100 50 0-50 -100-120 -150 1,000-181 -200 0 46 79 1012 13 46 79 1012 13 46 79 1012 13 46 79 1012 13 46 79 1012 13 46 79 1012 13 46 79 1012 13 46 79 10-12 1-46 79 10-12 1-46 79 1012 1-46 79 1012 1-46 79-250 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10-29 -
- 30 -
300 250 / 266 250 248 236 274 262 200 150 100 50 66 84 79 75 75 70 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008-31 -
- 32 -
- 33 -
- 34 -
- 35 -
- 36 -
- 37 -
743963 90920089 FOB 96420089 200810-38 -
- 39 -
130 / 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 65.2 14.7 13.1 64.3 15.4 11.7 64.5 16.4 11.0 12.3 18.2 65.7 10.6 16.1 72.4 11.5 16.6 82.6 12.2 16.5 90.5 14.8 13.5 93.9 13.6 14.3 84.2 19.0 13.5 69.1 16.8 12.0 47.4 15.4 8.7 34.4 9.0 11.9 26.6 9.6 13.3 27.6 10.0 13.6 28.9 9.2 14.3 31.5 8.7 15.2 34.1 9.9 14.0 37.9 11.3 10.3 43.9 10.1 13.1 42.6 11.3 13.4 44.7 13.4 13.9 41.7 12.7 12.5 9.6 11.7 10.2 9.9 8.2 10.0 10.8 14.3 8.3 11.5 14.3 14.0 12.6 13.4 11.4 11.6 16.0 15.7 15.4 16.5 18.3 16.9 17.9 16.4 44.6 46.1 46.7 46.7 45.3 48.4 51.7 47.7 44.8 42.6 42.5 42.5 44.1 9.4 16.4 47.2 0 08/1 08/2 08/3 08/4 08/5 08/6 08/7 08/8 08/9 08/10 08/11 08/12 09/1 09/2 09/3 09/4 09/5 09/6 09/7 09/8 09/9 09/10 09/11 09/12 10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/6 10/7 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 201010 20107 20106 201010 201010 1 2()SS1 3-40 -
190 180 170 19909 19964 19984 200112 20021 20044 20084 5 200810 185 167 160 150 140 130 120 110 138 136 132 116 125 100 90 80 88 85 82 70 60 50 61 47 40 30 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 http://oil-info.ieej.or.jp 2004320044-41 -
110.0 WTI/ 0772.4 $/b 100.0 0899.8 0962.1 10 79.6 90.0 104.0 2/22 105.78 2/22 80.0 93.57 2/22 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 WTI TOCOM BRENT 0912 11222 NYMEX 30.0 01/02/09 01/30/09 02/27/09 03/27/09 04/24/09 05/22/09 06/19/09 07/17/09 08/14/09 09/11/09 10/14/09 11/11/09 12/09/09 01/06/10 02/03/10 03/03/10 03/31/10 04/28/10 05/26/10 06/23/10 07/21/10 08/18/10 09/15/10 10/13/10 11/10/10 12/09/10 01/06/11 02/03/11-42 -
C 1973 27,223 36,240 1,673 21,930 16,759 19,306 111,007 1995 51,628 43,988 4,849 30,017 45,452 28,796 40,675 1996 53,032 45,285 4,736 29,790 46,064 28,720 37,661 1999 57,250 48,004 4,639 29,949 43,468 29,151 33,483 2000 58,372 47,686 4,611 29,924 41,745 29,516 31,364 2002 59,830 48,598 4,603 30,622 39,489 30,138 29,517 2004 61,476 49,026 4,906 27,977 38,203 29,100 26,556 2008 57,497 42,861 5,676 20,249 33,728 17,891 23,159 2009 57,569 47,310 5,319 20,045 32,257 16,043 16,390 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000-43 -
1-44 -
100.0 90.0 13.5 80.0 70.0 13.8 12.2 14.7 11.6 60.0 13.1 15.3 15.5 10.6 15.3 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 14.6 13.4 15.5 13.9 13.7 12.9 13.4 13.0 14.1 12.9 14.2 37.5 49.4 52.9 69.5 12.6 37.5 45.9 10.0 23.0 21.5 21.7 23.5 27.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010-45 -
- 46 -
70 60 50 40 30-47 -
- 48 -
- 49 -
- 50 -
1975 1977 '759 '774 (57781) 1983 1985 1990 '8311 '856 1 (58589) '904 2 (39092) 1993 '934 3 (59397) 1998 '984 4 (598'02) - 51 -
- 52 -
- 53 -
- 54 -
- 55 -
- 56 -
- 57 -
- 58 -
- 59 -
- 60 -
- 61 -
- 62 -
- 63 -
- 64 -
- 65 -
- 66 -
-67-
- 68 -
(b) - 69 -
- 70 -
- 71 -
- 72 -
- 73 -
% % % % % % % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12-74 -
- 75 -
- 76 -
) - 77 -
- 78 -
) (a) (b) 96 (c) - 79 -
- 80 -
- 81 -
- 82 -
- 83 -
- 84 -
- 85 -
- 86 -
- 87 -
- 88 -
- 89 -
- 90 -
2010 1SS SS 1SS SS 42.4 27.3 22.2 14.4 50.0 16.7 22.0 11.5 41.4 39.4 55.6 44.4 38.9 44.4 55.0 31.7 5.6 12.1 17.8 27.8 11.1 22.2 20.6 45.0 5.1 7.1 1.1 6.7 0 11.1 1.4 5.0-91 -
- 92 -
- 93 -
- 94 -
- 95 -
- 96 -
SS - 97 -
- 98 -
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10-99 -
- 100 -
- 101 -
- 102 -
- 103 -
% % % % % % % 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12-104 -
2-105 -
- 106 -
3-107 -
/ 19956 1 2 SS 3 SSSS 4-108 -
- 109 -
SSLPG - 110 -
BD 60 2009.5 20 2010.2 50 2010.2 30 2010.2 JX 24 2010.5 JX 21 2010.5 JX 70 2010.5 JX 110 2010.6 JX 115 2010.10 120 2011.9 100 2013-2014 JX 200 2014 920-111 -
- 112 -
- 113 -