CPI PMI / PMI PMI 50 MSCI VIX CBRT CBRT 16 C

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1 The Emerging Markets Weekly / EU EU ECB 2, BOTMPC 1.50 BOK BI [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] CBRT 16 CBRT 17 NAFTA 5 17 BCB 16 COPOM 6.50 COPOM6 20

2 CPI PMI / PMI PMI 50 MSCI VIX CBRT CBRT 16 CBRT The Emerging Markets Weekly 2

3 PMI Markit 2MSCI VIX = MSCI 35 VIX /01 17/04 17/07 17/10 18/01 18/04 MSCI The Emerging Markets Weekly 3

4 PBoC GDP 2017 GDP % BIS 3 PBoC RRR MLF PBoC RRR 1 Shibor Shibor PBoC GDP BIS /01 16/07 17/01 17/07 18/01 CFETS The Emerging Markets Weekly 4

5 BCBCOPOM Selic 6.50BCB 3 21 BCB 25bp BCB BCB BCB GDP BCB BCB BCB The Emerging Markets Weekly 5

6 /01 17/04 17/07 17/10 18/01 18/04 The Emerging Markets Weekly 6

7 MY TR CL CN ZA PH TH RU IN KR BR MX ID PL RU BR MY IN CL TH KR ZA CN MX PL ID PH TR bp 5 bp The Emerging Markets Weekly 7

8 /05 17/07 17/09 17/11 18/01 18/03 EM EURUSD EURUSD 5 HUF CZK COP SGD PEN TWD VIX MOVE VIX MOVE /05 16/08 16/11 17/02 17/05 17/08 17/11 18/ /06 17/08 17/10 17/12 18/02 18/ The Emerging Markets Weekly 8

9 514 () 4.4% 4.6% 4.3% () 10.0% 9.4% 10.1% () 6.4% 7.0% 6.0% () 7.4% 7.0% 7.5% () $733m -$1629m $1092m $1123m 15 () 3.7% -9.8% 4.5% () % -0.7% () 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% () 7.3% 11.8% -2.7% -3.2% 17 () 5.6% 5.4% 5.9% () 4.50% 4.50% 4.25% () $266m () 4.0% % () % $235m -- $1268m () % () % () % () b () 4.4% % () % () % () % -- 中東欧 アフリカ 514 () -4.15b -4.81b -4.15b -4.52b 16 () 8.3% 7.6% 9.9% 10.1% 16 () 4.7% 4.8% 4.9% 4.2% 16 () 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% % % % % () 2.4% % () 6.2% % () 4.6% % () % () % () % -- ラテンアメリカ % 6.50% 6.50% () 7.50% 7.50% 7.50% () % () % () 1.7% % () $798m () m The Emerging Markets Weekly 9

10 SPOT ) HKD) ) ) ) ) ) SGD) TWD) ) VND) ) ) ) ) ) ) HKD) ) ) ) ) ) SGD) TWD) ) VND) ) ) ) ) ) SPOT Emerging Market Monthly The Emerging Markets Weekly 10

11 The Emerging Markets Weekly 11

The Emerging Markets Monthly GDP... 5 KRW BOK bp

The Emerging Markets Monthly GDP... 5 KRW BOK bp The Emerging Markets Monthly... 2... 3... 4 1 3 GDP... 5 KRW BOK... 6 3... 7 25bp... 8 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] FX Ken Cheung [email protected]

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