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CLAIR REPORT NUMBER 312 (Sep 28,2007)

2006 2005 1.08 1.08 2005 UNFPA 2.6 1.57 1997 IMF 1999 2005 4.0 OECD 3.3 2005 2006 20062010 2006

2005 1997 IMF 1960 1983 2.08 2000 2005 2006 2006 2020 2006 2005 i

2005 1 1.08 2005 43 2000 63 20 1983 2.08 2.0 2000 2000 1.472002 1.172003 1.192004 1.16 2006 2005 1.08 2004 2005 1.10 ( ) OECD 1.6 0.95 70 80 1 1549 1

2.05 1.9 1.29 1.16 2.0 50 60 70 80 1.71.8 2002 2.0 1990 1.6 2004 2.0 1.9 1970 2.0 2002 1995 1.18 1940 1970 2000 U.N."Demographic Yearbook", Council of Europe"Recent demographic developments in Europe",E.U.,"Eurostat", U.S.Department of Health and Human services"national Vital Statistics Report" 1970 2

2005 4,829465 9. 6514 2018 2050 OECD 2005 2050 Population Perspectives2002( 2005 ) 1864 1927 1932 1942 1970 2000 14 24 18 20 10 3

% 14% 20% 7 14% 14 20% 1864 1979 2019 115 40 1942 2014 2030 72 16 1927 1988 2008 61 20 1932 1972 2010 40 38 1970 1994 2006 24 12 2000 2018 2026 18 2005 2020 0.01% 4,995 6 2050 37.3 2 2016 2030 3,189 2 1,189 9 2.6 2050 2,275 5 1,579 3 1.4 0-14 15-64 65 1980 38,124 12,951 34.0 23,717 62.2 1,456 3.8 2005 48,294 9,240 19.1 34,671 71.8 4,383 9.1 2020 49,956 6,297 12.6 35,838 71.7 7,821 15.7 2030 49,329 5,538 11.2 31,892 64.7 11,899 24.1 2050 42,348 3,799 9.0 22,755 53.7 15,793 37.3 2005 1.19 2035 1.30 2 15 64 4

2005 OECD OECD GDP 10 RD GDP 2001 8.7 OECD 43%30 30 GDP 2002 16.63 2001 8.70 2001 28.25 2001 15.2 1993 36.80 2001 17.5 1993 38.83 2001 28.5 1996 50.03 2001 28.8 1988 38.03 2001 25.8 1999 36.50 2001 22.4 2000 4.95 2001 11.8 2001 35.30 2001 20.1 OECD 21.4 1) IMF Government Finance Statistical Yearbook, 2002 200 2) OECD OECD Social Expenditure Database 19801998, 3rd ed. 2001. :19902001 2003. 5

1 2534 1997 IMF 20 1997 IMF 2000 7.0 20 2005 1997 IMF 3 1998 3 6

1998 2005 8 36.6 2001 9.8 2001.8 13,540 73.2 26.8 2002.8 14,030 72.6 27.4 2003.8 14,149 67.4 32.6 2004.8 14,584 63.0 37.0 2005.8 14,968 63.4 36.6 7

2006 2004 99.9% 99.7% 80.7 90 90 1990 33.2 2004 80.7 2000 22.7 2004 24.5 2004 2000 34.82004 47.0 10 2000 1,632 2004 2,018 371 100 494 100 162 43.7 175 35.4 129 34.8 232 47.0 27 7.3 31 6.3 53 14.3 55 11.1 8

IMF 64 4 2003 49 2003 20 11 : 3 4 2002 9

2002 1998 2002 12 1998 44.9 47.1 5.7 2 0.2 2002 37.9 51 8.1 2.5 0.5 33.3 53.1 10.1 3.3 0.3 37.6 53.1 7.3 1.9 - "2002 ( )"2003.2 2002 25 20 13 (2002 ) ( %) 25 83.7 9.0-2.3 4.9 - - 2529 71.6 11.4 0.5 3.1 9.4 3.7 0.3 3034 64.6 11.0 0.7 5.6 6.7 9.4 2.0 : 10-10

1985 20 2000 89.0 20 2005 90 20 1995 29.6 2000 40 1990 24.8 2004 27.5 14 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 20-24 57.2 62.5 66.1 72.1 80.5 83.3 89.1 25-29 9.7 11.8 14.1 18.4 22.1 29.6 40.1 30-34 1.4 2.1 2.7 4.2 5.3 6.7 10.7 35-39 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.3 4.3 2004 15 : 2004 2004.12 11

2003 15 44 1990 90.3 2003 54.4 16 1.3 13.2 31.3 40.6 13.6 8.6 47.1 26.6 13.8 3.9 12

40 1960 5 1960 1960 1970 6 7 8 1980 1983 2.08 9 1984 1.76 1996 2003 2001 5 19621973 19621966 6 7 8 9 2.08 13

家族政策のスローガンポスター 1960 年代出産率 5.0 人以上 1970 年代 1980 年代出産率 4.1 2.65 人) 出産率 2.83 人むやみに産むならば娘息子の差別なく２人乞食の姿も免れないだけ産みちゃんと育てよう二人でも多い 1990 年代 2000 年代 2004 年出産率 2.83 1.59 人出産率 1.17 人出産率 1.16 人息子を望む親世代１２３運動お父さん一人嫌です相棒のいない今世代１結婚後 1 年以内に妊娠をお母さん私も弟が欲しいで２２人の子女をす３３５歳以前に産んで健康に育てましょう 14

2003 2002 1.17 2004 10 11 2005 2005 (20062010) 2005 2005 2004 32 4 10 11 2004 15

17 2005 16

2006 2006 2010 2010 2010 < > 17

Family-Fr 18

( ) ( ) (Affirmative Action) 20

12 (Outplacement) School to Work Work to School 13 14 12 13 reverse mortgage loan 14 2005 11 21

~ 43 ~ 2009 22

90% 2009 2007 15 130% 1 50% 16 16 90 1 1 15 15 44 16 23

18 (2007) (2007) ( ) 130% 1 50% 1 24

2008 43 30% (2005 11 ) 0.5% ( ) 90 30 2006 90 (135 ) 16 30~90 (135 ) 2005 (2008 ) 2005 40 2007 50 25

90 60 30 90 30 1015 2030 1 1 1/2 ( ) 17 () : 40 17 26

34 40 20 2010 32 1 2006 19 11 13 2005 2006 56% 2007 57% 2008 56%2009 62%2010 60% 58 2005 17 > ( : ) 2006 ~2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 24,131 320,746 37,500 56,979 71,033 72,969 82,265 6,463 103,682 11,190 16,950 22,716 24,120 28,706 1,376 8,881 1,432 1,909 1,930 1,892 1,718 8,347 129,805 14,311 23,009 29,797 29,553 33,135 7,945 78,378 10,567 15,111 16,590 17,404 18,706 10,502 188,998 21,133 32,489 40,265 45,569 49,542 6,719 71,802 8,367 12,809 18,040 14,075 18,511 6,910 59,600 7,987 11,614 12,644 13,236 14,119-346 13 66 84 89 94 Q&A 27

1994 72 4 2004 47 6 1994 65 1 1994 175,433 2004 98,776 2004 54,363 27,989 10 56 51 18 18 1994 1998 2002 2003 2004 724,035 640,126 494,625 493,471 476,052 100 175,433 133,761 100,919 100,135 98,776 20.7 54,363 42,938 30,472 29,838 27,989 5.9 36,361 32,075 24,046 24,331 23,108 4.9 41,678 35,322 26,488 26,593 24,876 5.2 22,538 20,687 15,900 15,816 14,619 3.1 21,366 19,156 15,509 15,573 14,924 3.1 19,799 16,615 11,573 11,650 11,093 2.3 138,211 136,201 115,684 119,400 116,720 24.5 19,475 19,290 15,166 14,209 13,651 2.9 20,635 20,018 15,174 14,497 14,226 3 22,298 24,260 18,847 18,445 18,459 3.9 26,652 25,667 19,022 18,243 17,082 3.6 27,247 26,642 19,038 18,161 17,109 3.6 38,801 34,681 25,795 25,233 23,369 4.9 46,306 42,175 31,960 31,859 30,705 6.4 8,821 8,024 6,452 6,505 5,999 1.3 4,051 2,614 2,580 2,983 3,347 0.7 2006 28

2006 2005 1.30 0.88 0.92 0.99 1.08 1.0 1.08 19 19972005 1997 1.54 1.34 1.30 1.45 1.58 1.70 1.59 1.80 1.69 1.60 1.67 1.69 1.64 1.81 1.61 1.62 1.76 1998 1.47 1.27 1.24 1.34 1.47 1.61 1.49 1.66 1.60 1.56 1.59 1.66 1.61 1.73 1.52 1.57 1.65 1999 1.42 1.21 1.20 1.30 1.44 1.48 1.43 1.59 1.55 1.53 1.54 1.62 1.52 1.70 1.52 1.53 1.62 2000 1.47 1.26 1.22 1.36 1.46 1.62 1.49 1.62 1.61 1.58 1.57 1.68 1.58 1.73 1.56 1.57 1.76 2001 1.30 1.10 1.09 1.20 1.31 1.40 1.32 1.41 1.42 1.40 1.41 1.52 1.41 1.54 1.39 1.40 1.55 2002 1.17 0.99 0.96 1.06 1.17 1.25 1.20 1.23 1.29 1.30 1.28 1.34 1.26 1.37 1.22 1.26 1.37 2003 1.19 1.00 0.98 1.11 1.20 1.26 1.21 1.27 1.31 1.26 1.25 1.34 1.26 1.37 1.24 1.28 1.42 2004 1.16 1.00 0.95 1.08 1.15 1.19 1.17 1.23 1.27 1.25 1.26 1.34 1.23 1.35 1.19 1.26 1.34 2005 1.08 0.92 0.88 0.99 1.07 1.10 1.10 1.18 1.17 1.18 1.19 1.26 1.17 1.28 1.17 1.18 1.30 2006 20 (155 ) (72 ) 29

(140 ) 20 ( ) 20 64 18 3 159 1 30 60 1 20 30 2 33 5 300 2 5 100 24 3 10 300 57 (4 30 ) 30

30 2 30 530 35 3 1 1 3 2 2 5 5 (72 216 25 ) 3 12 30 4 30 1 30 1 2 2 10 50 32 3 5 82 30100 72 31

1 2 4 12 5 50 2 5 500 3 5 10 50 4 ( ) ( ) 2006 400 21 BEXCOBusan Exhibition & Convention Center 7,420 2005 11 2006 2006 2005 0.88 1.08 3,684,153 2006 763km 2 32

15 41 ( ) - 10 53 2005 16,319 2005 2005 16,319 6,849 640 2,314 1,842 95 2,177 213 1,961 228 2005 16,319 11,100 2,770 2,129 124 17 179 2006 1 () 23 1 20 1 1 () 2,488 12 2,338 14 109 2006 6 1,608 115 902 14 577 () 58,652 8,985 37,149 435 12,083 2006 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1.22 1.09 0.96 0.98 0.95 0.88 0.90 2006 2006 33

25 13 10 12 16 2006 12 119 2007 1 10 2006 2007 20 2007 2007 34

2000 2006 742 8,327 2006 10 20 2006 114 2012 228 2006 13.8 2012 30 24 10 48 2009 2007 22 2010 13 35

17.2 Family-friendly 120 71.8 100 2005 2006 36

7496 2005..18. 20 37

10 11 12 13 14 38

15 16 17 18 19 20 () 23 39

21 23 22 23 25 40

24 25 26 27 28 29 41

30 31 32 2005..18 7496 1 2005 2006 23 42

2006. 20062005 Q&A 2006 2006. IssuePaper 2005.12.23. 2006..16 No.2252005. 2006..14 2006. 10 2006. 11 http://www.nso.go.kr/ 12 KOSIShttp://kosis.nso.go.kr/ 13 http://www.mohw.go.kr/ 14 http://www.ppfk.or.kr/ 15 http://www.precap.go.kr/ 2005 2007 43