Microsoft Word - Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins.doc

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1 ,500 6 Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins, China Deploys World s First Long-Range, Land-Based Carrier Killer : DF-21D Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Reaches Initial Operational Capability (IOC), China SignPost ( ), No. 14 (26 December 2010). IOC System of Systems ASBM

2 China Deploys World s First Long-Range, Land-Based Carrier Killer : DF-21D Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Reaches Initial Operational Capability (IOC) Deep Dive Special In-Depth Report I Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins China SignPost Clear, high-impact China analysis F anti-access area denial (A2AD) ASBM initial operational capability (IOC) Q: IOC A: Q A: Q: A:

3 : A: Q: A2AD) A: A2AD Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins DF-21D ASBM CSG CGS DF-21D CGS

4 DF-21 2 CSS-5/DF-21 DF-21C ONI ASBM ASW 2010 ASBM CSS-5 Mod 5 MRBM Dong Feng D Delta 1500km PLA ASBM

5 ASBM ASBM ASBM DF-21/CSS-5 ASBM

6 IOC IOC IOC FOC FOC IOC ITA 2007 DF-31 IOC

7 ASBM ITA IOC FOC DF-21D ASBM / / ASBM DF-21D ASBM DF-21D 2009 DF-21D DF-21D C4ISR

8 ASBM C4ISR DF-21D DF-21D ASBM ASBM IOC ASBM IOC ASBM

9 ASBM DF-15/CSS-6 DF-21/CSS-5 DF-21ASBM DF-15 MRBM 1987 INF 500 5,500km CCS-5 DF-15 DF-15 DF-21/CSS-5 ASBM

10 ASBM ONI ASBM 10 ASBM OTH ASBM CSG ASBM ASBM ASBM 1995~96 ASBM USS CSG CSG ASBM

11 ASBM ASBM 10 5 ASBM ASBM ASBM

12 ASBM ASBM DC CSIS ASBM 4 7 ASBM IOC ASBM ASBM system of systems

13 / ASBM 2 O. A2/AD ASBM ASBM QDR A2/AD QDR A2/AD( )

14 2 ASBM ASW SSN-688 SSN SSN-21 SSN / SSGN BMD BMD SM-3 BMD DDG-1000 DDG-51 ASCM 2 ASBM ASBM ASBM ASMD

15 ASBM ASBM ASBM ASBM USS USS

16 DF-21 IOC ASBM ASBM ASBM DF-21D ASBM

17 ASBM ASBM IOC DF-21D ASBM DF-21D CSG 1971? DF-21D ASBM Go ahead. Make my day.

18

19 ASBM ASBM ASBM ASBM ASBM

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