52 Re-examination on US-Japan Economy Frictions and Lessons to the Cases of China-US and China-Japan... 1... 2...2 4.... 3.... 5.... 6.... 7 6... 8... 9... 13... 17... 18... 24... 26 1
2
1 197090 90 NTT WTO 2 1 3 4. WTO 3
90 1 1979 3 84 86 NTTNTTISDN ISDN 1 NTTNTT NTT NT 2 NTT 81 44 88 414 93 1,190 2000 2,258 NTT NTT 2 1981 56 44 0.6 1982 57 110 1.4 1983 58 348 4.4 1984 59 351 4.1 1 NTT2004 p187 2 pp89-921989 4
1985 60 369 4.0 1986 61 371 4.1 1987 62 379 3.2 1988 63 414 3.5 1989 504 3.9 1990 656 4.7 1991 802 5.9 1992 988 7.4 1993 1,190 8.8 1994 1,350 10.5 1995 1,520 11.2 1996 1,730 12.3 1997 1,850 14.8 1998 10 1,530 16.6 1999 11 1,560 17.7 2000 12 2,258 24.8 NTT 85 1 2 MOSS 5 2 NTTMOSS 86 1 3 NTT NTTISDN 4 ISDN. 1988 301 301 301 7 3 MOSS 1986 1 10 4 p912003 7 5
1377 MOSS 1962 USTR 1979 ). 89 4 MOSS 1 5 3 54 4 6 28 NTT 5 3 5 1 USTR 12 2 3 5 p210 6
4 5 USTR 94 2 2 94 2 15 89 4 3 3 12 IDO 330 4 IDO 1377. 93 7 3 94 2 5 24 7 31 760 10 2 NTT 95 6 NTT 97 9 NTT NTT 6 81 20 2001 6 6 p932003 3 7
6 7 8 9 3 80 6 70 80 MOSS 1985 MOSS 4 1 NTT 10 2 VAN VAN AT&T 2 80 1NTT 2 3301 4MOSS 3 90 3 3 7 1989 8 Axelrod,R The Evolution of Cooperationpp109-141 Basic Books1984 9 p16-181991 10 p18 8
4 GII 5 NTT NTT 6 4 1979 VAN 1985 MOSS 1988 1989 1377 3 CATV 1994 1998 NTT 2000 2001 NTT 2003 NTT 11 11 TIAAEA 9
1996 3 5 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) T 1994 2 27 3 4 3 31 AEAIT 10
3 14 2 NTT 9 3 12 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 12 National Trade Estimate 3 NTT 301 11
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 12
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 )(CIAJ) (3.5) MOSS SII FAX 13 13 P41P89 13
WTO WTO 2 1990 NTT TIAAEA () () (20002004 ) <> : 2000 77,789 59,414 2001 76,715 70,267 2002 72,372 77,278 14
2003 68,250 87.311 2004 67,634 101,990 <> : 2000 153,559 32,744 2001 147,111 37,637 2002 148,733 49,798 2003 134,122 66,355 2004 137,307 79,942 : 2000 107,158 75,770 ()26,669 2001 65,637 70,396 ()32,630 2002 98,814 76,362 ()27,480 2003 101,863 65,872 ()20,957 2004 119.533 69,674 ()22,047 )(2005 8 ) (200004 )2002 2000 198090 1112 :100 1995 584,743 743,542 158,799 96 625,072 795,291 170,215 97 689,183 869,704 180,522 98 682,138 911,898 229,760 15
99 695,798 1,024,617 328,822 2000 781,918 1,218,021 436,104 01 729,099 1,140,999 411,900 02 693,101 1,161,365 468,264 03 724,770 1,257,121 532,351 04 818,776 1,469,705 650,930 :100 1995 64,344 123,479 59,137 96 67,607 115,187 47,579 97 65,549 121,644 56,115 98 57,831 121,845 64,014 99 57,466 130,864 73,398 2000 64,925 146,479 81,555 01 57,452 126,473 69,022 02 51,449 121,429 69,980 03 52,004 118,037 66,032 04 54,243 129,805 75,562 :100 1995 11,754 45,544 33,790 96 11,992 51,513 39,520 97 12,862 62,557 49,696 98 14,241 71,169 56,927 99 13,111 81,788 68,677 2000 16,185 100,018 83,833 01 19,182 102,278 83,096 02 22,128 125,193 103,065 03 28,368 152,436 124,068 04 34,744 196,682 161,938 ) 16
WTO (2004 3 47 2100 ) 10 9 ➃ 2005 9 7 21 9 2005 46 GDP 9.5 1971 2008 2 35 2 (510) (1 8.11 ) 1990 10 1 8.28 30 14 2005 7 5 17
2005 56 AFOCIO() WTO WTO 15 2005 700 05 5 23% 5228 ( 2764 2464 )15 390 2005 1000 1970 2005 7 11 5 () 2004 52 4 7 4 8 2 1900 3.5 630 12 10 1 2 15 2002 1 15 18
2005 2 3 27.5 2 15 4 6 4 12 27.5 5 10 5 17 WTO 6 21 7 14 7 21 2 7 25 19
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 20 17 14 11 7 2001 2002 2003 2004 2004 6 5 4 3 593.4 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 16 2005 5 13 20
20 11 17 12 8 2001 2002 2003 2004 2004 6 6 3 3 561.4 ) 1980 0.89 1985 1.4 1265 17 990 1.8% 14 1995 2.88 11 2000 3.88 7 2004 6.5 35 GNP 1980 12.685 2390 40.9 2000 44.52004 70 3 2003 21.1 13.62004 1 21.1 4 12.4 2 2003 18 6 8.22004 16.8 6 8FTA GDP 0.5 3 0.2 14.6 9.4 12 ICT 10.104 2.604 2 5 1 A B C 3 A C 41.143.7 A C 21
7 2003 10 6100 6 200 13 4300 59 3400 25 4 1 3 109 7000 1 46 1700 2 3 18 6000 2004 14 IT 10 8 IT 50 20 50 30 IT 100 50 200 154 200 IT 110.1 206.6 316.7 2003 2004 2003 2004 9.4 10.1 2.8 2.6 4.2 4.0 2.8 2.4 1.7 2.4 TV 1.7 2.0 1.7 2.2 IC 1.5 1.9 10.0 10.8 2004 12 2004 A 41.1 1017 631 228 44.2 1354 729 117 B 11.6 302 299 29 9.6 208 266 19 C 43.7 138 2364 51 29.9 64 1570 25 22
2004 12 200 IT 57.1 IBM 40.7 26.0 21.3 17.4 11.1 9.8 9.45.93.8 [19.1] 8.6 2 8.23.9 [12.1] 2 7.76.0 [13.7] FASL LLC 6.1 2 6.13.6 [9.7] 5.93.1 [9.0] 5.4 4.9 Jabil 4.5 4.2 2 4.23.5 [7.7] 2 4.13.5 [7.6] 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.1 200 110.1, 206.6 2004 200 23
17 24
Int i Fini IM EX IM EX V it = C V α V β V γ V ρv POP PG DENS DIS exp( D δ + ν + µ ) POP:PG GDP it it it it R RV i it 18 2005166172 19 2005 3 28 25
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()() S()() ()() BP CIAJ JOURNAL IT GITS/GITI Bulletin Waseda University 27
American Chamber of Commerce in Japan Making Trade Talks Work IT 28