フィリピンにおけるテロ脅威――テロ発生状況とテロ組織の動向

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NKSJ-RM 42 Ayumi Yokoyama 2011 9 11 10 2010 2010 3 29 1 12 11 2 9 11 1. 1.1. 8,900 30 8 1 3 1,200 1 8,000 2009 10 1 57 4 1 2010 3 29 SJRM http://www.nksj-rm.co.jp/publications/pdf/20100402_1_report.pdf 2 2 3 United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), The World Factbook-Philippines, December 15, 2010 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/rp.html. 4 2010 1 7 http://www.ph.emb-japan.go.jp/pressandspeech/osirase/2010/010710.htm Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 1

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 2010 5 10 3 6 30 36 2009 GDP 1,610 1 1,746 0.9%2008 4.6 2 17.6 16.2 9.812.5 12.0 8.8 61.9% 39.1% 29.9% 17.1% 42.2% 20.2 55.7% 11 5,000 7 7,000 2 1 6,000 13 1 1,000 1.2. 5 6 1946 5 2010 6 83%10% 5% http://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/area/philippines/data.html Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 2

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 遡 7 Communist Party of the Philippines: CPP1960 New People's Army: NPA CPP-NPA 8 9 1960 Moro National Liberation Front: MNLF 10 MNLF MNLF Moro Islamic Liberation Front: MILF 11 MILF 1984 MNLF MNLF 1991 Abdurajak Janjalani 12 Abu Sayyaf: ASG 13 ASG MILF MILFASGAl Qaeda Jemaah Islamiya: JI 1980 JI MILF ASG ASG FTO JI 7 Patido Komunista Pilipinas: PKP1942 Hukubalahap1946 8 Communist Party of the Philippines/New People s Army: CPP-NPA2002 8 9 Foreign Terrorist Organization: FTOUnited States Department of State, Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, 2010, Country Reports on Terrorism 2009, pp.247-248. 9 228 2006 5 10 1970 Nur Misuari3 moro MNLF 20 1996 MNLF Autonomous Region in Mindanao: ARMM 11 MILF MNLF 2006 MNLF 12 1998 13 ASG1997 10 8 Foreign Terrorist Organization: FTO United States Department of State, Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, 2010, Country Reports on Terrorism 2009, pp.238-239. Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 3

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 2. Armed Forces of the Philippines: AFP 9 11 Coalition of the Willing War on Terror 2001 10 Operation Enduring Freedom: OEF OEF 2001 10 14 OEF Operation Enduring Freedom-Philippines: OEF-P OEF-P 2002 MILFASG JI 2006 8 ASG Khadaffy Janjalani ASG Operation Ultimatum 9 15 ASG ASG 2001 ASG JI 2008 ASG ASG 3. National Counter-terrorism Center: NCTC2004 1 2010 6 5 1,493 16 CPP-NPAMILFASG 14 Al Qaeda 15 BBC News, Is this the end of Abu Sayyaf? January 23, 2007 (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6290805.stm). 16 NCTC Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 4

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 2CPP-NPA 749 17 250 200 150 100 50 0 ASG 198 CPP-NPA MILF 147 123 110 89 66 57 30 33 19 15 22 4 3 2 7 6 7 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2 2004 1 2009 12 18 IED Improvised Explosive Device 3IED IED ASG 80 70 60 IED 66 68 50 44 40 30 28 34 24 36 20 16 10 0 5 3 4 4 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 3 2004 1 2009 12 19 17 1986 11 CPP-NPA 3 5 2010 11 6 24 MSN 2010 11 1 http://sankei.jp.msn.com/affairs/crime/101101/crm1011012329028-n1.htm 18 NCTC https://wits.nctc.gov/federaldiscoverwits/index.do?n=0 19 Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 5

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 NCTC 2010 1 2010 6 CPP-NPAMILFASG 86 4 20 IED 24 27 80 60 40 20 0 16 63 ASG CPP-NPA MILF 4 2010 1 2010 6 7 2010 ASG ASG 16 7 4 ASG 63 CPP-NPA 3 ASG CPP-NPA MILF 3.1. ASG 1 20 NCTC https://wits.nctc.gov/federaldiscoverwits/index.do?n=0 Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 6

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 1 2001 5 3 17 202 2002 6 2004 2 116 2005 2 3 10 150 2007 11 1 3 2009 1 3 1 2004 2004 2 27 14 116 2005 2 14 ManilaGeneral SantosDavao 3 60 1 3 28 30 1 19 ASG 21 ASG 2001 18 2 20 6 21 CBS News, Militant Bombings Hit Philippines, Abu Sayyaf Leader Calls It Valentine Gift For Filipino President, February 14, 2005 http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/02/14/world/main673870.shtml. Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 7

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 2009 1 3 1 ASG ASG 3.2. 5 749 CPP-NPA1969 CPP-NPA 2009 1 132 55 3 2009 5,000 22 CPP-NPA 2009 MILF CPP-NPA ASG JI 23 2007 6 24 7 80 MILF ASG 300 8 14 14 10 JI 22 United States Department of State, Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, 2010, Country Reports on Terrorism 2009, pp.247-248. 23 MILF MNLF ASG MILF MNLF ASG 24 MILF ASG Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 8

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 3.3. ASG ASG JI ASG 2 ASG ASG ASG ASG JI 500 1998 2006 ASG MILF ASG ASG JI ASG JI JI 2007 10 ASG You Tube ASG IED 2 ASG Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 9

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 ASG ASG 2 Abu Sayyaf: ASG Abu Sayyaf Group: ASG Abdurajak Janjalani1998 12 Khadaffy Janjalani 2006 9 1989 200500 1995 1997Foreign Terrorist Organization: FTO Jemaah Islamiya: JI JI TNT 2001 2004 2005 2009 Operation Ultimatum) 2008 http://www.state.gov/s/ct/index.htm http://www.nctc.gov/ http://www.anzen.mofa.go.jp/index.html Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 10

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 25 20 IED 21 15 10 11 5 0 5 3 3 2 2 1 1 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 5 ASG IED 25 5ASG 2008 21 ASG ASG IED ASG 4. 25 NCTC https://wits.nctc.gov/federaldiscoverwits/index.do?n=0 Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 11

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 2006SAFETY EYE No.27 2010SJRM 13 http://www.nksj-rm.co.jp/publications/pdf/r13.pdf Ayumi Yokoyama NKSJ NKSJ NKSJ ERMBCM BCPCSRPL NKSJ http://www.nksj-rm.co.jp/ NKSJ 160-0023 1-24-1 TEL 03-3349-6828 Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 12

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 26 information intelligence intelligence 27 1 26 2010 27 www.anzen.mofa.go.jp/ Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 13

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 2 28 1 2 1 2 28 2010 Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 14

NKSJ-RM Issue 42 2011 1 7 3 Copyright 2011 NKSJ Risk Management, Inc. All rights reserved. 15