1 1. 2000 65 7.2 1 2018 14.3 8 2026 1955 1963 20.8 2050 38.2 < 1-1> 65 65 : Korean Statistical Information System(KOSIS) database (0 14 )1960 42.3 2000 21.1 40 2020 12.42050 8.9 (15 64 ) 1960 54.8 2000 71.72015 73.4 2020 72.0 2050 53.0 1 1
< 1-2> (1960-2050 ) : Korean Statistical Information System(KOSIS) database 1960 2501 ( 1255 1246 ) 2018 4934 2471 2463 2050 4234 2073 2161 2022 1960 1961 3.0 2019 0.02050-1.1 < 1-3> 3.50 3.00 2.50 6 0 5 0 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 4 0 3 0 2 0-0.50-1.00 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025 2029 2033 2037 2041 2045 2049 1 0-1.50 0 : Korean Statistical Information System(KOSIS) database 1960 100 6.9 (Exponential Function) 2016 100 100 2
100.7 2050 100 429.3 15 65 < 1-4> : Korean Statistical Information System(KOSIS) database 14 7 20 154 94 79 77 36 26 20 30 < 1-1> 7% 14% 20% 7% 14% 14% 20% 1970 1994 2006 24 12 1864 1979 2018 115 39 1932 1972 2009 40 37 1927 1988 2006 61 18 1942 2015 2036 73 21 2000 2018 2026 18 8 : 2006.11 3
2. 1 1960 6.0 1970 4.53 1980 2.83 1983 2.08 2.0 2002 1.17 2005 1.08 2020 OECD 1.6 2005 9 1 2006 7 2010 2006 2010 5 32 746 < 1-5> (1970 2005 ) : Korean Statistical Information System(KOSIS) database 4 1 1997 4
2005 29.1 < 1-6> : Korean Statistical Information System(KOSIS) database 2 1993 8.7 2003 11.42.7 ( )2004 64.6 2000 56.0 8.6 2004 2 77.2% 1996 ( ) 2004 64.6% 2000 56.0% 8.6%p GDP 2002 7.1OECD 3 2.9 1 3 5
20 < 1-2> 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 28.0 28.1 28.3 28.5 28.7 29.0 29.3 29.5 29.8 30.1 30.2 26.5 26.7 26.9 27.2 27.4 27.7 28.0 28.3 28.6 28.9 29.1 ( ) 25.4 25.5 25.7 26.1 26.3 26.5 26.8 27.0 27.3 27.5 27.7 : 2005 2006. 8. 4 20 70 80 2 1971 62.3 2005 78.6 2050 86.0 59.0 75.1 82.9 66.1 81.9 88.9 6
< 1-7> : Korean Statistical Information System(KOSIS) database 3 1955 1963 816 1955 1965 2020 2000 1955 73 8000 1954 11 1955 1958 81 87 1963 (86 8000 ) 80 16.8 3 1963 10 1968 1974 586 9000 1979 1982 7
< 1-8> : 2005.11 4 2001 2020 2018 4934 < 1-9> (1970 2050 ) : 2005.11 8
3. 1 2019 65 2018 4934 2016 2050 5 2016 3619 2017 25 49 2005 59.62050 44.4 50 2005 20.5 2050 40.9 IMF( ) 2050 35% 5 < 1-10> 2050 :IMF, World Economic Outlook, 2004.9 2005 2050 9.4 2 18.8 45 12.2 2050 53.9 9
< 1-3> (2005 2050: ) 2005(A) 2050(B) B-A 32.6 44.8 12.2 42.9 52.3 9.4 35.1 53.9 18.8 39.0 42.9 3.9 36.1 41.1 5.0 : UN Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision Population Database 2 2 1 0.8 R&D 6 1990 3 5 GDP 2020 3 2030 2 10
4 2008 7 65 65 7 replacement rate 2.1 6.0 3.0 1950 47 2000 65 2050 74 45 5 2016 2020 25 54 25 54 2009 2018 9 11
IT 6 PB 2005 12 7 (Defined Benefit) (partially funded system) pay as you go system 12
2008 2020 2005 156 2035 1715 2036 2047 < 1-11> ( : ) : (2004) p.233 1 4. 2 3 4 5 13
6 14