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An Evaluation of Exporting Nikkori Pear and Tochiotome Strawberry by Foreign Consumers as a result of survey in Hong Kong and Bangkok Tetsuya NAKAMURA Atsushi MARUYAMA Yuki YANO 4 7 8 7 8 Abstract This paper examined which purchasing classes should be targeted for Nokkori pear and Tochiotome strawberry produced in Tochigi Prefecture, by a probit analysis. As a result, the following was clarified. First, there was a low level of recognition towards Japanese pears and apples in general. Therefore, a promotion strategy to enhance the recognition of Nikkori and Tochiotome should be encouraged, for example, by creating special packages for their exports. Second, Regarding Tochiotome, its size in Hong Kong, and its fragrance in 89

7 Bangkok, was highly evaluated. Tochiotome was highly evaluated by women, whereas Nikkori by middle-aged group. Finally, in terms of prices, Nikkori pear was four times more expensive than Chinese pears in Hong Kong, and Tochiotome strawberry was seven times more expensive than domestic strawberries in Bangkok. However, nearly 80% of the respondents said they would still be willing to buy Nikkori if its price was same or even a little more expensive in Hong Kong. Nearly 70% gave the similar positive answer for Tochiotome in Hong Kong. Meanwhile, in Bangkok, almost 80% of the respondents would not buy Nikkori and Tochiotome by the suggested prices. On the whole, this paper suggests from the probit analysis that the successful export of Tochiotome to Hong Kong should be targeted to middle-aged and women groups who have a priority evaluation of taste, and should set up the strategy on how such groups are attracted to buy them. Keywords: Tochigi prefecture, Tochiotome strawberry, Nikkori pear, agricultural export, probit analysis 1 2 2.1 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 3 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.2 4 5 90

1 2007 5 23 5 25 11 11 2004 2006 3 5.6 5941 1 1982 14,628t 2007 2,092t 2008 2007 145.8 1 23 EU 45 91

7 2 2.1 2004 2005 2008 1 16 17 1 20 2.1.1 131 123 100 / / / / / / 14 13.5 13 10.8 18 20.2 90 86.5 107 89.2 71 79.8 29 19 16.4 19 15.6 23 23.7 30 49 51 44.0 48 39.3 52 53.6 50 69 45 38.8 54 44.3 21 21.6 70 1 0.9 1 0.8 1 1.0 3.611 0.968 3.840 1.401 4.777 2.077 2.1.1 92 96.8 77 96.3 75 93.8 3 3.2 3 3.8 5 6.3 95 91.3 90 91.8 79 82.3 9 8.7 8 8.2 17 17.7 86.5 89.2 29 15.6 16.4 30 49 39.3 44.050 69 38.8 44.3 29 23.7 92

30 49 53.6 9 96.3 96.8 93.8 3.611 3.840 4.777 3.14 2007 91.3 91.8 82.3 17.7 3.1.1 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.1 1 9.3 1.2 4.7 2.2.1 / 1 1.2 0 0.0 8 9.3 16 18.6 4 4.7 49 57.0 8 9.3 18.6 3.1.1 57.0 93

7 9.3 2008 1 15 JA HOSUINIITAKA 2.2.2 2.2.2 1992 2004 2.2.2 / 0 0.0 17 21.3 1 1.2 2 2.5 13 15.9 0 0.0 58 70.7 42 52.5 10 12.2 19 23.8 2005 0.0 1.2 15.9 13 70.7 21.3 52.5 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.1 94

/ 2.3.1-1.333-1.220-1.237 0.697 0.682 0.682-2 2-1.333-1.220-1.237-1.220 2.3.2 2.3.2-0.947-0.913-1.237-1.220 0.816 0.810 0.786 / 2.3.2-0.947-0.913-0.921 0.816 0.810 0.786 0.191 0.822 0.620 1.137 0.967 1.015-2 2 95

7 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.1 / 2.4.1-0.323-0.174-0.177-0.116 1.369 1.403 1.353 1.328-2 2 4-0.116-0.174-0.177-0.323 50 4 2.4.2 t 49 3-0.091-0.537-0.364-0.200 0.122 ** 0.023 0.000-0.367-0.121-0.057 0.256 ** 0.119 0.091-0.538-0.121-0.027 0.350 *** 0.093 0.000-0.442-0.061 0.027 0.385 *** 0.116 1-2 2 2 *** ** * 15 10 3 1 10 96

2.4.2 t 1 5 49 50 2.4.2 2.4.3 / 2.4.3-0.478-0.393-0.465-0.432-0.496-0.402 1.173 1.139 1.099 1.117 1.158 1.174 0.250 0.273 0.295 0.329 0.432 0.274 1.072 1.059 1.082 1.007 1.024 1.176-2 2 6-0.393-0.402-0.432-0.465-0.478-0.496 15g 18g 40g 6 0.432 0.329 0.295 0.2740.2730.250 1 97

7 50 4 50 4 2.3.2 2.4.2 2.4.4 t 10 4 4 5 10 2.4.4 t 49 3 49 3-0.818-0.581-0.318 0.214 0.220 0.000-0.419 * -0.250-0.118 0.309 0.500 0.288-0.818-0.500-0.318 0.200 0.254 0.000-0.302 ** -0.186-0.080 0.345 0.471 0.315-0.727-0.483-0.409 0.400 0.356 0.222-0.415-0.362-0.098 0.364 0.222 0.291-0.727-0.456-0.364 0.529 0.323 0.200-0.415-0.319-0.080 0.310 0.474 0.328-0.909-0.467-0.455 0.588 0.393 0.300-0.413 ** -0.422-0.157 0.500 0.684 0.446-0.909-0.333-0.409 0.313 0.323-0.143-0.319 ** -0.378-0.118 0.317 0.238 0.379 * 1-2 2 2 *** ** * 1510 3 1 10 3 3.1 3.1.1 98

3.1.1 3.1.1 HKD THB 58.0HKD 870 500THB 1500 79.5HKD 1193 750THB 2250 30.0HKD 450 690THB 2070 95.0HKD 1425 30.8HKD 462 100THB 300 48.0HKD 720 420THB 1260 78.0HKD 1170 36.5HKD 548 58.0HKD 870 22.9HKD 344 16.8HKD 252 1 HKD THB 21HKD 15 1THB 3 3 1 g 1 200g 300g 300g 350g g 4 1 g 1 8 2 g 1 1,170 870 548 1 g 1 8 344 1 2 252 1 g 3.40 4.64 870 450 1,425 1,193 99

7 720 462 1.88 1.21 1 350g 1 200g 1,500 2,250 2,070 1 200g 1 300g g 300 5.0 7.5 6.9 1,260 1.75 1.72 1.89 4.6 3.1.2 100

3.1.2 58.4 18.6 77.0 8.0 15.0 42HKD 45HKD 22.9HKD 16.8HKD 2 3.1.2 / 9 8.0 42HKD 17 15.0 45HKD 21 18.6 66 58.4 78HKD 2.4.1 3.1.3 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.1.1 42.9 58.4 15.5 25.2 18.6 6.9 101

7 3.1.3 / 9 7.6 43HKD 17 21.0 228THB 29 24.4 40HKD 54 66.7 294THB 30 25.2 7 8.6 58HKD 51 42.9 3 3.7 500THB 24.4 15.0 9.4 7.6 8.0 7.6 24.4 43HKD 40HKD 30.8HKD 48.0HKD 1 g 350g 1 200g 1 40HKD 43HKD 68.1 66.7 21.0 8.6 25.2 3.7 12.3 102

3.2 3.2.1 1 0 2 4 66 80 3.2.1 t-ratio t-ratio t-ratio -0.764-1.686 * -0.972-2.025 ** 0.491 1.041 0.195 1.046 0.000 0.000-0.144-1.276 0.331 1.385 0.570 2.329 ** -0.462-1.430-0.314-0.363-0.094-0.113 0.220 0.278 Sample Size 80 74 66 LR-test 6.335 * 10.014 ** 5.568 Maddala R 2 0.076 0.127 0.081 *** ** * 1510 Maddala R 2 0.076 0.127 0.081 LR-test -0.764 10 10-0.972 5 2.4.2 103

7 0.570 5 4 1 6 2 51970 7 5 2 2 1 5 49 50 4 104

3 4 7 8 7 8 5 1 9 105

7 2 2 2 19 21 20580247 JA JETRO Hong Kong 1 1999 pp.133-170. 2 EUREPGAP 2007 2007 pp.256-263. 3EUREPGAP EU Messe Berlin FRUIT LOGISTICA 2007 2009. 4 2005 pp.101 106. 5 82 1 2007 pp.199 210. 106