1 2003 8 2004 3 30 0. / 1960 (PSA) PSA 1. / 50 kw 3.7 1960 WASH-7401957 50 70 18 (PSA) WASH-14001975 3300 1500 30 140 10 1 1979 1 18 3 28 SEO
2 NUREG-1150 PSA PSA OECD (OECD/NEA 2000) 11 PSA 0.00001 Hennicke & Lechtenböhmer (1999) 10 GDP 3 13 300 kwh Ewers/Rennings 1992 Friedrich 1993 Krewitt 1997 0. B B B (1976 ) (1976 ) 1. 1/3333 33000 270000 (Ottinger 1990) 2. 33.6 4.2 1.15 3. 168 1 (500) 21 (500) 5.75 (500) (ICRP)1990 4. 600 / 530 / 584 / 10.08 1.113 3360 5. 10.697 1.181 9250 Krewitt (GDP ) GDP 1/3 GDP 1/3 kwh 4.3 /kwh 0.06 /kwh 0.00086 Pf/kWh 0.00015 Pf/kWh 0 3 1990 GDP 3 Hennicke und Lechtenböhmer 1999 PSA (1994) PSA 10-5 10-7 PSA 1 1 (1977) WASH-1400
3 PSA 2 3 5 2. SEO SEO SEO SEO WASH-1400(1975) PWR2 ( A-2-1) 3 16 22.5 ( A-2-2) ( A-4 ) 10km 2 148 /m 2 2 2 300 1997 23 23 300 300 1 3 600
4 18.5 /m 2 10 A-5 50 3. 15 160200km 500km 1 10km 2 148 Bq/m 2 2 17072 11871 2
5 (41 ) 14.5 4 3 4 (1995) 2 500 A-4-2
6 180 391.3 340.2 50 4 103.7 79.4 600 1728 180 457.8 66.5 391.3 5 6 5
7 6 200km. 4-1 160200km 5 50km 7 180 5 50km 5Sv 4 1
8 2.7 466.9 469.6 4-2 3 24.3 12.5 79.4 49.3 38 103.7 61.8 4 5 A-10 5. 1kWh (PSA) 1kWh 1kWh 3 118 kw 80 82.7
9 kwh 103.7 100 1.25 /kwh 10 1 10 1 8 1 (1E-07) 0.00125 /kwh PSA 600 10 103.7 3200 kwh 32.4 6 6. 6 2 8390 110 92.3 2002 p.78 94.3 1.1 600
10 1.7 40 103.7 457.8 GDP 600 103.7 1728 1 457.8 7630 1
11
12 34 207 7,184 14,118 14,866 6,385 1,664 646 1,990 2,575 6,823 5,235 1,410 102 34 34
13 5 0 3 0 3 100
14 A A-1. SEO (NEC PC-9801 ) 16 SEO SEO (1997) (1995) SEO (A-6) SEO (A-5) 16 Windows Microsoft Excel 50 SEO 50 A-2. SEO SEO SEO WASH-1400 15 A-2-1. 3 4 (1180MW) 1300MW PWR-2 1995 p.176 A-1 PWR-2
15 A-1 WASH-1400 WASH-1400 PWR 131 8.05 8500 3650 59.5 (0.7) 730-2540 (8.6-29.9) 5950 (70.0) 137 30.2 470 770 235 (50.0) 100-435 (13.0-56.5) 103 39.3 11000 11000 220 (2.0) 72-1040 (0.7-9.5) 28.8 370 550 22.2 22-53 90 (6.0) (4.0-9.6) 95 64 15000 11900 60 (0.4) 23-400 (0.2-3.4) 144 284 8500 8570 34 (0.4) 14-460 (0.2-5.4) 241 -- 340 470 0.031 (0.4) 14-25 (3.0-5.3) (1996) (1997)US-NRC(1975), Appendix IV A-2-2. 2000 11 2002 10 16 A-2 A-2 2000.112002.10 (m/s) (%) (km) 148 Bq/m 2 (km) 18.5 Bq/m 2 N 180.0 2.5 7.7 168 594 S NNE 202.5 2.2 5.3 176 594 SSW NE 225.0 1.3 1.4 197 551 SW ENE 247.5 1.1 1.3 198 522 WSW E 270.0 1.3 5.0 197 551 W ESE 292.5 2.0 27.6 181 593 WNW SE 315.0 2.2 17.4 176 594 NW SSE 337.5 1.9 3.1 184 591 NNW S 000.0 1.9 1.5 184 591 N SSW 022.5 2.0 1.7 181 593 NNE SW 045.0 1.9 2.0 184 591 NE WSW 067.5 2.0 2.0 181 593 ENE W 090.0 2.3 3.5 173 596 E WNW 112.5 2.5 6.0 168 594 ESE NW 135.0 2.8 7.5 161 589 SE NNW 157.5 2.1 6.3 179 594 SSE
16 D 16 22.5 SEO A-2-3. 10km 2 148 /m 2 40 /km 2 15 15 50 =18263 (EPZ) 810km JCO 10km EPZ 10km 148 /m 2 40 /km 2 23 15 148 /m 2 70 0.35 [Sv] (ICRP) (WHO) 1 msv/ 15 /km 2 200km A-2
17 7 A-2-3. SEO A-3 0.37 A-3 8 7 1 1 10 A- A-3 0.4 0.2 12 0.05 3 0.01 8 0.3767 0.37 10km 0.01 0.12 148 /m 2 7 150km 135 161km 50 0.70 Sv 0.35Sv ICRP(1990) 500 / Sv 3.5 8 13 0.250.72 0.47 (Malko 1998)
18 0.19 A-4 10 12 3 28275 (64) 2230 (5) 4255 (10) 9162 21 43922 (100) 0.4 0.2 0.05 0.01 0.3767 ( 0.4 0.64 + 0.2 0.05 + 0.05 0.10 + 0.01 0.21) 1 + 1.0 + 3 0.3767 0.7 + 1.0 0.1 ( 0.4 0.64 + 0.2 0.05 + 0.05 0.10 + 0.01 0.21) 1 1 + 0.01 0.2 3 3 A-3 SEO (A-7) A-4. A-4-1. SEO 7 23 1 L( D) = D1 1+ D a D D 1 a a ICRP(1991) A-5 A-5 (Sv) 0.75 2.00 4.00 90 (Sv) 1.00 2.50 6.00
19 A- 0.25 1 1.5 2.5 4 6 9 A-4-2 50 ICRP(1991) 500 1235 998 100 9 ICRP 500 / Sv SEO 4000 / Sv 9 ICRP(1991)p.157 p.160 ICRP (k) (1-)
20 A-4-3. 6 3 18 A-5. ExternE 336 2000 (Friedrich et al. 2001, p. 88) 1 135 4.5 12 11 20913 127.0 164.7 / 31.4 196.1 31.4 2001 GDP 17313 180.3 96.0 / 1313 25.2 52.1 / 1:1 74.0
21 ICRP(1991) 838 11.1 75.5 3 A-6 A-4 50 A-6 30000 / 196.1 / 74.0 / 45164.7 / 45074.0 / 75.5 / A-6. 50 10km 148 /m 2 40 /km 2 18.5 /m 2 5 /km 2 10 A-2 91 2 5 40
22 A-7. A-7-1. a) A-7-2 ) 1 1 ) 1 1 14 14 / ) 1 1 2 12 24 / ) 39 / b)
23 c) 5 3 12 5 771 14 661 166 1999 0.632 105 A-7-2. 148 /m 2 30 30 9 1 9 0.3 1 [ ]9 [ ]0.3 0.5 10 [ ] [ ]0.5 190.3 A-7-3.
24 50 50 10 10 50 10 10 A-7-4. A-7-3 A-7-1 A-8. 22.5 10km 200km
25 (A-10) A-9. 1999 2002 11 12 12 (p.13) D A-10 3
26 Friedrich et al. (2001) 0 3 (1.03) -1 SEO 50 25 50 0.4997 50 0.4015 49 t= 0 t t 25 1 1 25 1 + r 49 t 25 1 t 0 25 = 49 1 t t= 0 1 0.4997 + r 0. 4015 49 t t= 0 t ICRP(1991) 1990 (1996) 10 (2002) (1997) http://www-j.rri.kyoto-u.ac.jp/nsrg/seminar/no68/kid9708.html (1977) (WASH-1400) VOL.7, NO.2 (1991) (1994) (1995) (1996) Friedrich and Bickel eds.(2001) Environmental External Costs of Transport, Springer Hennicke, Peter & Stefan Lechtenbömer (1999), Kurzexpertise: Risiken und externe Kosten eines auslegungsüberschritenden Kernschmerzunfalls, in Rahmen des Projekts: Bewertung eines Ausstiegs aus der Kernenergie aus klimapolitischer und volkswirtschaftlicher Sicht. Wuppertal Institut für Klima, Umwelt, Energie GmbH Malko, Mikhail V. (1998), Assessment of the Chernobyl Radiological Cosequences, in: Imanaka T.
27 eds. Research Activities about Radiological Consequences of the Chernobyl NPS Accident and Social Activities to Assist the Suffers by the Accident, KURRI-KR-21, March 1998 OECD/NEA (2000) Methodologies for Assessing the Economic Consequences of Nuclear Reactor Accidents US-AEC (1957) Theoretical Possibilities and Consequences of Major Accidents in Large Nuclear Power Plants (WASH-740) US-NRC (1975) Reactor Safety Study (WASH-1400, NUREG 75/014) US-NRC (1984) Reactor Risk Reference Document (NUREG-1150), Main Report, Draft for Comment http://www.bousai.ne.jp/2_6.html 10 http://www.stat.go.jp/data/jyutaku/ 8 http://www.stat.go.jp/data/shakai/ 2002 http://www.stat.go.jp/data/ssds/4-3.htm 11 (2000) 11 12-263 54http://www.maff.go.jp/toukei/sokuhou/data/12-263.pdf (2001) 12 13-222 http://www.maff.go.jp/toukei/sokuhou/data/13-222-15.pdf http://www.erc.pref.fukui.jp/tm/index.asp