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1 IODP Expedition 358 Webinar 4 January 2018

2 Side-By-Side Mode for Screen Sharing to Side-by-side mode ( 左右表示モード ) the Speaker View ( スピーカービュー ) Gallery View ( ギャラリービュー ) View Options ( オプションを表示 ) Side-by-Side Mode ( 左右表示モード ) Side-By-Side Mode & Gallery View

3 How to ask a question during the webinar Chat question type it into the chat box

4 How to open the chat box on ios (1)click Participant (2) click Chat

5 Nankai Trough Seismogenic Zone Experiments (NanTroSEIZE) & #358/ Seismogenic/Slow Slip Megathrust (Plate Boundary Deep Riser 4)

6 Initial Science Plan (2001): Seismogenic Zone Initiative

7 Seismogenic Zone Challenges What governs subduction zone seismogenic fault locking vs stable slip and/or transitional fault behavior? Does fault state evolve during interseismic and pre-seismic period? If so, how? What governs tsunami generation characteristics for a given great earthquake? 2011 Tohoku M9.0 earthquake slip model (Lay et al., 2011) NanTroSEIZE conceived to address these questions

8 3D seismic box

9 NanTroSEIZE Drilling Transect & expeditions More than 200 scientists from 15 countries 13 main sites Max depth 3058 meters bsf target 5200 m bsf Most extensive LWD program and downhole stress, pressure Most advanced seafloor borehole monitoring system achieved, now streaming data in real-time to land More than 100 papers published and counting

10 Shallow fault zones: frontal thrust and up-dip end of mega-splay fault system Documented history of shallow localized, likely seismic slip to the trench (like Tohoku?)

11 Frontal Thrust Site C0007 Splay OOST fault Site C0004 Strongly localized into thin microbreccia/fault gouge band surrounded by damage zone Wallrock is weak muddy sediment, yet heavily fractured No porewater chemical evidence for substantial fault-controlled fluid flow Ujiie & Kimura, 2014

12 Pleistocene Pliocene Vitrinite Reflectance (thermal) anomaly associated with mm-thick fault zones Suggests high velocity or seismic slip Pliocene Dark Layer Dark Layer Pleistocene Sakaguchi et al., Geology, 2011 Sakaguchi et al., Geology, 2011

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14 Lin et al., 2016 Present state of stress across NanTroSEIZE transect breakouts

15 (Sibson, 1992; Fault-Valve model) C0002 Borehole observation SHmax When are we now? time

16 Seafloor velocity field, based on seafloor geodetic observations Yokota et al., 2016

17 Araki et al., 2017

18 long-term monitoring systems DONET seafloor network # , Oct.-Dec Wiring the Megathrust: a 3D monitoring observatory Long Term Borehole Observatory System part of larger DONET network Seismic, strain, tilt, pore pressure, temperature

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20 What remains: Ultra-deep riser drilling across the plate boundary fault zone Main deep mega-splay / main thrust reflector

21 #358/ Deep Scientific Target How much urgent status is the seismogenic zone? Answer comes soon! Key Observations In-situ strain, stress, pressure Conditions & physico-chemical properties of upper plate host and fault zone

22 IODP Exp358 の目的 木下正高山田泰広木村学 NanTroSEIZE PCT

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27 2016 年 4 月 1 日三重県沖地震 (M6) (Wallace et al., 2016) (Araki et al., 2017)

28 海面下深度 (km) 水平伸張 水平圧縮 2 4 熊野海盆 孔内観測所 孔内観測所南海トラフ 6 付加体 8 VLFE (Sugioka et al., 2012) Low Vp (Park et al., 2010) 距離 (km) Low Vp (FWI; Kamei et al., 2012) (Araki et al., 2017)

29 プレート境界断層の形状 C ~40 NNW NW (a) Dip 角度 (b) Dip 方位 (Kinoshita et al., in prep.)

30 New PSDM image around C0002: IL2530&XL mbsf 前後から, 急傾斜の反射面が複数現れる 4000mbsf 以浅部分の無構造とは対照的 過去の in-sequence thrust の残骸? C0002 の周辺のみが高速度 (Vp>5km/s) C0002 孔の速度計測結果が低速すぎる影響ではないのか?? そうでないとしたら, 高速度コリドーがあってその底が分岐断層の位置を決めている? Megasplay の下で Vp が急減 ( 上盤に比べて 1km/s 以上減少 ) 3000 mbsf 4000 mbsf 5200 mbsf (Kinoshita et al., in prep.))

31 C0002Q 孔付近の様子いくつか反射面が観察される (Fukuchi et al., submitted to GRL)

32 Drilling Sequence of C2 deepening operation - Utilize 2 expandable casings and 1 liner casing for deepening 860 mbsf Exp mbsf ここまではすでに掘削済み Exp mbsf 3500 mbsf Exp358 Plan for Tie back and Side track Vp>5km/s 断層 ELOT LWD Mud&cut 4100 mbsf ELOT LWD Mud&cut 4700 mbsf ELOT LWD Mud&cut 5200 mbsf ELOT Core LWD Mud&cut Core

33 358 での孔内検層案 ここまではすでに掘削済み 2923 mbsf 3500 mbsf 4100 mbsf 4700 mbsf 5200 mbsf Before side tracking 既存のCSGのセメント状況確認 ( 浮いていないか ) mbsf 注水実験 (Shmin 浸透率等計測) LWD ( 自然ガンマ線, 比抵抗, イメージ,Vp,Vs, 孔内水圧, ビット荷重, トルク ) mbsf LWD ( 自然ガンマ線, 比抵抗, イメージ,Vp,Vs, 孔内水圧, ビット荷重, トルク, VSP) CH-WL (Vp, Vs, sonic anisotropy) mbsf LWD ( 自然ガンマ線, 比抵抗, イメージ,Vp,Vs, 孔内水圧, ビット荷重, トルク, VSP) CH-WL (Vp, Vs, sonic anisotropy ZVSP) mbsf LWD ( 自然ガンマ線, 比抵抗, イメージ,Vp,Vs, 孔内水圧 ) 33

34 Gantt Chart - Operations 358 Operations & Staffing Planning Gantt Chart (7 Oct March 2019) Operations 7 Oct Oct Nov Dec Dec Jan Feb Feb Mar 2019 Transit, Deploy Transponders, Recover corrosion cap, Preparation Run & set BOP and Riser CBL/USIT, Sidetracking ELOT, Drill LWD to 3500 mbsf, Set 9-5/8-inch x 11-3/4-inch Expandable Liner ELOT, Drill LWD to 4100 mbsf, Set 9-3/8-inch Liner ELOT Drill LWD to 4700 mbsf, Set 7-5/8-inch x 9-3/8-inch Expandable Liner DOC, ELOT, core 100 m, drill 7-3/8-inch x 8-1/2-inch hole with LWD and UR to 5200 mbsf (TD) Suspend hole Set corrosion cap, Recover Transponders, Transit FIT ELOT #1, LWD #1, Cuttings ELOT #2, LWD #2, Cuttings ELOT #3, LWD #3, Cuttings LWD #4, Coring Planned operation phase duration 33 day Contingency Period

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39 Operation Date Start Operation Days Contingency End Date Date End Portcall in Shimizu 7-Oct Oct-18 Transit, Deploy Transponders, Recover corrosion cap, Preparation 10-Oct Oct-18 Run & set BOP and Riser 13-Oct Oct-18 CBL/USIT, Sidetracking from original well 24-Oct Nov-18 Drill to 3500 mbsf with LWD, Set 9-5/8-inch x 11-3/4-inch Expandable Liner 23-Nov Dec-18 Drill to 4100 mbsf with LWD, Set 9-3/8-inch Liner 8-Dec Jan-19 Drill to 4700 mbsf with LWD, Set 7-5/8-inch x 9-3/8-inch Expandable Liner 24-Dec Feb-19 Drill to 5200 mbsf with LWD (TD), Including Coring (50 m x 2 times) 12-Jan Mar-19 Suspend hole 6-Feb Mar-19 Set corrosion cap, Recover Transponders, Transit 13-Feb Mar-19

40 Table 2. Updated staffing concept for IODP Expedition 358. Estimated Science Operations Start Duration (days) Potential end date* LWD from kick-off (ca. 2900) to 3500 mbsf 19-Nov Dec-18 LWD from mbsf 6-Dec Jan-19 LWD from mbsf 22-Dec Feb-19 Coring from mbsf 8-Jan Feb-19 LWD from 4800 to 5150 mbsf 15-Jan Feb-19 Coring - from 5150 to 5200 mbsf 25-Jan Mar-19 *Potential end dates includes 30 days contingency time.

41 358 Operations & Staffing Planning Gantt Chart (7 Oct March 2019) Operations 7 Oct Oct Nov Dec Dec Jan Feb Feb Mar 2019 Transit, Deploy Transponders, Recover corrosion cap, Preparation Run & set BOP and Riser CBL/USIT, Sidetracking ELOT, Drill LWD to 3500 mbsf, Set 9-5/8-inch x 11-3/4-inch Expandable Liner ELOT, Drill LWD to 4100 mbsf, Set 9-3/8-inch Liner ELOT Drill LWD to 4700 mbsf, Set 7-5/8-inch x 9-3/8-inch Expandable Liner DOC, ELOT, core 100 m, drill 7-3/8-inch x 8-1/2-inch hole with LWD and UR to 5200 mbsf (TD) Suspend hole Set corrosion cap, Recover Transponders, Transit FIT ELOT #1, LWD #1, Cuttings ELOT #2, LWD #2, Cuttings ELOT #3, LWD #3, Cuttings LWD #4, Coring Planned operation phase duration 33 day Contingency Period

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45 How to Apply From J-DESC

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48 9 January 2018

49 You can get more information about how to make application form on the J-DESC website

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51 Applicati ons submitte d J-DESC reviews & prioritizes Applications forwarded to SO Final selection J-DESC receives applications from Japanbased scientists J-DESC IODP Section reviews applications and makes prioritized list of applicants J-DESC forwards prioritized list & applications to Science Operator (CDEX) CDEX & NanTroSEIZE Science Leadership Team make the final selection of science party

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53 We await your application! Any question?

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