19 6

1

1km 5km CL 1 CL 2 CL 3 CL 2

2 CL 3

7/1 6:00 7/1 6:30 7/1 7:00 7/1 7:30 7/1 8:00 7/1 8:30 7/1 9:00 7/1 9:30 7/3 20:30 7/3 21:00 7/3 21:30 7/3 22:00 7/3 22:30 7/3 23:00 7/3 23:30 7/4 0:00 5km 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 No 1 1 30 1km 2 1 30 1km 13 3 30 5km 4 30 5km 13 4

-1 5

START (1) (2) (1) (2) RBFN NIGeDaS (3) 1 (1) (2) 2 (1) 3 (2) 4 END 6

1 3 CL 2 2 CL 3 1 CL 4 CL 7

1 2 2 RBFN 1 8

C (x c, y c ) A U (x u,y u ) A (x a, y a ) CL C (x c, y c ) B U (x u, y u ) A (x a, y a ) CL (a) A (b) B A C (x c, y c ) A (x a, y a ) CL C U (x u,y u ) A (x a, y a ) U (x u,y u ) CL C (x c, y c ) (c) C (d) A x c y c x r = x a, y r = y a x u y u 9

100 NIGeDaS(RBFN, CL) = + 50 (2) 2 1+ exp100 0.8 [ { ( RBFN 0.1) + 0.1} ( RBFN CL) ] 175 RBFN CL 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0.1 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.6 56.7 75.4 100.0 124.6 0.2 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.1 53.1 71.1 100.0 123.1 139.7 0.3 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 51.0 65.2 100.0 124.6 138.1 146.2 0.4 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.2 59.3 100.0 128.9 139.7 145.3 148.7 0.5 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 54.7 100.0 134.8 143.3 146.2 148.2 149.6 0.6 50.0 50.0 50.0 52.0 100.0 140.7 146.9 148.1 148.7 149.3 149.8 0.7 50.0 50.0 50.7 100.0 145.3 149.0 149.4 149.5 149.6 149.8 149.9 0.8 50.0 50.2 100.0 148.0 149.8 149.9 149.9 149.9 149.8 149.9 150.0 0.9 50.1 100.0 149.3 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 149.9 150.0 150.0 150 NIGeDaS 125 100 75 50 25 CL=0.9 CL=0.8 CL=0.7 CL=0.6 CL=0.5 CL=0.4 CL=0.3 CL=0.2 CL=0.1 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 RBFN 10

11

CL 12

13

14

15

16

17-4 (a) (c) (b) (d) CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL

5) 3 D1 5km CL 3 DA1 5km CL 5km 1 CL 3 DA2 5km 13 CL 5km 1 CL CL CL CL CL 3 DA3 5) CL CL CL 5km 1 CL CL 3 DB1 5) CL CL CL 3 DB2 5) CL CL CL 3 DB3 5) CL CL CL 6) CL 3 EA1EA4 5) CL 3 EB1EB4 18

5) 5) 7) CL 3 FA1 CL 5km 1 CL 3 FA2 CL 5km 1 CL CL CL CL CL 3 FA3 7) CL CL CL 5km 1 CL CL 3 F1 1 3 F2 7) 5km 19

3 4 1) CL = B1B4 = CA1CA4 = CA1/B1 = CA2/B2 = CA3/B3 = CA4/B4 = D1 = DB1 = DB1/D1 CL = DA1 = DA1-DB1 = (DA1-DB1)/DA1 CL CL = EA1EA4 = CA1CA4 = CA1/EA1 = CA2/EA2 = CA3/EA3 = CA4/EA4 = EB1EB4 = B1-CA1B4-CA4 = (B1-CA1)/EB1 = (B2-CA2)/EB2 = (B3-CA3)/EB3 = (B4-CA4)/EB4 2) = B1B4 = CB1CB4 = CB1/B1 = CB2/B2 = CB3/B3 = CB4/B4 = B1B4 = CC1CC4 = CC1/B1 = CC2/B2 = CC3/B3 = CC4/B4 20

= D1 = DB2 = DB2/D1 = D1 = DB3 = DB3/D1 CL = DA2 = DA2-DB2 = (DA2-DB2)/DA2 CL = DA3 = DA3-DB3 = (DA3-DB3)/DA3 CL = DA1 CL = DA3 = DA3/DA1 3) = B1B4 = CD1CD4 = CD1/B1 = CD2/B2 = CD3/B3 = CD4/B4 = F1 = F2 = F2/F1 21

2007/6/1 1:00 2007/6/1 1:30 2007/6/1 2:00 2007/6/1 2:30 2007/6/1 3:00 2007/6/1 3:30 2007/6/1 4:00 2007/6/1 4:30 2007/6/1 5:00 2007/6/1 5:30 2007/6/1 6:00 2007/6/1 6:30 2007/6/1 7:00 2007/6/1 7:30 5km km 5km 1km 1km 1km 1km NIGeDaS NIGeDaS NIGeDaS RBFN RBFN RBFN RBFN NIGeDaS RBFN NIGeDaS 22

1 2007/6/28 5:00 1 2007/6/28 5:30 1 2007/6/28 6:00 1 2007/6/28 6:30 1 2007/6/28 7:00 1 2007/6/28 7:30 1 2007/6/28 8:00 1 2007/6/28 8:30 1 1 1 1 2007/7/1 11:00 1 2007/7/1 11:30 1 2007/7/1 12:00 1 2007/7/1 12:30 1 2007/7/1 13:00 1 2007/7/1 13:30 1 2007/7/1 14:00 1 2007/7/1 14:30 1 2007/7/1 15:00 1 2007/7/1 15:30 1 2007/7/1 16:00 1 2007/7/1 16:30 2 2007/7/7 15:00 2 2007/7/7 15:30 2 2007/7/7 16:00 2 2007/7/7 16:30 2 2007/7/7 17:00 2 2007/7/7 17:30 2 2007/7/7 18:00 2 2007/7/7 18:30 2 2 2 2 2007/7/9 12:00 2 2007/7/9 12:30 2 2007/7/9 13:00 RBFN 1 2 3 4 NIGeDaS 23

CL CL CL CL RBFN A1 A2 A3 B1 B2 B3 B4 CA1 CA2 CA3 CA4 CB1 CB2 CB3 CB4 CC1 CC2 CC3 CC4 CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4 D1 DA1 DA2 DA3 DB1 DB2 DB3 EA1 EA2 EA3 EA4 EB1 EB2 EB3 EB4 FA1 FA2 FA3 F1 F2 A B C D E F G H 24

CL CA1/B1 CA2/B2 CA3/B3 CA4/B4 DB1/D1 (DA1-DB1)/DA1 CA1/EA1 CA2/EA2 CA3/EA3 CA4/EA4 (B1-CA1)/EB1 (B2-CA2)/EB2 (B3-CA3)/EB3 (B4-CA4)/EB4 CB1/B1 CB2/B2 CB3/B3 CB4/B4 CC1/B1 CC2/B2 CC3/B3 CC4/B4 DB2/D1 DB3/D1 (DA2-DB2)/DA2 (DA3-DB3)/DA3 DA3/DA1 CD1/B1 CD2/B2 CD3/B3 CD4/B4 F2/F1 A B C D E F G H 25

AND/OR 26

27

28

29

30

5) 3 D1 5km 3 DA1 5km 5km 1 3 DA2 5km 13 5km 1 3 DA3 5) 5km 1 3 DB1 5) 3 DB2 5) 3 DB3 5) 6) 3 EA1EA4 5) 31

3 EB1EB4 5) 5) 7) 3 FA1 5km 1 3 FA2 5km 1 3 FA3 7) 5km 1 3 F1 1 3 F2 7) 5km 32

33

34

( ( ( 2007/6/1 1:00 2007/6/1 1:30 2007/6/1 2:00 2007/6/1 2:30 2007/6/1 3:00 2007/6/1 3:30 2007/6/1 4:00 2007/6/1 4:30 2007/6/1 5:00 2007/6/1 5:30 2007/6/1 6:00 2007/6/1 6:30 2007/6/1 7:00 2007/6/1 7:30 35

1 2007/6/28 5:00 1 2007/6/28 5:30 1 2007/6/28 6:00 1 2007/6/28 6:30 1 2007/6/28 7:00 1 2007/6/28 7:30 1 2007/6/28 8:00 1 2007/6/28 8:30 1 1 1 1 2007/7/1 11:00 1 2007/7/1 11:30 1 2007/7/1 12:00 1 2007/7/1 12:30 1 2007/7/1 13:00 1 2007/7/1 13:30 1 2007/7/1 14:00 1 2007/7/1 14:30 1 2007/7/1 15:00 1 2007/7/1 15:30 1 2007/7/1 16:00 1 2007/7/1 16:30 2 2007/7/7 15:00 2 2007/7/7 15:30 2 2007/7/7 16:00 2 2007/7/7 16:30 2 2007/7/7 17:00 2 2007/7/7 17:30 2 2007/7/7 18:00 2 2007/7/7 18:30 2 2 2 2 2007/7/9 12:00 2 2007/7/9 12:30 2 2007/7/9 13:00 1 2 3 4 36

A1 A2 A3 B1 B2 B3 B4 CA1 CA2 CA3 CA4 CB1 CB2 CB3 CB4 CC1 CC2 CC3 CC4 CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4 D1 DA1 DA2 DA3 DB1 DB2 DB3 EA1 EA2 EA3 EA4 EB1 EB2 EB3 EB4 FA1 FA2 FA3 F1 F2 A 37

CA1/B1 CA2/B2 CA3/B3 CA4/B4 DB1/D1 (DA1-DB1)/DA1 CA1/EA1 CA2/EA2 CA3/EA3 CA4/EA4 (B1-CA1)/EB1 (B2-CA2)/EB2 (B3-CA3)/EB3 (B4-CA4)/EB4 CB1/B1 CB2/B2 CB3/B3 CB4/B4 CC1/B1 CC2/B2 CC3/B3 CC4/B4 DB2/D1 DB3/D1 (DA2-DB2)/DA2 (DA3-DB3)/DA3 DA3/DA1 CD1/B1 CD2/B2 CD3/B3 CD4/B4 F2/F1 A B C D E F G H 38