関 志雄  81‐106

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1

2 V GDP CPI QQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQQ CEIC

3 GDP QQ QQ QQQ QQQ QQ QQQ QQQ QQ QQQ QQ

4 V

5 CEIC 2014

6 CEIC GDP GDP GDP GDP

7

8

9 2014 S&P S&P

10 QFII QDII

11

12 (Gill and Kharas, 2007, World Bank, 2012) (Lewis, 1954) (World Bank, 2012) (2012)

13

14

15 United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision 1970 (United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision)

16 (TFP) (TFP) (TFP) Kuijs, Louis, China s Economic Growth Pattern and Strategy, Paper prepared for the Nomura Foundation Macro Research Conference on China s Transition and the Global Economy, November 13, 2012, Tokyo

17 GDP R&D D

18 GDP GDP GDP (WTO)

19 (World Steel Association)

20

21 Fortune Global 500

22

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24

25 (Huntington, 1991) (1970) (2014) (2013) (2012) (2012) (2014)

26 Gill, Indermit and Homi Kharas (2007) An East Asian Renaissance: Ideas for Economic Growth, Huntington, Samuel P. (1991) The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century, University of Oklahoma Press, Lewis, W. Arthur (1954) Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labor, The Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, Vol. 22. World Bank (2012) China 2030: Building a Modern, Harmonious, and Creative High-Income SocietyWorld Bank.

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目次はじめに 1. 中国の少子高齢化 人口ボーナス論と中国経済 中国の人口ボーナスの課題 人口ボーナスと地域間経済格差 はじめに , demographic dividend 15 6

目次はじめに 1. 中国の少子高齢化 人口ボーナス論と中国経済 中国の人口ボーナスの課題 人口ボーナスと地域間経済格差 はじめに , demographic dividend 15 6 持続的経済成長の課題 要 旨 調査部環太平洋戦略研究センター 主任研究員 大泉啓一郎 1.6 2009 15 64 2015 50 RIM 2011 Vol.11 No.40 1 目次はじめに 1. 中国の少子高齢化 1 2 3 2. 人口ボーナス論と中国経済 1 2 3 3. 中国の人口ボーナスの課題 1 2 4. 人口ボーナスと地域間経済格差 はじめに 1970 30 2000 2009 65

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