経済分析 第85号

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2 8889 KFPPE 9 IFPPEM LLL Almon lg d sc Nec N D W UM 8 5 IFPOBM CU 8 95 LLL Almon lg d sc Yec Y IFP IFPPEIFPOB KFPPE IFPPE KFPPE 8 KFPOB 5 IFPOB 5 KFPOB 9 KFP KFPPEKFPOB PNA 9PNA DN KIPNA GDPDNADNM 9 5 GDPDNADNM 8 ME GD 9 D 5 estrctedlest qures h D W 58 8 UM - 5 -

3 KIPNA PNAKIPNA GNEMC CIHPIFPCG IG GNEMCV PGNEMC GNEMC GDPV GNEMCVPKIPNA PNAPAV DV XVMV 5 DN GNEMCD X GDPAPA GDPNA DNPNAM GDPNAV GDPVGDPAV 8 GDPDNA 5exp5855TIME 99 LWNA 9 CU GDPNA GDPPNA GDPNA TP WNA 85 LWNA I99 U 5 5 CU 5 WNA exp exp 8 TIME WNA PC 85 U LF U LWNALENALEALFMC 95 b95 WAW WNW INXW CPI CPI WDFT h h 5-5 -

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5 8 9 GDPNA GDPNAV UM Y ec N sc d lg hller UM 5 N ec N sc d lg hller UM N ec N sc d lg hller UM N ec N sc d lg hller d d c c c b b LLL LLL LLL LLL ρ DW PC DMBK CPI CPI h PCG WNA PCG h PIG PGNEMC WNA PIG PGNEMC PC PKIPNA 5 M PM M P TM FX PMAT - 5 -

6 GDPFCV GDPVTI YWNA WNA LWNALDF YWA LEA5 WNA89 YWA LEA h 9 99 YW YWNAYWA 5 YO GDPFCVYW YOPH TIME PGNEMC KHP 5 95 YOPH h YOUNA U WNA LENA 58 9 CCAUNA CCACT YOCT D W 9 9 I99 8 YOCT YOYOPHYOUNAYOUA YOG YOCF 9 YPH YOPHCCAPHYIPPH YUNA YOUNACCAUNAYIPUTPU YCT YOCTCCACTYIPCTTPCTYOTCT YDV TIME YCT D W

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10 5 KBPC KTCN KLGP KDGP EC DFT PGNPU FX KDGP ECPG EUD EC CB DCB CU EC EUD CB GDPDNA GDPNA TIME DN KIPNA MGG MGCA GNEMC PMAT DDOK PMAT DDOK exp PMAT TIME DN KIPNA MGG MGCA GNEMC D h M M

11 MGPE MGCA MGG MG 5 FX PMG MG MGV M MG M 8 FX PM M MGV MV 9 XNA XA XG PXG XG XGV X XG X PX X XGV XV BPT MV XV BPC 5 MG PMGPE MGPE PMGCA MGCA P MGG P PMG,, ρ FX PCOMW PGNEMC PXG KBPO DEX PGNPU FX EUD CB FLGP GBD BPC GDPV FTCPN - -

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