28... 1... 2.... 2.... 19.... 35.... 48.... 51.... 54... 75.... 75.... 77.... 78.... 78... 79... 80.... 81.... 89.... 91.... 98... 107
20 4 2013-1 -
Cw j = C SNA 47 47 i Chi Ł ik k = 1 47 k = 1 Chi L Lij ł - 2 -
- 3 -
- 4 -
- 1 9-2 6 1-5 -
- 1 10-2 2-6 -
- 1 9-2 3-7 -
- 1 10 - - 2 4 3 15-8 -
- 1 9 - - 17-9 -
- 1 10 - - 2 2-4-3 2-4-9-10 -
47 Lij Sli = Swj j= 1 L. j Sli : Swj : L : ij - 11 -
- 1 9 - -2-3 -4-5 -6-7 - 12 -
- 13 -
- 1 10 3. 3- - 2 ( - 14 -
- 1 9 3. 3-2 ( -3-15 -
- 1 10 1. 3-2 - 5-16 -
- 1 9. 1. 3 a) - 2 5-17 -
- 1 9 1. - 2-18 -
- 19 -
- 20 -
- 1 10 1. 1 a. -2 5-3 4-21 -
- 22 -
- 23 -
- 1 10 - - 2 4 3 15-24 -
- 1 10 - - 2 2-4-3 2-4-9-25 -
- 1 10 3. 3- - 2 ( - 26 -
- 1 10 1. 3 a -2-5 - 27 -
-1 CT -2-28 -
-1 CT -2-29 -
- 30 -
- 31 -
- 32 -
-1 CT -3-2 -4-5 - 33 -
-1 CT -2-34 -
-1 1-1 CT= CT1)+ CT2)+ CT3) CT1 CT1-1 16(3) CT3 CT1+CT2 CT3-35 -
-1 1-1 CT -1 16(3) - 36 -
-1 CT -2 16(3) - 37 -
-1 CT -2-38 -
-1 CT -2-39 -
- 40 -
-1-2 -3-4 CT= CT1 + CT2 + CT3 + CT4 CT1 CT2-1 -1-3 -4 CT3-5 CT4-41 -
- 42 -
-1-1 -1-1 -1-1 -1-1 - 43 -
-1-1 -1-1 -2-1 -2-1 -1-1 - 44 -
- 45 -
- 46 -
-2 CT C -1-1 -1-1 -1-1 -1-1 -1-1 -1-1 -1-1 -1 CT -3-47 -
- 48 -
- 49 -
- 50 -
2 3-51 -
- 52 -
t,i t,i t,i t-1,i t-1,i,p t,i,p t,i,p t,i () t-1,i t,i t,i,p t,i t-1,i,p t,i,p ti p - 53 -
4 4 2012 24 11 2002 2007-54 -
- 55 -
- 56 - : : ) ( : ) : : n t n R n N R N R n t n t n t n t t - - - - + = : : ) : ) ( : ) : : : : : ) ( : 2 2 1 n t n B n R n N B R N K B R N B R N K K n t n t n t n t t t t n t n t n t n t t t t t - - - - - - - - - + + - + + + =
- 57 -
- 58 -
D j = i m i= 1 a d i, j a i, j i t -1 1,1 1,2... ø 1, n n+ 1,1 n+ 1,2... n+ 1, n ØD1 ø Ø Øb b b ø Øb b b ø Ød1 ø Œ D œ Œ Œ b 2 2,1 b2,2... b œ œ Œ 2, n bn 2,1 bn 2,2... b œ Œ Œ œ Œ œ + + n+ 2, n = I - Œ œ Œ œ d œ Œ 2 œ Œ... œ Œ Œ............ œ œ Œ............ œ Œ... œ Œ œ Œº D bn,1 bn,2... bm, n bn m,1 bn m,2... b n œß Œ Œº œß œ Œº + + n+ m, n º ß œ ß Œº dm œß ai, j bi, j= m+ n a k = 1 k, j t D : i i i d : i a : j i ij - 59 -
ai, jdi i Dj = m a i= 1 i, j d i a i, j D j - 60 -
- 61 -
- 62 -
- 63 -
- 64 -
- 65 -
- 66 -
- 67 -
- 68 -
- 69 -
- 70 -
5-71 -
6 7-72 -
- 73 -
- 74 -
8-75 -
- 76 -
- 77 -
- 78 -
No. - 79 -
[] X^A X A X(-1) X 1 d(x) X - X(-1) @pch(x) X X X(-1)/X( ln(x) X loge X dln(x) X ln(x) - ln(x(-1)) exp(x) e X e x obs R2C Constant - 80 -
- 81 -
- 82 -
- 83 -
- 84 -
- 85 -
- 86 -
- 87 -
- 88 -
- 89 -
- 90 -
- 91 -
- 92 -
- 93 -
- 94 -
- 95 -
- 96 -
- 97 -
γ = 1 - α - β GDPP = TFP1*((KG^)*(KP^)*(L^)) CP=CPN/PCP FUTAN = KUMIAIF + SEIKANF + KOKUHOF + KYOSAIFS +SENINFS + KAIGOF + KONENF + KOKUNENF + KYOSAIFL + K_SHOTOKU + K_SHOUHI + L_SHOTOKU + L_KEIJO KYUFU = KONENK + KOKUNENK + KYOSAIK + SENINK YZFK = YWHZ - FUTAN + KYUFU RMedAA = RMedKK + RMedKKK + RMedK RMedAD = RMedAA/POP Kpprod = α * TFP * ((Kg^γ) * (Kp^(α-1)) * (L^β)) GDPALLREG = GDPALL - GDPREG NETEXPALLREG = NETEXPALL - NETEXPREG GDP=CP+IP+IH+CG+IG+NETEXP+O GDPN=GDP*PGDP L=ER*P15 LW=L*RLW YWH=W*LW YWHZ=YWH+ZAISAN OLDRATE = P65/POP - 98 -
SeikanD3 = Seikan1*12*YWH + Seikan2*14.4*YWH KumiaiD3 = Seikan1*12*YWH + Seikan2*14.4*Ywh KOKUHOC = RMedKKK + rmedk KYOSAIFSD = KyosaiS1*12*Ywh/16 + KyosaiS2*12*Ywh/16 + KyosaiS3*16*Ywh/16 KYOSAIFS KYOSAIFS = kokukyofs + chikyofs + shigakufs PRMKK4 = p0004*pcmeda + p0509*pcmedb + p1014*pcmedc + p1519*pcmedd + p2024*pcmede + p2529*pcmedf + p3034*pcmedg + p3539*pcmedh + p4044*pcmedi + p4549*pcmedj + p5054*pcmedk + p5559*pcmedl + p6064*pcmedm + p6569*pcmedn+ p7074*pcmedo PRMKXXX = p6569*pcmedn + p7074* PcMedO + p7579* PcMedP + p8084* PcMedQ + p85* PcMedR - 99 -
KONENFD = Konen1*12*Ywh/16 + (Konen2*12 + Konen3*4)*Ywh/16 + Konen4*16*Ywh/16 KYOSAILD = Kyosail1*12*Ywh/16 + Kyosail2*12*Ywh/16 + Kyosail3*16*Ywh/16 KYOSAIFL KYOSAIFL=kokukyofl + chikyofl + shigakufl KYOSAIK KYOSAIK=Kokukyok + Chikyok + Shigakuk TAX = (K_SHOTOKU + K_SHOUHI + K_HJN + K_CUT + K_JURYO + K_SONOTA) + (L_HJN + L_SEISAN + L_SHOTOKU + L_KEIJO + L_seisonota) FE=CGN-MKK-CFC+IGGN MKF = KOKUHOF+SEIKANF+KUMIAIF+KYOSAIFS+KAIGOF+SENINFS MKK=RMEDK+RMEDKK+RMEDKKK+KAIGOK PF = KOKUNENF+KONENF+KYOSAIFL+SENINFL PK = KOKUNENK+KONENK+KYOSAIK+SENINK - 100 -
2author 6 1 GDPn 3Ywh 4Ywhz 5ctax - 101 -
- 102 -
1 YBD - 103 -
- 104 -
- 105 -
n i= 1 Med _ age _ class( i) Pop _ by _ pref ( i) Med_age_class(i) :5 Pop_by_pref(i) : 5 i = 04, 59,,85-106 -
26 199 3 20057 Working Paper 01-8 20016 20071-107 -
PI 1953 2005 17 2012 BY 1963 15 2009 2009 2012 2005 15 2010 BY 1970 2005 BY 1970 2000 12 23 3 2009 2000 2010-108 -