1 12 *1 *2 (1991) (1992) (2002) (1991) (1992) (2002) 13 (1991) (1992) (2002) *1 (2003) *2 (1997) 1

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1 i

2 1 12 *1 *2 (1991) (1992) (2002) (1991) (1992) (2002) 13 (1991) (1992) (2002) *1 (2003) *2 (1997) 1

3 2 13 *3 * m :64.3km 457mm :76.4km mm m mm 114mm *3 (http : // ref3.html) *4 (http : // t aisaku/index/menu02.htm) 2

4 *5 P h i P = p(h 1,...,h n ) (1) 2001 *5 (1989) 3

5 m *6 * *6 ( ) 8 30 *7 (2002) 4

6 *8 P i = α + 3X j=1 β j F ji + X m γ m X mi + δ Dλ i 1 λ + ² i (2) P i F ji i j X mi D i ² i Number of obs =1835 F( 28, 1806) = Adj R-squared = boxcox *9 *8 *

7 Number of obs =706 F( 23, 682) =89.22 Adj R-squared = (boxcox) Number of obs =906 F( 18, 887) = Adj R-squared = (boxcox) Number of obs =478 F( 17, 460) = Adj R-squared = (boxcox) X 3X P i = α + j=1 d=1 β jd F jdi + X m γ m X mi + δ Dλ i 1 λ + ² i (3) 6

8 F jdi j d Number of obs =1835 F( 34, 1800) = Adj R-squared = (boxcox) cm

9 (-0.43) (-2.07) (-1.35) (-2.66) (-4.05) (-4.26) (-2.18) (-2.32) (-4.90) (-10.46) (-23.94) (-32.40) (boxcox) (-7.71) (-16.87) (-18.91) (2.47) (6.33) (4.40) (22.78) (41.64) (51.10) adj ( ) 8

10 ha (96-00) (122) (430) (88) (28) (27) (91-95) (31) (51) (112) (20) (158) 4.2 *10 P i X mi D i ² i E ki i k P i = α + β 5X k=1 E ki + X m γ m X mi + δ Dλ i 1 λ + ² i (4) *10 (1992)

11 P i = α + β 5X ( 6 k )E ki + X 5 m k=1 γ m X mi + δ Dλ i 1 λ + ² i (5) Number of obs = 1485 F( 24, 1460) = Adj R-squared = F( 24, 1460) = Adj R-squared = (boxcox) (-4.19) (-30.01) (-16.52) (4.84) (45.66) (-4.12) (-30.03) (-16.56) (4.82) (45.64) 1996 Number of obs = 1476 F( 24, 1451) = Adj R-squared = F( 24, 1451) = Adj R-squared = (boxcox) (-3.38) (-21.67) (-13.92) (5.53) (36.51) (-3.00) (-21.60) (-13.95) (5.54) (36.45) P i = α + βe i + X m γ m X mi + δ Dλ i 1 λ + ² i (6) E i i 2001 Number of obs = 1485 F( 24, 1460) = Adj R-squared = (boxcox)

12 Number of obs = 1476 F( 24, 1451) = Adj R-squared = (boxcox) Number of obs = 706 F( 23, 682) = Adj R-squared = (boxcox)

13 (491) (191) (103) (62) (26) (311) (104) (13) (35) (56) (349) (286) (27) (25) (234) *11 log P i = α + X j β j F ji + X m γ m log X mi + X k δ k D ki + ² i (7) P i i F ji i j X mi i D ki i *11 12

14 Number of obs = F( 32, 40370) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs = F( 28, 21053) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs = F( 21, 15742) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs = F( 20, 17809) = Adj R-squared =

15 10 10 Number of obs = F( 31, 38614) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs = F( 38, 40364) = Adj R-squared =

16 12 Number of obs =31411 F( 32, 31378) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs =5644 F( 31, 5612) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs =3348 F( 31, 3316) = Adj R-squared = (-3.43) (-22.37) (-14.19) (244.91) (51.32) (-62.31) (-47.37) (232.70) (2.13) (-8.58) (-5.06) (99.16) (-23.49) (-13.90) (96.98) (6.45) (-3.25) (-3.72) (81.65) (-18.60) (-10.54) (69.90) 12 ( 13(A)) ( 13(B)) ( 13(C)) ( 13(B)) ( 13(C)) ( 13(D)) 15

17 (A) (B) (C) (D) 16

18 (96-00) (45) (118) (27) (12) (9) (12) (55) (153) (28) (13) (9) 6.2 P i X mi D ki ² i (7) E ki i k 5X log P i = α + β E ki + X γ m log X mi + X δ k D ki + ² i (8) k=1 m k log P i = α + β 5X ( 6 k )E ki + X γ m log X mi + X 5 m k k=1 14 δ k D ki + ² i (9) 14 Number of obs = F( 28, 31899) = Adj R-squared = F( 28, 31899) = Adj R-squared = (-1.66) (250.83) (54.03) (-68.38) (-43.97) (241.32) (0.61) (250.80) (53.94) (-68.05) (-44.10) (241.26) 17

19 15 15 Number of obs = F( 28, 31899) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs =24712 F( 28, 24683) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs = 4555 F( 27, 4527) = Adj R-squared = Number of obs = 2661 F( 27, 2633) = Adj R-squared = (-8.76) (223.08) (38.70) (-61.57) (-41.59) (216.85) (-3.68) (91.45) (-24.95) (-11.42) (90.25) (-2.41) (76.26) (-19.57) (-10.03) (64.60) 15 ( 17(A)) ( 17(B)) ( 17(C)) 18

20 ( 17(B)) ( 17(C)) ( 17(D)) (A) (B) (C) (D) 19

21 7 95% % km 2 9,906 26,785 1km 2 14,983 34,990 95% 1km 2 5,107 20

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