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4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2013 20162 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 12 10 8 6 4 2 0

100 80 60 40 ASEAN NIEs 60 50 40 30 20 20 0 20 40 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 JNTO 10 0 10 20 30 40 2014 2015 2016 2017 ASEAN2015 JNTO

15 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 4000

2015 ( 1 0 6,822 2 0 8,445 3 0 3,497 4 5 1,973 5 0 3,443 6 2 7,751 7 0 744 8 0 5,073 9 1 1,797 10 4 931

600 500 40 500 35 400 300 30 25 20 LCC 200 15 10 100 5 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 4,089 0 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

2000 2004 2008 2012 ) 600 500 (1993) (2000) 1800 ) 1600 (1997) (2004) ) 3000 2600 (2001) (2008) ) 3000 2900 2800 (2005) (2012) 400 300 200 100 10 1400 1200 1000 800 10 2200 1800 1400 1000 600 10 2700 2600 2500 2400 2300 2200 2100 10 0 600 200 2000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 0 20 40 60 80 100 2015 2016

3.0 2.5 Airbnb 2 Airbnb 50 45 40 2.0 35 30 1.5 25 1.0 20 15 0.5 10 5 0.0 2014 2015 2016 0 2015 2016

1,500 2% 1,5004,500 3% 4,5007,500 3% 7,50010,500 3% 10,50015,000 8% 15,00030,000 42% 30,00060,000 33% 60,000 6% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Expedia Hotels.com Booking.co m Agoda Airbnb Orbitz Priceline Travelocity Cheapoair Ctrip Other ASEAN

0.000 0.000 0.010 0.010 0.020 0.020 0.030 0.040 0.030 0.040 0.050 0.060 Luxury Budget Economy Midprice Upscale 0.050 0.060

55 65 75 85 95 105 115 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012100 20164 20166 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 5 10 15 20 25 CDDVD

9.0 20208 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 2015 2015 3.0 2.0 2016 1.0 0.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20204,000 JNTO 2016 JNTO

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80茨 LCC

5 4,276 30.9 36.1 1,507 9.8 11.0 7,028 45.9 50.3 2,044 13.4 2.6 15,308 100.0 100.0

[] [] [STAY] [STAY] [STAY] [STAY]

201610

VIPPR 201610

/ 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 / 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 / 1. 2. 3. 2020102015 4. IMF 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 /

4% 5% ASEAN 9% 75 2% 6% NIEs 48% 26% 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 NIEs ASEAN

DI 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1099 100999 1,000 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 18 201924

3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 2016 2015 1.0 0.5 0.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 201713

0 2 4 6 8 CDDVD 2016 2015 0 0.5 1 1.5 PT 20132016 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0

20132016 0 2 4 6 8 20132016PT 0 5 10 15 20 25 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 鞄PC EC 2015

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 / 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 EC 28 EC

0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 2002 2006 2010 2014 1. HS 2. UN Comtrade 11,000 12,000 2 50 1293 2017

鍵 10 60 10 300 50 250 40 200 30 150 20 100 10 50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 0 0 20 40 60 80

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2017 2017/5/24 https://www.mizuho-ri.co.jp/publication/research/pdf/insight/jp170314.pdf 2017 2017/3/14 https://www.mizuho-ri.co.jp/publication/research/pdf/insight/jp170314.pdf 2017 2017/1/20 http://www.mizuho-ri.co.jp/publication/research/pdf/insight/jp170120.pdf 20164,000 4.42016/8/26 http://www.mizuho-ri.co.jp/publication/research/pdf/report/report16-0826.pdf 20162016/6/23 http://www.mizuho-ri.co.jp/publication/research/pdf/insight/jp160623.pdf