1 2 3 139
1 2 1970 1985 140
1 1 1 1 1 1970 1985 GDP 1 toe / 100 (1987 ) 1 1 1970 1985 2 2 EDMC 1 1 2 2 1973 77.4 1973 83.1 64% 141
1 2 1 2 1973 4 3 1973 1979 1973 1 1979 2 4 2 3 1973 1979 4 2 142
2 3 1 3 1 3 1 GDP 1999 8 1 4 143
1 4 GDP TOE/million $(1987base) EDMC 1 5 1993 5 5 98 1 1998 9 18 20 144
1 5 Energy Balances of non-oecd countries OECD/IEA 6 2 1 6 1 6 µ µ World Development Indicator 1999, World Bank 6 145
10 GDP 7 7 3 8 CO2 7 7 20012005 2000.10.15 8 ( ) (1997) CDQ 146
no-regret WTO WTO 9 WTO 4 1 7 9 China Quarterly Update World Bank 2000 1 147
1 7 G DP EDMC 1999 p.219 1996 8 3 GDP 10 WTO 10 PPP 11 10 World Development Indicator 2000 1998 5 11 World Development Indicator 2000 PPP GDP 1997 166.54 toe/million $ 303.94 toe/million $, 274.62 toe/million $ 148
2 1 1970 1985 12 3 13 1 1 1970 1985 2 GDP 2 20 GDP 1980 10% 12 Energy statistics of OECD countries(1994) 28 16 21% 35% 13 Energy Statistics and Balances of non-oecd countries(1996) 149
1 1 2 GDP NEEDS 1996 14 151995 82kg 664kg 1 2 1979 1980 16 14 15 16 150
1 2 100 p.8 17 GNP 18 19 1973 0.540 toe/t 1998 0.565 toe/t 17 p.6 18 World Development Indicator2000 GNP $42,685(1995 value) 3 19 5 151
1999 EDMC 1999 Energy Statistics of non-oecd countries OECD/IEA Energy Statistics of OECD countries OECD/IEA World Development Indicator 1999World Bank World Development Indicator 2000World Bank 1995 1973 1979 55 8 40 1980.12 p156 AIJ 1998 10 NEDO 1997 5 48 1 152
153 2 I 1 ( ) NEEDS
1 1 ( ) ( ) 2) 3) 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 1970 154
20 1970 2 1982 21 1970 a b 22 23 (a+b ) (c) (d ) (c+d ) 2 3 (1),(2) 2 4 24 20 p.130 21 1 1985 2 1982 22 Annex 23 24 2 3 4 1980 155
156
1979 1980 I 70 1975 2 1979 1974 25 1 26 1976 1978 I 1973 1974 0.82 /1000kcal 1.44 /1000kcal 27 1.8 1973 1974 25 1980 p.343 26 2 3 27 1974 NEEDS 157
2% 14 13 2 1979 1980 2.15 /1000kcal 0.21 /1000kcal 10 I 2% 12% 1979 1980 16% 38? 1 10 1974 1 1975 1978 1980 281978 1979 3 1978 29 30 2 1979 31 1980 1979 1980 1978 32 33 28 2 1980 29 5 1 30 1978 1 10 31 3 3 2 32 10 50kl 5 158
1979 1980 ( 1979 1980 ) 2 5 2 5 1974 1980 TRT LDG 1974 1980 45 1979 1 1970 1978 50 34 35 1,000kl 33 10 34 OUTPUT pp.46-47 35 p.139 159
2 6 2 6 36 37 2 6 15 1000kcal 3 1617 2 6 (1979 ) C=I/E{p(1+p) n }/(1+p) n -1 C I E 1979 C 21 38 3 1000kcal 78 4447 C 21 100 13 37 38 C 160
39 3 1 2 3 3 ( ) 2 39 p.144 161
1 1979 2 1973 1979 2 1 1973 1979 162
2 2 1973 1978 1978 55% 4 163
2 4 42000 11.3 40 10,000 1 8000, JK 10,000 41 1973 5 40 p.503 41 p.479 164
1 1 42 Industrial Engineering IE IE IE 43 IE 44 45 IE IE 6 2 5 1973 1979 42 43 53 p.162 44 IE IE 1875 48 60 45 48 60 165
1 1 IE 1978 IE 46 QCqualitycontrol IE JK IE 2 6 1973 1 IE IE 46 48 p.162 166
1973 1979 2 167
2 7 168
6 1973 1 3 1 1 2 2 3 2 471 2 2 47 1982 13 p.6 169
1987 11 20 1986 6 25 1 1991 12 24 () 1984 10 1 1991 12 10 NIRAOUTPUT 1983 6 1984 3 Vol.10No.3() 1984 2 Vol.10No.2 1980 4 Vol.6No.1() 170
1983 12 Vol.9No.12() NEEDS 48 1 1980 1987 1981 Vol.33No.3 1993 1997 80 1980 /T. 1983 198210 1981 7 1982 4 1981 4 1981 10 1982 3 1993 1993 40 1980 19731985 1991 1988 19701985 2000 1981vol.33 171
ANNEX: 172
173
ANNEX: 1 1t 1.39t 0.00214kl x 1.39t if x 1.39t 0.00214kl 1t / 1t =/ 1970 ( /1970 )100 1971,1972,,1982 a%100 1970 = /1970 100=1971,1972,,1982 b%=100 ( )b % 2 /EDMC kl 1.28t ( ) /1.28t= b % 1 /1970 100 1970 ab /( 1) 100 c%100 / 1 100 d%100 ( )d % 2 d %[1 /( 1) ]100 cd 174
175 1 IE JK ANNEX
3 2 ( ) 3 48 48 AIJ p.12 176
3 49 50 51 52 53 49 2000 50 2000 Energy Statistics of Non-OECD countries 2000Ed. 51 p.6 52 AIJ p.12 53 1995 p.11 177
54 55 56 1. 57 54 AIJ p.9 55 56 2000 p46 178
58 3 80 90 2. 2.2 1 500 5 59 60 57 p.1 58 AIJ p.10 59 AIJ p.5 60 AIJ p.8 179
3. 61 62 OECD 63 3 4 OECD Energy Price and Tax(2000)OECD/IEA 61 p.11 62 AIJ p.12 63 ENERGY PRICES AND TAXES(2000)OECD 180
/ OECD / CDQ 181
182 2 64 64 p.100
0.02 /kwh 0.004 /kwh 65 300500 66 2,000 3 9 100 3 1,226 66 67 68 65 PP.65~70 66 94 P426 67 AIJ NEDO1998 3 68 183
AIJ 1998 3 1999 9 16 1996 1996 10 89 3 94 ENERGY PRICES AND TAXES(2000)OECD Energy Statistics of Non-OECD countries 2000Ed. 1997 2000 2000 1996 6 184