Regular direct flights between Prague and Beijing may be launched as of October, Ma Keqing, the Chinese Ambassador to the CR, said at a meeting with P

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1 チェコ経済月報 5 年在チェコ日本国大使館主な動き日 Mar The opening of the controversial Blanka tunnel complex in Prague, which was scheduled for April, will be delayed till next year. 6 Profit of agriculture grew by almost 4% y-o-y to CZK.9bn in 4, the best result since 998 when the statistics started to be monitored. 9 Jobless rate in February fell to 7.5% from January s 7.7%, and the number of job seekers reached 548,7, a drop of 8,74 persons on the month. Work will start on 3 kilometres of new roads in 6, the MT minister Dan Ťok said. The CZK depreciated to 5.78 per USD, the weakest level against the US currency in almost years. Average wages in the CR rose by.3% in the Q4 4 compared with 3 to total CZK 7,. For the whole of the year the average pre-tax wage came to CZK 5,686 a real rise of.% after taking into account inflation. The highest wages are still in Prague but growth there in Q4 was the lowest across the country. The proportion of Czechs satisfied with the way democracy works in the country has reached a record high 55%, compared with 48% in October 4. 3 The current account of the balance of payments ran a revised surplus of CZK 6.bn in 4, the first surplus ever recorded. Industrial production climbed by.9% in January compared with 4. PM Bohuslav Sobotka running unopposed, was re-elected as party chairman at the congress of the CSSD, receiving support from 85% of delegates. 4 Foreign direct investment into the CR grew 7 y-o-y in 4, according to data released by the CNB. Around /3 of the CZK bn invested in the country by foreign companies came from neighbouring Germany. Property and financial services were the most popular investment, attracting half of the total figure between them. 6 Škoda Auto raised its net profit by 46% to 665m more than CZK 8bn in 4. Škoda's sales grew by 3.9% to.76bn in 4. Škoda Auto had said earlier its car sales increased by.7% in 4, exceeding the level of million cars for the first time in its history. 8 The MIT has commissioned an independent study to find out if a possible lifting of coal mining limits in the north of Bohemia will pay off. Average mortgage rates in the CR have again fallen, reaching a record low of.7% in February, according to an index kept since 3 9 The Vaclav Havel Airport Prague will increase the number of direct flights by 9 this summer, thanks to which passengers will be able to fly to 38 destinations in 45 countries without having to change planes. The number of air carriers flying from the Vaclav Havel Airport is expected to increase by 6 to a total of 6. New flight connections include CSA's lines to Liverpool, Britain, Cork, Ireland, Billund, Denmark, and Vaxjo, Sweden, Ryanair's lines to Bremen, Germany, and Jet.com's line to Belfast, Northern Ireland. 3 The number of the CR s inhabitants is again rising, having reached,538,3 in 4, which was 5,9 more than in 3 and the highest increase since. The increase was mainly due to the number of immigrants, which was the highest in 6 years. Besides, more people were born than died. PM Sobotka and representatives of the Hradec Kralove Region and Skoda Auto signed a cooperation memorandum on the development of the Solnice-Kvasiny industrial zone according to which the zone will get about CZK bn from public resources. EU: European Union; CR: CR; CZK: Czech crown; EC: European Commission; CSO: Czech Statistical Office; CNB: Czech National Bank; MF: Ministry of Finance; MIT: Ministry of Industry and Trade; MRD: Ministry of Regional Development; MLSA: Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs; MA: Ministry of Agriculture; MT: Ministry of Transport ; NPP: Nuclear Power Plant; SUJB: State Nuclear Safety Authority; CSA: Czech Airlines; NHI: National Heritage Institute; PM: Prime Minister; CSSD: Social Democrats; ANO: Ano Movement; Y-o-y: year-on-year; Q-o-q: quarter-on-quarter; M-o-m: month-on-month; Q: Quarter; H: Half of year; GDP: Gross Domestic Product; GVA: Gross Value Added; VAT: Value Added Tax; Bn: billion; M: million; t: tonnes

2 Regular direct flights between Prague and Beijing may be launched as of October, Ma Keqing, the Chinese Ambassador to the CR, said at a meeting with PM Sobotka. CzechInvest mediated 47 domestic and foreign investments worth CZK 87bn in the CR in 4, almost twice as much as in 3, and the projects are expected to create 6,7 jobs. 5 Car production increased by 5.8% y-o-y in January and February, according to data released by the Automotive Industry Association. Growth was 7.5% in January but slowed in February. TPCA in Kolín recorded by far the biggest increase in production, rolling out around /3 more cars than in the same period in 4. 3 Economy grew by.4% y-o-y in Q4 4, which is a.% worsening against the earlier estimate from the end of February. The statisticians confirmed last year s % GDP growth, and a.4% q-o-q GDP expansion in the Q4 4 remained unchanged as well. Travel Service has finalised a purchase of 34% of CSA within an option from Korean Air Lines and has become its second largest shareholder. Apr The state budget surplus more than halved to CZK 9.9bn in January to March compared with the Q 4. The lower figure was the result of both lower revenues and higher spending. 8 The trial run of Prague s Blanka tunnel could be launched on September 5, according to the spokesman for ČKD Praha DIZ, company which supplied the cables destroyed during flooding last year. It was originally estimated that their replacement might take several months and cost an additional one billion crowns, but now it seems their replacement will be less extensive. 経済動向 According to the Czech Statistical Office s latest refined data, the GDP for the Q4 4 adjusted for price effects and seasonally adjusted increased by.4%, y-o-y, and in the q-o-q comparison by.4%. The growth was driven by domestic and foreign demand, which brought benefits to majority of activities, especially to manufacturing, information and communication, professional, scientific and technical activities, administrative and support service activities, wholesale and retail trade, and transportation and storage. Unemployment rate decreased to 7.% in March, showing y-o-y decrease of.%. In February, external trade grew y-o-y both in exports and imports; industrial production also increased. In February, y-o-y increase in consumer prices was.%. Exchange rate remains around CZK 7.5/EUR. -year Government bond yields remain below.%. コラム国民の意識に関する世論調査について注 : 本報告はチェコ政府公表資料新聞等報道資料をとりまとめたもの下記の月次統計データの大部分は翌月の第週の終わりまでにリリースされたもの

3 .GDP 3 年第 4 四半期から引き続き成長率はプラスであり第 4 四半期は前年同期比.4% 増となった, 5, 対前年同期比 %, 5,, GDP 成長率純輸出固定資本形成.4-5, 最終消費.6 -, GDP 成長率 Q Q Q3 Q4 Q Q Q3 Q4 Q Q Q3 Q4 Q Q Q3 Q4 Q Q Q3 Q4 Q Q Q3 Q4 Q Q Q3 Q4 8 年 9 年年年年 3 年 3 年に変更された ESA 欧州基準に対応しチェコ統計局は日から新しい統計手法を公表した詳細は右記のウェブサイトを参照のこと < GDP 成長率 % 修正された GDP 成長率 % 年年年 3 年 Q Q Q3 Q 景況感信頼感指数総合 CI 5 年 = は 5 年月年 95. となった企業信頼感指数は 5 年月年 9.9 となった消費者信頼感指数は 5 年月年も 5.7 であった 5 年 =, 5,, 95, 9, 85, 8, 信頼感指数消費者信頼感指数 , 7, 企業信頼感指数 8 年 9 年年年年 3 年 5 年

4 3. 生産鉱工業生産は 5 年は対前年同月比.9% 増となった後 5 年月同 4.5% 増となった新規受注は 5 年同.% 増となった後 5 年月同.% 増となった 3,, 新規受注. 対前年同月比 %,, -, 鉱工業生産 4.5 -, -3, 8 年 9 年年年年 3 年 5 年 4. 消費小売売上高実質は 5 年対前年同月比 5.5% 増となった後 5 年月同 6.3% 増となった 5, 対前年同月比 %, 5,, -5, 小売売上実質 , 三期移動平均 8 年 9 年年年年 3 年 5 年

5 月 6 月 8 月月 5. 雇用賃金実質は第 3 四半期前年同期比.% 増となった後 4 第 4 四半期同.8% 増となり賃金月額名目は 7, コルナとなった失業率失業者のシェアは 5 年月 7.5% となった後 5 年同 7.% となった 9 8,5 3 年 8 7, 年 6,5 年 6 8 月月 5 年 5 年月 5 年失業率 % 物価消費者物価は 5 年月の対前年同月比.% 増となった後 5 年同.% 増となった 4, 対前年同月比 % 3,5 3,,5,,5, 消費者物価.,5, -,5 9 年年年年 3 年 5 年物価上昇率 % 5 年 5 年 5 年 8 月月月

6 7. 貿易通関ベース輸出 FOB は 5 年対前年同期比.5% 増となった後 5 年月同 7.7% 増となった輸入 CIF は 5 年同 5.9% 増となった後 5 年月同 6.% 増となった 3 対前年同月比 % - 輸出輸入年 9 年年年年 3 年 5 年 8. 為替金利為替チェココルナは末値は対ユーロ 7.53 コルナ対ドルでは 5.59 コルナとなったなお対円円 /CZK ではコルナ =4.69 円円 =.34 となったチェコ中央銀行は 3 年 7 日チェココルナ安の為替介入を開始目標ユーロ 7.5 コルナチェココルナ月中平均 3,, コルナ高 5, 6, , 8, 対ユーロコルナ安 5.7 9, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9,,,, 3,, 5, 6, 8 年 9 年年年年 3 年 5 年 8 月月 5 年 5 年月 5 年対ユーロ平均対ドル平均円 /CZK 平均

7 国債金利年物長期は 5 年月.4% 5 年.35% Maastricht Criterion 6, 5, 年物国債金利マーストリヒト基準年物 EU 国債金利年物国債金利 4, 3,,, 5 年物国債金利.96.35,.4 8 年 9 年年年年 3 年 5 年

8 参考主な機関のチェコ経済見通し機関公表時期 3 年実績値実績値予備段階の結果チェコ財務省 5 年チェコ中央銀行 5 年月 EU 5 年月 OECD IMF 5 年 6 年 5 年 6 年 5 年 6 年 5 年 6 年 5 年 6 年成長率 % < ユーロ圏成長率 % > インフレ率 % 失業率 %* 財政収支 GDP 比 % 累積債務 GDP 比 % 貿易収支 GDP 比 % 経常収支 GDP 比 % 為替レート CZK/EUR 注 : 失業率は ILO 基準

9 コラム : 国民の意識に関する世論調査についての世論調査によるとチェコ経済に関して 9% が上昇している 37% が下降している 4% が変化なしと評価また住宅事情に関して 47% が満足 6% が不満 37% がどちらでもないと評価国民のモラル意識に関しては以下の通り 77% が仕事探しをせず社会保障のみで生活することは不道徳であるとした一方 8% が気にしない 83% が飲酒運転は道徳上も許容できないとした一方 8% が許容できる 69% が収賄に反対 58% が贈賄に反対 5% がマリファナや大麻の喫煙に反対 % が脱税はあまり重要な問題ではないとし 9% が無賃乗車には無関心 % が盗品の売買には無関心 Citizens on Economic Situation and Living Standard of Their Households According to the March survey of the Public Opinion Research Centre, 37% of people evaluate the current economic situation in the Czech Republic as bad, 4% view it as neither good nor bad, and 9% consider it to be good. 47% of Czechs evaluate the living standard of their household as good, 6% consider it to be bad, and 37% characterize it as neither good, nor bad. Graph : Citizens on Economic Situation, Good Neither good or bad Bad CVVM, 3 April 5: Citizens on Economic Situation of the Czech Republic and Living Standard of Their Households - March 5; holds-march-5

10 What Behaviour Is Morally Acceptable?,3 In March 5 the Public Opinion Research Centre in its survey dealt with the acceptability of certain ways of behaviour in Czech society. Czechs consider living on welfare benefits and not seeking a job less acceptable than killing a thief, smoking marijuana or being involved in corruption, according to a CVVM institute's poll released today. The poll showed that 77 percent of people considered it immoral to live on welfare without trying to find a job, and only 8 percent did not mind it. The only thing which they condemned even more was drunken driving: 83 percent labelled it morally unacceptable, while 8 percent did not condemn it. Graph : Survey on the acceptability of certain ways of behaviour in Czech society, Living on welfare benefits and not seeking a job Drive under the influence of alcohol Tax evasion Unfaithful wives Kill in self-defence Download music, movies illegally State false information in an application for benefits Get in fight with police Using public transport without a valid ticket Buying stolen items Euthanasia Divorce Accepting a bribe Employ people illegally Retain found money Lie to personal gain Use acquaintances in negotiations with authorities Getting drunk because sad Smoking marijuana or hashish Giving a bribe Killing a burglar in defence of one's property Playing cards for money Getting drunk because being happy Kissing in the street Unfaithful husbands Watching pornography CVVM, 3 April 5: What Behaviour Is Morally Acceptable for Us? - March 5; refreshtableaction.do?tab=table&plugin=& pcode= teina5&language=en 3 Prague post, 3 April 5: Accepting a bribe is considered worse than giving one; czechs-condemn-living-on-welfare-drunken-driving

As far as corruption is concerned, accepting a bribe 69 percent were strongly against it is seen as worse than giving a bribe 58 percent.

Tax evasion is not considered a serious problem by percent, 9 percent do not strongly mind using public transport without a valid ticket and percent do not mind buying stolen items.

Forty-five percent said they do not consider watching porn morally unacceptable. Czechs seem very tolerant of a person getting drunk because being happy or sad.

Graph 3: Survey on the acceptability of certain ways of behaviour in Czech society, 5 4 Kissing in the street 8 6 5 Getting drunk because being happy 9 9 9 6 36 Getting drunk because sad 9 6 33 Use

money 3 5 3 8 7 4 Killing a burglar in defence of one's property 7 8 3 6 Lie to personal gain 3 6 4 Retain found money 33 3 8 Buying stolen items 34 3 5 6 Using public transport without a valid

11 As far as corruption is concerned, accepting a bribe 69 percent were strongly against it is seen as worse than giving a bribe 58 percent. Fifty-nine percent were strongly against smoking marijuana or hashish and 4 percent against killing a burglar or robber in defence of one's property. Tax evasion is not considered a serious problem by percent, 9 percent do not strongly mind using public transport without a valid ticket and percent do not mind buying stolen items. When asked about marital infidelity, people condemned unfaithful wives 56 percent slightly more often than unfaithful husbands 54 percent. Forty-five percent said they do not consider watching porn morally unacceptable. Czechs seem very tolerant of a person getting drunk because being happy or sad. The least morally unacceptable behaviours is kissing in the street: 4 percent said they were against public kissing. Graph 3: Survey on the acceptability of certain ways of behaviour in Czech society, 5 4 Kissing in the street Getting drunk because being happy Getting drunk because sad Use acquaintances in negotiations with authorities Divorce Euthanasia 4 8 Download music, movies illegally Kill in self-defence Watching pornography Playing cards for money Killing a burglar in defence of one's property Lie to personal gain Retain found money Buying stolen items Using public transport without a valid ticket Unfaithful wives Tax evasion Unfaithful husbands Giving a bribe Smoking marijuana or hashish Employ people illegally Accepting a bribe Get in fight with police Living on welfare benefits and not seeking a job State false information in an application for benefits Drive under the influence of alcohol % % % 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% % Do not know 4 The range of to, where means that the behavior is never acceptable for respondents, and vice versa, indicates that the behavior is acceptable at any time. 3

Czech companies are getting pessimistic

Czech companies are getting pessimistic 209 年在チェコ日本国大使館チェコ経済動向分析 209 年 * 経済動向 In the Q 209, according to a preliminary estimate, the gross domestic product was 0.5% up, quarter-on-quarter, and 2.5% up, year-on-year. The Czech economy was successful