5 50 2 70 50 70 5 50 5

2 1 50 70 1 50 70 1 10 30 45 45 2 1 20 1 50 20 50 6 22 50

1 2 6 22 50 1 10 40 3 1980 50 50 1 1.3 10 16

50

1 50 2015 50 3 Win-Win 1 1

NEAR MBC 50

4 60 MBC 9 2 9 19 1

50 50 1 2 10

1 2 50 1931

1905 2 22 3 1910 2010 2014 5 34 105 10 2000 2004 5 3 4 1990 2005 9 3 3 1 2

8 14 7 3 2 1950 1970

1 1 2 1 50

1 1 6 22

1 51 1 2

50 1 2011

2030 2030 2039 2014 2014 1

3 1 4 6 3 2 6 22 50 6 22 50 8 8 15 2 7

8 15 1 50 3 5

1 2 1950

6

MBC 1 70 70

SEALDs SEALDs SEALDs SEALDs 18 SEALDs 1 5 2018 2022

70 30 40 70 TPP TPP

1 3 FTA FTA 1 30

1 2007 2010 5 5 2007 2010 2008 2010 100 2010 6 3

16 2011 4 5 2012 8 2012 12 5

50 1965 100 5 9 3 9 3 5 11

2005 175 2014 276 2015 380 9 2018 9 2018 2018 50 2 2 2 15 20 2

15 2015 2 2015 70 TPP 2015 1 4

70

2 15 15 20 4

9 10 5 TPP FTA AIIB 70 THAAD THAAD 9 11 1 2014 21

G2 G2 2013 6 G2 G2 50 100 2 200 19 20 21

19 2 20

2 1 10

2 1 8 9 1947 GHQ 9 9 9 96 3 2 3 2 1950 9

9 2 10 2 50 50 SEALDs 2 50 50 2015

1 2 2012

2010 the beliefs in inevitability of conflict will become a source of future conflict 2 5 9 3 10 10 9 3 10 10 10 5 9 3 1982 12 1992

2

2010 2010 2012 50 2012 6 70

30 30 30 2 2 coercive

2 7 8 2 2050 GDP

2020 3 GDP 15 GDP GDP 5 1 21 8 2008 2012 50

2 3 5 10 20 ASEAN ASEAN ODA 1990 2

coalition TPP THAAD 1 2 4 5 10 6

11 11 21 21 2

2 Terminal High Altitude Area Defense missile THAAD THAAD X X THAAD X F22 1848 US 2015 2

8

2 2 3

AIIB 9 2 1 15 3 3 3 6 6 45

1 15 20 20 20 GATT WTO WTO 20 21

20 1980 1980 2008 2012 2 FTA 6 2013 2015 TPP 6 6 6

TPP 1 55 2 41 3 25 6 3 65 7 14 21 21 26 24 1970 1 2,000 24 1994 1 19 38,000 38,000 2000 7 14 2018 2 2000 1 12,000 2018 30,000 40,000 2 1 3 2018 2 24

GDP IMF Internet of Things TPP IT

20 10 TPP FTA FTA WTO FTA FTA TPP FTA FTA RCEP 3

2012 2011 2011 4 5 2000 2007 Galaxy 4 2012 2012

2012 2 3 2011 2012 4 5 FTA FTA TPP 2 30 NGO

14 15 FTA 2003 2004 FTA FTA FTA TPP FTA 2020 FTAAP TPP TPP TPP FTA

TPP TPP TPP TPP 3 1 20 30 TPP FTA TPP TPP 12 FTA TPP FTA TPP TPP TPP TPP FTA

TPP 3 2 2

2 3 7 9 6.9 7 9 10 16 7 9 11 1 1 2 16 4 6 7 6 7 6.9 3.5 4 6.9

Financial Times Financial Times 24 20 AIIB AIIB TPP FTA TPP AIIB 20 TPP TPP TPP TPP Win-Win TPP TPP

TPP TPP TPP TPP AIIB TPP TPP TPP FTA FTA FTA

TPP TPP 12 FTA TPP TPP TPP 3 FTA TPP TPP FTA FTA FTA TPP 10 99.9 FTA TPP FTA TPP 2 GDP 4 1996 1990 5 10

6 7 10 2 6 6.5 7 10 2 GDP 2010 GDP 1.5 2 2000 AIIB AIIB TPP AIIB 20 AIIB ADB AIIB TPP TPP Apple TPP 5 8

12 8 TPP 2014 3 3 60 5

30 10 74.7

3 5 6 7 6 Fixed capital formation 5 GDP 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 10 2 1980 2 3 6 The economy, stupid

4 4 2 4 10 15 30 1 15 20 20 12 1 100 300 1/3 100 100 2017 12 50

11 3 4 13 1 3.1 4 3.1 3.1 11 2018

10 50 2 4 11

1 4 3 1 9 1 3 3 GDP 600 1.8 50 1 1 p.74 GDP 1997 523 490 510 2005 1.26 2014 1.42 3 p.75 2100 550 2025 700 220 2010 49 2012 67.7 2013 62 55 2014 68 2 7 9 30 5

1980 1990 1990 2000 2 3

5 10 11 4 2 15 10

4 2 2 2018 9 2020 1987 2007 1 ASEAN+3 11 4 1

2012 12 2002 1997 IMF 2012 4 1 80 8 1950 1960

1 TPP TPP secular stagnation 4 6

2 4 4 2018

SEALDs 1960 50 1 180 1 2 TPP

4 TPP 5 1 16 17 51 49 51 49 51 51 80 90 4 8

2 10 25 15 25

4 4 2009 18 240 3 50 7 1 2 1 31 2

4 TPP 1998 1 1 2017 4 150 4 5 1 42 42 42

4

4 2 2017 12 2018 12 55 5 TPP 3 4 2 3 1980 NIES 1990 20

IT IT 1 Win-Win

4 51 49 4 2 2014 1 2

10 5 5 7 12 10 7 6 11 7 6 22 50 70

8 15 11 5

90 DNA

1 1 5 5 5 1 2011 2012 2013 2014

2018 tough love tough love tough love tough love G2 G2

G2 G2 ODA 42 41 42 100 2017

3 1 44 1982

1 6 11 26 50

1965 2010 1998 TPP FTA

1998

5 TPP APEC ReeCAAP

180 19

1950 19 1

5 10 40 PKO

PKO 10 200 300

DC 5 1

ASEAN G2 G2 G2 G2 G2 G2 21 ASEAN 3 45 2 3

5 10 50 1 1990

50 50 20 15 50 26 2001 12

90 1

50 1965 1 1965 5

1990

5 2 1965 5 5

20 20 Eurikon

FT Financial Times FT 2001

E.H. 1987 50

50 1 3 2 2

G2 Beyond G2 G2 G2 G2 G2 1 1000

1 talking past each other

AIIB 2 4 2011 5 3

2014 7 DC

5 5 2015 50 70 2015 70 2 5 leisurely

6 1 1 2 2 1 15 20 2010 2015

0 10 2014 2 3 31.3 24.1 22.6 20 30 20 10 60 50 40 20 60 40 50 8.6 8.1 20

2014 2015 20 5.74 4.78 5.10 50 60 20 20 20 30 1990 30 75 20 60 85 60

3 11 2013 12 49.5 50 60 20 30 65.2 20.7 14 20 40 60 2 20

E.H. 5 2 5 50 40 50 1945 12 14 7 4 70 70

70 9 1 5 1980 7 4 1 2005 70 70 1960 B 1962 10 1950 1967 1200 1300 1962 B OB 2200 1967

B 10 28 U-2 1 3 4 1960 1 5 1960 E.H. 1989 19 19

1 2 Journalism is the first rough draft of history 1969 11

1772 7 3

1 20 60 20 60 60 20 20 60 SNS SNS SNS 20 SNS 50 60 20

20 40 50 20 20 SNS 2 1500 2000 1000 RDD 1 RDD 1000 3.1 20 20 1 100

SNS SNS SNS 2 2010 2010 DNA 6

3 SNS SNS SNS 3 SNS 20 30 SNS PC 1 1 SNS

SNS SNS 1 12 11 rough draft SNS

SNS SNS 1 1 3 5

SNS 15 10 25 4

3 5 70

1 1 SNS 5

2 2 1 1

7 8 9 3 2 1