2013/7/25 ICT 1
2011 2
3
4 1 11010% 樽 薩
HP 5
2011 2011 1 91421m 1959 1716 17300 2011/01/27 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC Daily News 6
2011/1/28 asahi.com 2011/1/28 asahi.com 8.0 km 2011/2/18 2011/2/7 7
2011/2/14 16km 1.5cm 14km 1.5 2cm H23/3 8
2010 Eyjafjallajökull 63.63N 19.62W1666 m 2010 4 14 5 23 8000 11000 m 2010/05/01 02 copyright (C) 2010 Sean Stiegemeier 2010/04/16 2010/04/17 http://www.stromboli.net 9
2010/4/17 10
VAA 11
2011/2/14 05:07 2011/2/14 05:08:01 7.5 km 2011/2/14 05:08:00 20 km 2011/2/14 05:07:58 05:08:00 3 km 12
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Hekla 1970, 1981, 1991, 2000 爺 爺 1973 Augustine 1976, 2005-2006 1977, 2000 St. Helens 1980-1982, 2004 Pagan 1981 1984, 1996, 2008-1986 Pinatubo 1991 1991, 1993 Spurr 1992 Popocatépetl 1998, 1999 2000 Etna 2002-2003 2004, 2008-2009 Grimsvötn 2004, 2011 Fourpeaked 2004 Anatahan 2005,2006 Redoubt 2009 Eyjafjallajökull 2010 2011 Eruption cloud recorded on radar reached a height of 53,000 feet on 5 May. X MP 15
爺 爺 1973 1973 7 14 ( 爺 爺 130km) 10 12km 1973 7 14 11:00 (1974). 87 1973 6 17 16
1977 1977 8 7 09:30 爺 PPI RHI 1977 8 9 00:46 00:47 7km 1997/8/8 17:04 1997/8/8 17:41 (1980). 99 (1977 8 1978 12 ) 17
1986 1986 11 21 1986 11 21 18:00 20:18 PPI200km 18:00 20:02 500km 1986 11 21 16:30 16:50 廻 1987 10 12km 2003 70 119 169 1986 11 21 17:11 RHI 100km20km8.8 137.8 18
1991 1991 6 3 32 64mm/h 6.5km 1991 6 8 32 64mm/h 6.5km 1991 6 12 16 32mm/h 1992 2 5 2003 70 119 169 19
2004 2004/9/1 20h07m 2004/9/1 20h17m 10 11km 103 2006/2/28 20
2000 2000 3 31 2000/3/31 14:00 14:30 3.5km 3.5km 2003 70 119 169 21
2000 3.5km 2000 8 10 2000/8/18 17:10 2000 8 18 PPI 2006 128 2003 70 119 169 14 16km 14km 22
C 2013 6 20 9 110 X 2013 6 1421 m H25/6/13 2011 23
2011/1/26 14:50 19:00JST A B 3 km CAPPI 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 6 5 4 3 7 6 5 4 3 2 2 20 km 17:10 1 0 A B 1 0 7.5 km 24
2011/1/26 15JST 28 00JST 2011/1/26 17:20JST A Shinmoe-dake B 2011/1/27 04:20JST A Shinmoe-dake B 2011/1/27 17:30JST A B Shinmoe-dake 10km 2 km CAPPI zmax: 56.5 dbz (~124 mm/h) 10km 2 km CAPPI zmax: 56.2 dbz (~119 mm/h) 10km 2 km CAPPI zmax: 54.2 dbz (~89 mm/h) 5km 5km 5km A B A B A B 25
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2011/2/14 05:072.6 km 332.1 Pa 2011/2/14 05:08:01 7.5 km 2011/2/14 05:08:00 20 km 2011/2/14 05:07:58 05:08:00 3 km 29
05:07 05:08:01 3 km CAPPI 05:00 10 B 10km 3km CAPPI 05:04 09 A 5km 05:13:43 A B 3km CAPPI 05:10 14 3 km CAPPI 05:10 20 B 10km 05:19:27 A 5km 3km CAPPI 05:16 20 蔽 A B 05:25:10 3 km CAPPI 05:20 30 A B 10km 5km 3km CAPPI 05:21 26 30
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http://www.seisvol.kishou.go.jp/tokyo/stock/kouhai/kouhai.html 32
JMA RATM GPV MSM/LFM RATM GPV (Grid Point Value): MSM (Mesoscale Model): 5 km JMA NHM LFM (Local Forecast Model): 2 km RATM (Regional Atmospheric Transport Model): MSM LFM 33
M K M H 4 T D m 0.25 mm, σ D 1.0 H 1983, 85, 90, 1992 1991 (VEI=6) H km T h K M 2.4~10 10 5 kg/km 4 /h 2000 (VEI=3) 2010 (VEI=4) 1986 (VEI=3) 2011 (VEI=3) Ṁ Mastin et al. (2009) 34
JMA RATM GPV Uliasz(1990) MY2 (1974, 82) 4 3 2 1 2 2 Wilson & Huang, 1979; Suzuki, 1983 24. 2 1.07 /2, GPV 35
2011/1/26 06JST 28 00JST LFM 26 00Z FT=6 9 26 06Z FT=3 9 26 12Z FT=3 9 26 18Z FT=3 9 27 00Z FT=3 9 27 06Z FT=3 9 26 06Z 09Z 15Z 21Z 27 03Z 09Z 15Z 10 36
2011/1/26 15JST 28 00JST1 3D 40 km 0.1 g/m 2 37
2011/1/26 15JST 28 00JST 40 km 40 km 1mm 1cm 10cm 38
2011/1/26 15JST 28 00JST 2011/1/26 27 120 TODAY 2011/09 40 km GPV JMA RATM 1mm 1cm 10cm 39
2011/1/26 15JST 28 00JST 2011/1/26 27 D=30mm obs. AIST, 1/26PM 27AM D=35mm obs. ERI, 1/27AM D=55mm D=25mm D<10mm D=36mm obs. ERI, 1/27PM D=26mm obs. AIST, 1/27PM D=80 70mm D=25mm obs. ERI, 1/26PM D=40mm D=60mm 120, 122 40 km GPV JMA RATM 40
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, C, X, Ku, 43