c OR 21 OR 1. 21 21 IoT OR OR OR 260 8672 1 8 1 OR 2. 2.1 public health [1] communicable (infectious) diseases vehicle burden HIV/AIDS (SARS) 258 60 Copyright c by ORSJ. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited.
2.2 (1) pathogenicity (2) virulence (3) infective dose (4) reservoir (5) 1976 27,000 11,000 50 90 90 sgp 7 2 21 2 3 2014 8 WHO 2 3 1 2.3 [2] 18 Kermack Mckendrick SEIR 1 CDC 2016 4 Copyright c by ORSJ. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited. 61 259
S(t) E(t) I(t) R(t) 4 b μ β 1 β 2 ɛ γ [3] ds(t) =b μs(t) (β 1E(t)+β 2I(t))S(t), de(t) = (μ + ɛ)e(t)+(β 1(E(t)+β 2I(t))S(t), di(t) = (μ + γ)i(t)+ɛe(t), dr(t) = μr(t)+γi(t). 2 β 1 < 1 HIV/AIDS 6 2 3. 3.1 3.2 NGO SNS 260 62 Copyright c by ORSJ. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited.
AI 3 Sadilek et al. SNS Twitter 1,000 [4] 250 Twitter Twitter (SVM) 3.3 AI SVM 2 AI SVM 4 Twitter SVM Twitter 5 Twitter 16 3 Twitter Sadilek et al. (2012) 4 2016 4 Copyright c by ORSJ. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited. 63 261
4. 4.1 Solution Solution (1) (2) (3) (4) 4.2 2014 5 Twitter Sadilek et al. (2012) 250 10 2 1 3 8 175 185 GDP 480 36,222 [5] WHO 2014 8 8 WHO 4.3 2014 9 1 9 18 2177 9 29 (UNMEER) 262 64 Copyright c by ORSJ. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited.
3,000 750 WHO 500 100 500 4 5. 5.1 1976 HIV 5.2 2016 4 Copyright c by ORSJ. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited. 65 263
WHO 5.3 IoT 2014 5 300 1,300 4 SNS AI IoT SNS OR OR IoT 6. OR OR OR (26671030) [1] WHO 2 pp. 139 158, 2008. [2]J.Giesecke,Modern Infectious Disease Epidemiology, 2nd edition, CRC Press, 2001 pp. 3 18, 2006 [3] pp. 29 37, 2008. [4] A. Sadilek, H. Kautz and V. Silenzio, Modeling spread of disease from social interactions, In Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Weblogs and Social Media, 2012. [5] L. Garret, Ebola s lessons, Foreign Affairs, 94 (5), pp. 80 107, 2015 No. 11, pp. 78 91, No. 12, pp. 92 106, 2015 264 66 Copyright c by ORSJ. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited.