2004 GDP 1 2004 (2005)(2005) ) ( (2004) ) 2004 / / E-mail: nakata-daigo@rieti.go.jp 1 () (3 ) ( 0.3%)( 0.9% ) 100 (100 ) () 2023
(RIETI ) 2 RIETI 2004 RIETI 1875 1942 10% 3 1948 3% 1954 ( ) 1961 40 11% 1985 1980 2020 34.9%( 10.6% 8.9%)2015 2 RIETI OSU 3 (2005)1942 2
15,700 ( 3,770 ) 4 1985 ( + ) 1985 4 1984 40 40 109% 3
(2005) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 15 2 81.1 49.4 31.7 7.9 4.9 3.0 4
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( 5
) 5 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) RIETI RIETI RIETI RIETI 6 7 5 5 (1981) 1977 9 7 4 (2003) 10 9 8 6 RIETI 7 RIETI 6
8 2004 OSU 9 OSU EXCEL OSU RIETI RIETI 10 8 2004 9 OSU (1999) OSU (2004) (2004) (2005) 10 16 16 21 7
11 ( RIETI ) RIETI 2005 1% 11 8
RIETI 2004 12 13 14 20 20 59 40 0.3 1.3 360 2004 360 3.6 224 3.2% 15 12 13 284 14 (40 ) (40 15 16 16 16 1985 9
10
11
5 7 2.1% 16 17 2 2 2 20 59 40 16 NDC 17 12
2.1% RIETI 1: 2004 2017 18.3% 13
18 2004 2009 2009 2010 2100 2010 19 1.58 NDC 1.91 10.45 20 18 2005 12 14.288% 19 ( ) 20 14
( ) ( ) 65 ( ) 14.288% 2010 2100 14.288% 2017 18.3% 4 3 15
(%) 1995 1995 ( ) 3 12009 2 1 2010 ( 2 1) 21 2010 2100 2100 ( ) 2009 2100 16 4%10.0 1% 12.5 GDP 1% 1% GDP 16 GDP 505.5 0.49% GDP 0.49 21 16
GDP 20 65 GDP 2009 RIETI 2010 100% 22 4% 2030 2050 5% 7% 2030 100% 2010 2100 4.8% 5.5% 23 22 2007 80% 23 17
2 : 2009 2010 24 ( ) 18 24 2010 16.058%2017 18.3%
25 2009 2100 2100 ( ) 1 2 2 191.3 2005 8 2002 25 19
1:0.27 0 8.5 102 6.538 ( ) 2010 1970 2009 26 2009 2 1 27 26 1970 2010 (40 ) 27 65 20
28 29 2 1 3.8% 5.8% 30 2040 28 29 11.522 9.787 5.481) 30 21
( ) 500 22
( ) ( ) 23
274.0 274.0 57.2% 72.7% 27.3% 145.4 23.8% 3.3% 39.6% ( ) 24
( ) 247.0 145.4 57.2% (72.7%) 23.8% (3.3%) 39.6% (RIETI ) 2004 1.91 2004 11.93% 31 7% 31 25
RIETI 26
27 () (1981) SPRING 1981 (2003) (2004) (2005) (2004) 2004 (2005) 16 2005 (2005) (2004) 2004 (2004) (2005) 15% (2004) 11 (1999) (2005)