個人消費支出からみた戦間期の景気変動:LTES個人消費支出の再推計
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- あおい くぬぎ
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1 LTES LTES LTES 1 GNE GDP GDP 1920 LTES GDP LTES 1931 GDP 76 Hi-Stat [email protected] / /
2 1. Long-Term Economic Statistics LTES LTES 2 LTES LTES System of National Accounts SNA 3 LTES 1 GNE Gross National Expenditure 4 5 SNA LTES LTES LTES LTES LTES 1 1 Ohkawa, Shinohara, and Meissner [1979] LTES a LTES GNE 84% % 74 /2009.3
3 2005 LTES 6 LTES 7 2 LTES 3 LTES 4 GDP 2. LTES LTES GNE GNE GDP 10 LTES LTES LTES GNE D GNP LTES GNE 1979 GDP 93SNA GNE GNI 75
4 1 LTES GNE GDP LTES b GNP 11 GNP LTES b b b /2009.3
5 LTES GNE GDP LTES 1 LTES SNA SNA SNA LTES SNA 93SNA GDP LTES GNE 93SNA SNA SNA 77
6 LTES 1 GDP LTES LTES 20 LTES LTES 2 LTES 1967 GNE SNA SNA GDP GNE Ohkawa, Shinohara, and Meissner [1979] 2 GDP /2009.3
7 SNA LTES GNE SNA
8 % % /2009.3
9 % % 2% 26 6% % % D :1% 27:6% 45:3% 81
10 :3% 0:4% :3% ,820,992 3,820,992 1,393,219 2,393,219 80% 32 83:5% 33 LTES /2009.3
11 SNA :0% :1% % % % 83
12 LTES GNE 41 SNA 93SNA SNA 2004 Smits [2006] 1 Smits GDP :8% modest i p P i i P q i 0 t P L P L D p 0;t 0;t ti q 0i = p 0i 0i P P P P P P D p 0;t 0;t ti q ti = p 0i q ti q P F D P L P P P P» P F» P L 0;t 0;t 0;t 0;t 0;t 0;t P P D P P P P P P P P 0;t 0;1 1;2 2;3 t 1;t International Labour Organization [2004] 42 Smits [2006] GDP chain drift 84 /2009.3
13 5 LTES SNA 1 SNA SNA 44 SNA GDP 45 93SNA VI
14 SNA B A :3% 4:3% :6% C A /2009.3
15 3 % B A 1:7% 0:3% :4% :2% :1% 1:9% 87
16 4 B C B GDP GDP :2% 0:3% IT D SNA GDP GDP 88 /2009.3
17 5 GDP GDP 1920 GDP LTES LTES GDP 0:5% 3:8% 7:2% GDP LTES
18 6 GDP % GDP LTES GDP GDP LTES GDP GDP 4:0% 6:7% 1989a GDP a /2009.3
19 GDP 0:6% :2% 17:6% 15:7% b
20 GDP LTES 1931 LTES 2:2% GDP 0:4% 0:4% GDP 1:2% b /2009.3
21 GDP GDP 6:1% LTES 1932 LTES 4:3% :7% :6% a :0% % 61:6%
22 GDP 7:8% 8:9% 1935 LTES 1935 GDP 7:2% LTES 5:2% GDP LTES GDP LTES GDPLTES 1920 GDP LTES /2009.3
23 GDP GDP LTES 1932 GDP SNA LTES 62 LTES :1% % 95
24 . GDP GDP LTES GDP ,902 6,344 1,050 1,298 1,477 1,267 10,079 7, ,679 6,706 1,139 1,720 1,606 1,492 10,922 7, ,226 7,449 1,473 1,804 1,276 1,776 11,473 8, ,172 7,312 1,669 1,828 1,100 1,737 11,426 8, ,873 7,845 2,240 1, ,637 12,160 9, ,457 8,300 2,209 1,285 1,050 2,388 11,855 9, ,707 8,267 2, ,435 11,308 9, ,224 8,639 1,940 1,225 1,166 2,745 11,658 10, ,862 8,795 1,961 1,264 1,397 2,555 12,338 10, ,066 9,000 2,087 1,330 1,496 2,846 12,483 10, ,505 9,366 2,340 1,358 1,679 3,238 12,857 10, ,278 9,623 2,672 1,290 1,798 3,104 13,686 11, ,350 9,561 2,612 1,424 1,970 3,217 13,745 10, ,503 9,608 2,500 1,406 1,975 2,986 13,900 11, ,355 9,650 2,892 1,148 2,049 3,384 13,952 11, ,113 9,653 3,278 1,006 2,447 3,271 14,545 11, ,136 9,931 3,492 1,248 2,663 3,198 16,047 11, ,397 10,604 3,343 1,674 3,439 3,663 17,382 12, ,511 10,806 3,469 1,989 4,033 3,787 18,285 12, ,948 11,208 3,545 2,149 4,121 4,076 18,649 12,910 GDP 96 /2009.3
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